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Estonia vs Moldova
Result, Stats, Lineups & H2H

1
-FT
1
Oct 14, 2025
Sportland Arena

Match Timeline

Man of the Match
88'Yellow Card
Moldova
88'Yellow Card
Estonia
Estonia
Moldova
Goal!
1-1
⚽
Moldova
Moldova
59'Substitution
Karel Mustmaa
Karel Mustmaa· In
Estonia
Estonia
Moldova
44'Yellow Card
Estonia
33'Yellow Card
Moldova
29'Yellow Card
Moldova
Goal!
1-0
Mattias Käit
Mattias Käit
12'·Estonia
⚽

Match Statistics

Statistics of the Game

Estonia
Estonia
Moldova
Moldova
61%Ball Possession39%
17Shots Total16
4Shots On Target4
3Corners4
15Fouls11
2Yellow Cards3
0Offsides1
3Saves3
529Passes339
5Shots Off Target7
132Attacks72
48Dangerous Attacks36
6Shots Inside Box8
11Shots Outside Box8
1Goals1
11Free Kicks15
8Shots Blocked5
4Substitutions5
0Hit Woodwork1
11Tackles13
0Assists1
441Accurate Passes250
21Total Crosses16
2Accurate Crosses5
4Interceptions11
37Duels Won60
0Big Chances Created1
0Big Chances Missed1

Team Lineups

Player Stats

PlayerRatingMinGoalsAssistsShotsPassesTacklesDuels
7.6
86'102/3
35(79%)
1
5/11
7.1
90'00-
48(78%)
1
4/8
7.1
90'000/2
58(86%)
1
7/8
7.0
90'00-
66(83%)
1
5/10
6.9
90'000/1
80(91%)
1
3/6
6.8
59'000/2
17(71%)
1
4/10
6.8
90'00-
110(85%)
1
3/14
6.7
90'00-
43(86%)
-
1/1
6.7
59'001/3
9(67%)
1
1/4
6.6
82'001/1
17(71%)
1
1/7
6.5
90'000/4
15(80%)
-
0/5
6.4
8'00-
1(100%)
-
0/1
6.4
31'00-
20(70%)
-
0/3
Karel Mustmaa
Karel Mustmaa
FW
6.4
31'000/1
8(71%)
1
1/6
-4'00-
2(100%)
1
2/3

Estonia vs Moldova H2H, Form & Key Stats

Current streaks (all competitions)
TeamGamesRunUnbeatenWinlessScored inConceded inLast-5 ptsLast-5 goals
Estonia15L105111/152-12
Moldova15L708280/152-21
Estonia — last 5 games
  1. L1-3 vs Israel2025-06-06
  2. L0-1 vs Norway2025-06-09
  3. L0-5 @ Italy2025-09-05
  4. D0-0 vs Andorra2025-09-09
  5. L1-3 vs Italy2025-10-11
Moldova — last 5 games
  1. L0-2 @ Poland2025-06-06
  2. L0-2 @ Italy2025-06-09
  3. L0-4 vs Israel2025-09-05
  4. L1-11 @ Norway2025-09-09
  5. L1-2 @ Romania2025-10-09
Goal markets & scoring rates
TeamGamesAvg goalsOver 1.5Over 2.5Over 3.5BTTSClean sheetsFailed to score
Estonia152.7367%60%40%47%13%53%
Moldova153.480%47%40%33%27%40%
Venue split (Home vs Away)
TeamWherePldWDLGoalsPPGOver 2.5Clean sheets
EstoniaHome82159-130.8863%13%
MoldovaAway71154-190.5729%14%
1st half vs 2nd half scoring
TeamGames1H goals2H goals2H share1H Over 0.5HT W-D-L
Estonia157-117-1650%53%2-10-3
Moldova157-197-1850%87%5-2-8
Head-to-head, computed
Meetings on record
2
Period covered
2008-11-18 – 2025-03-25
Estonia wins
2
Draws
0
Moldova wins
0
Avg goals per meeting
3
Over 2.5 goals
50%
Both teams scored
50%
Home side won
50%share of all meetings won by whichever team hosted
Most recent meetings
DateHomeScoreAway
2025-03-25Moldova2-3Estonia
2008-11-18Estonia1-0Moldova
Standings before kickoff (rebuilt from 10 earlier results)
TeamPosPldPtsGDFormForm rankForm vs pos
Estonia453-5LWLLL40
Moldova530-13LLL50
Table context
Points gap
3 ptsEstonia 3 · Moldova 0
Positions
#4 vs #5

How we calculate this

WC Qualification Europe Standings

WC Qualification Europe · 2026

Full standings
#TeamPGDPTS
16+1315
28+918
38-112
48-134
58-271
18+2218
28+1016
18+2222

Statistical Comparison

Statistical Comparison

WC Qualification Europe
Estonia
8 matches
Moldova
8 matches
#4Position#5
4Points1
1Wins0
1Draws1
6Losses7
8Goals5
1.00Goals per game0.63
21Goals conceded32
2.63Goals per game conceded4.00

Estonia vs Moldova — Statistical Win Probability, Goal Markets & xG Projection

Poisson goal model computed from recent form (8 vs 8 matches) & H2H history

1X2 Statistical Win ProbabilityEstonia 60% · X · Draw 18% · Moldova 22%
1 · Home Win
60%
X · Draw
18%
2 · Away Win
22%
Projected Goals (xG Model)
2.63 vs 1.55
Projected Total: 4.17
Over 1.5 Goals
92%
Over 2.5 Goals
78%
Over 3.5 Goals
59%
Both Teams to Score (BTTS)
73%
Clean Sheet Prob. (H / A)
21% / 7%
Estonia / Moldova
Most Likely Scorelines (Poisson):
2 - 1(8.4%)3 - 1(7.3%)2 - 2(6.5%)
Last Matches
Previous Meetings

Previous Meetings

Last 2 matches
Head to Head

Estonia vs Moldova — Head to Head

Match summary

Estonia and Moldova drew 1-1 in the WC Qualification Europe, Group Stage.

Before kickoff, Estonia sat 4th on 3 points, while Moldova were 5th on 0 points. Moldova had lost 7 matches in a row before this one. Across 2 previous meetings on record, Estonia won 2 and Moldova won 0, with 0 draws (3 goals per game).

Goals came from Mattias Käit (12') for Estonia and Ștefan Bodișteanu (64') for Moldova.