Skip to content

Moldova vs Italy
Result, Stats, Lineups & H2H

0
-FT
2
Nov 13, 2025
Stadionul Zimbru

Match Timeline

Man of the Match
90'+5Yellow Card
Moldova
Goal!
0-2
Pio Esposito
Pio Esposito
90'+2·Italy
⚽
Goal!
0-1
⚽
Moldova
Moldova
Moldova
Moldova
28'Yellow Card
Moldova
2'Yellow Card
Moldova

Match Statistics

Statistics of the Game

Moldova
Moldova
Italy
Italy
23%Ball Possession77%
3Shots Total28
1Shots On Target9
1Corners13
13Fouls8
3Yellow Cards0
1Offsides1
8Saves1
224Passes714
1Shots Off Target11
55Attacks163
21Dangerous Attacks104
1Shots Inside Box22
2Shots Outside Box6
0Goals2
8Free Kicks13
1Shots Blocked8
5Substitutions5
0Hit Woodwork1
9Tackles4
0Assists2
147Accurate Passes635
5Total Crosses55
1Accurate Crosses20
13Interceptions7
35Duels Won43
1Big Chances Created3
1Big Chances Missed2

Team Lineups

Player Stats

PlayerRatingMinGoalsAssistsShotsPassesTacklesDuels
8.2
90'00-
31(35%)
-
1/1
6.9
55'00-
8(75%)
2
3/4
6.9
90'00-
15(93%)
1
2/6
6.8
90'00-
15(63%)
1
3/8
6.7
35'00-
7(57%)
3
4/9
6.6
90'00-
28(68%)
-
4/9
6.6
34'00-
9(78%)
2
4/7
6.6
75'00-
11(67%)
-
2/7
6.5
56'000/1
11(70%)
-
3/8
6.5
61'00-
13(75%)
-
0/1
6.5
75'000/1
15(64%)
-
5/7
6.5
90'00-
18(67%)
-
1/2
6.5
15'001/1
7(29%)
-
1/2
6.4
29'00-
8(89%)
-
-
6.2
15'00-
7(57%)
-
1/2
6.0
90'00-
21(76%)
-
1/5

Moldova vs Italy H2H, Form & Key Stats

  • Gianluca Mancini's 88th-minute goal decided the match.(Score by goal: 88' 0-1, 90+2' 0-2.)
Current streaks (all competitions)
TeamGamesRunUnbeatenWinlessScored inConceded inLast-5 ptsLast-5 goals
Moldova15D119391/153-20
Italy15W5505015/1518-5
Moldova — last 5 games
  1. L0-2 @ Italy2025-06-09
  2. L0-4 vs Israel2025-09-05
  3. L1-11 @ Norway2025-09-09
  4. L1-2 @ Romania2025-10-09
  5. D1-1 @ Estonia2025-10-14
Italy — last 5 games
  1. W2-0 vs Moldova2025-06-09
  2. W5-0 vs Estonia2025-09-05
  3. W5-4 @ Israel2025-09-08
  4. W3-1 @ Estonia2025-10-11
  5. W3-0 vs Israel2025-10-14
Goal markets & scoring rates
TeamGamesAvg goalsOver 1.5Over 2.5Over 3.5BTTSClean sheetsFailed to score
Moldova153.280%40%33%33%27%40%
Italy153.8793%80%53%60%27%13%
Venue split (Home vs Away)
TeamWherePldWDLGoalsPPGOver 2.5Clean sheets
MoldovaHome73047-161.2957%43%
ItalyAway851217-15275%13%
1st half vs 2nd half scoring
TeamGames1H goals2H goals2H share1H Over 0.5HT W-D-L
Moldova156-206-1650%87%4-2-9
Italy1513-1222-1163%93%8-3-4
Head-to-head, computed
Meetings on record
3
Period covered
2004-09-08 – 2025-06-09
Moldova wins
0
Draws
0
Italy wins
3
Avg goals per meeting
3
Over 2.5 goals
33%
Both teams scored
0%
Home side won
67%share of all meetings won by whichever team hosted
Most recent meetings
DateHomeScoreAway
2025-06-09Italy2-0Moldova
2020-10-07Italy6-0Moldova
2004-09-08Moldova0-1Italy
Standings before kickoff (rebuilt from 13 earlier results)
TeamPosPldPtsGDFormForm rankForm vs pos
Moldova541-13LLLD4+1
Italy25125LWWWW20
Table context
Points gap
11 ptsMoldova 1 · Italy 12
Positions
#5 vs #2

How we calculate this

WC Qualification Europe Standings

WC Qualification Europe · 2026

Full standings
#TeamPGDPTS
16+1315
···
58-370
18+3224
28+918
38-112
48-134
58-271
18+2218
28+1016
18+2222

Statistical Comparison

Statistical Comparison

WC Qualification Europe
Moldova
8 matches
Italy
8 matches
#5Position#2
1Points18
0Wins6
1Draws0
7Losses2
5Goals21
0.63Goals per game2.63
32Goals conceded12
4.00Goals per game conceded1.50

Moldova vs Italy — Statistical Win Probability, Goal Markets & xG Projection

Poisson goal model computed from recent form (8 vs 8 matches) & H2H history

1X2 Statistical Win ProbabilityMoldova 11% · X · Draw 14% · Italy 75%
1 · Home Win
11%
X · Draw
14%
2 · Away Win
75%
Projected Goals (xG Model)
1.07 vs 3.01
Projected Total: 4.08
Over 1.5 Goals
91%
Over 2.5 Goals
77%
Over 3.5 Goals
57%
Both Teams to Score (BTTS)
62%
Clean Sheet Prob. (H / A)
5% / 34%
Moldova / Italy
Most Likely Scorelines (Poisson):
1 - 3(8.5%)1 - 2(8.5%)0 - 3(8.0%)
Last Matches

Recent matches

Previous Meetings
Head to Head

Match summary

Italy beat Moldova 2-0 in the WC Qualification Europe.

Before kickoff, Moldova sat 5th on 1 point, while Italy were 2nd on 12 points. Moldova had gone 9 matches without a win before this one. Italy had won 5 matches in a row before this one. Across 3 previous meetings on record, Moldova won 0 and Italy won 3, with 0 draws (3 goals per game).

Gianluca Mancini (88') and Pio Esposito (90') scored the goals for Italy.