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Norway vs Estonia Result, Stats, Lineups & H2H

FT · HT 0–04 – 1

Alexander Sørloth 50′, 52′Erling Haaland 56′, 62′1st

4thRobi Saarma 64′

Player of the matchJulian RyersonNOR · 2 assists · 90′ · 9 duels won · 9 recoveries · 4 key passes

8.8
Table · 21 v 4 pts
1st4th

WC Qualification EuropeMatchday 9Ullevaal StadionRef M. Jug

Events

NOR 4–1 EST
  1. Full time 4–1
  2. Aron Dønnumfor Antonio Nusa
  3. Fredrik Bjørkanfor David Møller Wolfe
  4. Markus Poomfor Kevor Palumets
  5. Marten-Chris Paalbergfor Rauno Sappinen
  6. Patrik Kristalfor Rocco Shein
  7. Martin Vetkalfor Markus Soomets
  8. Kristian Thorstvedtfor Alexander Sørloth
  9. Morten Thorsbyfor Patrick Berg
  10. Andreas Schjelderupfor Oscar Bobb
  11. Martin Millerfor Robi Saarma
  12. Robi Saarma4–1Goal · right foot · assist Kevor Palumets
  13. Erling Haaland4–0Goal · right foot · assist David Møller Wolfe
  14. Erling Haaland3–0Goal · header · assist Julian Ryerson
  15. Alexander Sørloth2–0Goal · header · assist Julian Ryerson
  16. Alexander Sørloth1–0Goal · header · assist Sander Berge
  17. Half-time 0–0

Top ratings

XI avg 7.53 v 6.39
  1. Julian RyersonNOR8.8
  2. Alexander SørlothNOR8.8
  3. Erling HaalandNOR8.6
  4. Sander BergeNOR7.8
  5. Antonio NusaNOR7.7

Table after full time

WC Qualification Europe 2026
#TeamPW-D-LGoalsGDPtsBefore
1Norway77-0-033:4+29211st
2Italy65-0-118:8+10152nd
3Israel73-0-415:19-493rd
4Estonia81-1-68:21-1344th
5Moldova60-1-54:26-2215th
Norway
1st18 → 21 pts
Estonia
4th4 → 4 pts

Order: points, goal difference, goals scored. “Before” is the position at kick-off. Full table

Head-to-head

3 meetings on record since 2014

1-1-1Norway W-D-L · goals 1:1

1 NOR1 draws1 EST
Goals per meeting
0.67
Over 2.5 goals
0%
Both teams scored
0%
Won by the host
0%
  1. Estonia0–1NorwayWC Qualification Europe
  2. Estonia0–0NorwayFriendly International
  3. Norway0–1EstoniaFriendly International

Season comparison

as the teams came into the match
Norwayall competitionsEstonia
  1. Goal markets & scoring rates · 15 games each
  2. 4.07Goals per game (both sides)2.53
  3. 80%Over 1.567%
  4. 73%Over 2.553%
  5. 53%Over 3.533%
  6. 47%Both teams scored47%
  7. 53%Clean sheets13%
  8. 7%Failed to score53%
  9. Norway at home v Estonia away
  10. 8Played7
  11. 7Won1
  12. 1Drawn2
  13. 0Lost4
  14. 31-3Goals (for-against)5-14
  15. 2.75Points per game0.71
  16. 75%Over 2.557%
  17. 63%Clean sheets14%
  18. 1st half vs 2nd half scoring · 15 games each
  19. 25-61st-half goals (for-against)7-10
  20. 22-82nd-half goals (for-against)4-17
  21. 47%Goals after half-time36%
  22. 87%Goal before half-time53%
  23. 9-4-2Half-time W-D-L3-9-3

How we calculate this

What stands out

  • 0–0half-time

    The match stood at 0–0 at half-time before 4–1 after the break (4–1 full time).

  • 1-1-1prior H2H

    Entering this match, Norway held a 1-1-1 record across 3 previous meetings with Estonia.

Team stats

6 figures
Norwayfull timeEstonia
  1. 5Big chances created1
  2. 2Big chances missed0
  3. 85%Forward passes %81%
  4. 73Passes in final third37
  5. 41Ball recoveries31
  6. 113Possession lost101

Lineups

Starting XIs · ratings at full time
Norway4-4-27.53 avg rating 6.395-4-1Estonia
  1. 16.0Karl Hein
  1. 236.1Vlasiy Sinyavskiy
  2. 186.4Karol Mets
  3. 26.4Märten Kuusk
  4. 66.1Rasmus Peetson
  5. 195.8Michael Schjönning-Larsen
  1. 56.7Rocco Shein↓83′
  2. 46.5Markus Soomets↓75′
  3. 106.9Kevor PalumetsA ↓83′
  4. 76.9Robi SaarmaG ↓69′
  1. 156.5Rauno Sappinen↓83′
  1. 2Morten ThorsbyMF · ↑74′6.3
  2. 10Andreas SchjelderupFW · ↑69′6.4
  3. 15Fredrik BjørkanDF · ↑86′
  4. 18Kristian ThorstvedtMF · ↑74′6.5
  5. 19Aron DønnumMF · ↑86′
  6. 4Leo ØstigårdDF
  7. 11Jørgen Strand LarsenFW
  8. 12Mathias DyngelandGK
  9. 13Sander TangvikGK
  10. 16Marcus PedersenDF
  11. 21Sondre LangåsDF
  12. 23Kristian ArnstadMF

SubstitutesCoaches: Ståle Solbakken (1.76 PPG) · Jürgen Henn (1.65 PPG)G goal · A assist · YC yellow · RC red · ↑ on · ↓ off

  1. 9Martin VetkalMF · ↑75′6.7
  2. 14Patrik KristalMF · ↑83′6.4
  3. 16Marten-Chris PaalbergFW · ↑83′6.7
  4. 17Martin MillerMF · ↑69′6.4
  5. 20Markus PoomMF · ↑83′6.5
  6. 3Kristofer KaitDF
  7. 8Henri AnierFW
  8. 11Erko TougjasDF
  9. 12Henri PerkGK
  10. 13Joseph SalisteDF
  11. 21Alex TammFW
  12. 22Karl Andre VallnerGK

Expected vs happened

as of kick-off

87%Model · draw 9%4%

Projected goals
3.33 – 0.62total 3.95 · from goals per game before kick-off
Most likely scores
3–0 11.8%2–0 10.7%4–0 9.8%
OutcomeModelHappened
Norway win87%Yes
Draw9%No
Estonia win4%No
Over 1.5 goals90%Yes
Over 2.5 goals74%Yes
Over 3.5 goals53%Yes
Both teams to score45%Yes
Norway clean sheet54%No
Estonia clean sheet4%No

Model: Poisson rates from goals scored and conceded per game (not expected goals). How we calculate this

Matchday 9

WC Qualification Europe · the other 10 games
  1. Azerbaijan0–2Iceland
  2. Armenia0–1Hungary
  3. Republic of Ireland2–0Portugal
  4. France4–0Ukraine
  5. Moldova0–2Italy
  6. Finland0–1Malta
  7. Luxembourg0–2Germany
  8. Slovakia1–0Northern Ireland
  9. Poland1–1Netherlands
  10. Croatia3–1Faroe Islands
WC Qualification Europe fixtures and results →

TV channels

Other
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Match info

Season
2026 · Matchday 9 of 11
Stage
Group Stage
Kick-off
Venue
Ullevaal Stadion, Oslo
Capacity
28,000 · grass
Weather
2 °C · light snow · humidity 63%
Referee
M. Jug
NOR coach
Ståle Solbakken (1.76 PPG)
EST coach
Jürgen Henn (1.65 PPG)

Match summary

Norway beat Estonia 4-1 in the WC Qualification Europe, Group Stage.

Before kickoff, Norway sat 1st on 12 points, while Estonia were 4th on 4 points. Norway had gone 10 matches unbeaten before this one. Across 3 previous meetings on record, Norway won 1 and Estonia won 1, with 1 draw (0.67 goals per game).

Goals came from Alexander Sørloth (50', 52') and Erling Haaland (56', 62') for Norway and Robi Saarma (64') for Estonia.

Norway — live results and scheduleEstonia — live results and scheduleHow we calculate this

Player leaders

this match

Big chances created

  1. Julian RyersonNOR2
  2. Sander BergeNOR1
  3. Antonio NusaNOR1

Passes

  1. Sander BergeNOR112/117
  2. Kristoffer AjerNOR99/107
  3. Torbjørn HeggemNOR92/94

Progressive passes

  1. Kristoffer AjerNOR103 (96%)
  2. Sander BergeNOR102 (87%)
  3. Torbjørn HeggemNOR93 (99%)

Final-third passes

  1. Sander BergeNOR17
  2. Kristoffer AjerNOR15
  3. Julian RyersonNOR11

Ball recoveries

  1. Julian RyersonNOR9
  2. Sander BergeNOR7
  3. Karl HeinEST6

Duels won

  1. Julian RyersonNOR9/13
  2. Antonio NusaNOR9/12
  3. Alexander SørlothNOR8/14

Dribbles

  1. Antonio NusaNOR5/6
  2. Julian RyersonNOR2/5
  3. Rocco SheinEST2/3

Form

last 10 matches of each side, all competitions, before kick-off
Norway30d restequal rest · old → new30d restEstonia
  1. 4-1W14 Nov
  2. 5-0W17 Nov
  3. 5-0W22 Mar
  4. 4-2W25 Mar
  5. 3-0W6 Jun
  6. 1-0W9 Jun
  7. 1-0W4 Sep
  8. 11-1W9 Sep
  9. 5-0W11 Oct
  10. 1-1D14 Oct

9-1-0goals 40:52.80pts/game

Bar: goals scored.
Score: own goals first.Pts/game: green ≥ 2.0 · blue ≥ 1.5 · amber ≥ 1.0 · red below

  1. 0-0D16 Nov
  2. 0-1L19 Nov
  3. 1-2L22 Mar
  4. 3-2W25 Mar
  5. 1-3L6 Jun
  6. 0-1L9 Jun
  7. 0-5L5 Sep
  8. 0-0D9 Sep
  9. 1-3L11 Oct
  10. 1-1D14 Oct

1-3-6goals 7:180.60pts/game

  1. HNew Zealand1–1
  2. HIsrael5–0
  3. HMoldova11–1
  4. HFinland1–0
  5. AEstonia1–0

latest 5

  1. HMoldova1–1
  2. HItaly1–3
  3. HAndorra0–0
  4. AItaly0–5
  5. HNorway0–1
Show older matches
  1. HItaly3–0
  2. AIsrael4–2
  3. AMoldova5–0
  4. HKazakhstan5–0
  5. ASlovenia4–1

older

  1. HIsrael1–3
  2. AMoldova3–2
  3. AIsrael1–2
  4. ASlovakia0–1
  5. AAzerbaijan0–0

Referee

M. Jug
Cards / match
4.84this match 0 (-4.84)
Yellows / match
4.59
Reds / match
0.25
Penalties / match
0.2019% of matches
Fouls / match
25.5

1.97Home 1.97 vs Away 2.62 yellows/match · +0.65 away · 10–14 red · 1 coach card2.62

47%Results in 100 recent matches · draw 23%30%

home winsaway wins
With Norway
1-0-1 in 2 · 0.5 yellows/game
With Estonia
0-0-1 in 1 · 2 yellows/game

Analysed latest 100 of 114 career matches (97 with card data).

Updated