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Italy vs Israel
Result, Stats, Lineups & H2H

3
-FT
0
Oct 14, 2025
Dacia Arena

Match Timeline

Man of the Match
90'+4Yellow Card
Italy
Goal!
3-0
Gianluca Mancini
Gianluca Mancini
90'+3·Italy
⚽
Italy
Italy
Israel
Israel
88'Yellow Card
Italy
Israel
Goal!
2-0
Mateo Retegui
Mateo Retegui
74'·Italy
⚽
Israel
Israel
Goal!
1-0
Mateo Retegui
Mateo Retegui
45'+2·Italy
⚽
42'Yellow Card
Israel

Match Statistics

Statistics of the Game

Italy
Italy
Israel
Israel
53%Ball Possession47%
16Shots Total8
6Shots On Target2
4Corners3
11Fouls9
2Yellow Cards1
2Offsides0
2Saves2
477Passes443
4Shots Off Target5
100Attacks62
46Dangerous Attacks32
10Shots Inside Box6
6Shots Outside Box2
3Goals0
9Free Kicks12
6Shots Blocked1
5Substitutions5
0Hit Woodwork1
19Tackles7
1Assists0
415Accurate Passes392
3Injuries2
20Total Crosses6
7Accurate Crosses1
6Interceptions13
40Duels Won28
4Big Chances Created1
2Big Chances Missed1

Team Lineups

Player Stats

PlayerRatingMinGoalsAssistsShotsPassesTacklesDuels
9.2
90'202/5
10(80%)
3
7/9
7.5
90'010/1
33(91%)
1
2/4
7.4
90'101/2
57(93%)
-
4/5
7.2
86'00-
60(92%)
1
1/2
7.1
85'000/1
41(93%)
3
4/4
7.1
90'001/3
40(75%)
1
3/6
7.1
90'001/1
60(83%)
1
5/8
7.1
90'00-
28(79%)
-
0/1
6.9
90'000/1
52(87%)
7
10/18
6.8
90'00-
66(91%)
1
1/2
6.6
46'000/1
12(92%)
-
0/2
6.5
44'001/1
11(64%)
1
2/6
6.5
5'00-
2(100%)
-
-
-1'00-
-
-
-
-4'00-
5(80%)
-
1/1
-1'00-
-
-
-

Italy vs Israel H2H, Form & Key Stats

Current streaks (all competitions)
TeamGamesRunUnbeatenWinlessScored inConceded inLast-5 ptsLast-5 goals
Italy15W4404212/1515-8
Israel15L202026/1511-12
Italy — last 5 games
  1. L0-3 @ Norway2025-06-06
  2. W2-0 vs Moldova2025-06-09
  3. W5-0 vs Estonia2025-09-05
  4. W5-4 @ Israel2025-09-08
  5. W3-1 @ Estonia2025-10-11
Israel — last 5 games
  1. W3-1 @ Estonia2025-06-06
  2. L0-1 vs Slovakia2025-06-10
  3. W4-0 @ Moldova2025-09-05
  4. L4-5 vs Italy2025-09-08
  5. L0-5 @ Norway2025-10-11
Goal markets & scoring rates
TeamGamesAvg goalsOver 1.5Over 2.5Over 3.5BTTSClean sheetsFailed to score
Italy153.893%73%53%67%20%13%
Israel153.880%80%60%53%27%27%
Venue split (Home vs Away)
TeamWherePldWDLGoalsPPGOver 2.5Clean sheets
ItalyHome631215-81.6783%33%
IsraelAway831413-161.2588%38%
1st half vs 2nd half scoring
TeamGames1H goals2H goals2H share1H Over 0.5HT W-D-L
Italy1512-1221-1264%87%7-4-4
Israel1510-1514-1858%80%2-7-6
Head-to-head, computed
Meetings on record
3
Period covered
2024-09-09 – 2025-09-08
Italy wins
3
Draws
0
Israel wins
0
Avg goals per meeting
5.67
Over 2.5 goals
100%
Both teams scored
100%
Home side won
33%share of all meetings won by whichever team hosted
Most recent meetings
DateHomeScoreAway
2025-09-08Israel4-5Italy
2024-10-14Italy4-1Israel
2024-09-09Israel1-2Italy
Standings before kickoff (rebuilt from 11 earlier results)
TeamPosPldPtsGDFormForm rankForm vs pos
Italy2492LWWW20
Israel3460WLWL30
Table context
Points gap
3 ptsItaly 9 · Israel 6
Positions
#2 vs #3

How we calculate this

WC Qualification Europe Standings

WC Qualification Europe · 2026

Full standings
#TeamPGDPTS
16+1315
···
58-370
18+3224
28+918
38-112
48-134
58-271
18+2222

Statistical Comparison

Statistical Comparison

WC Qualification Europe
Italy
8 matches
Israel
8 matches
#2Position#3
18Points12
6Wins4
0Draws0
2Losses4
21Goals19
2.63Goals per game2.38
12Goals conceded20
1.50Goals per game conceded2.50

Italy vs Israel — Statistical Win Probability, Goal Markets & xG Projection

Poisson goal model computed from recent form (8 vs 8 matches) & H2H history

1X2 Statistical Win ProbabilityItaly 56% · X · Draw 18% · Israel 26%
1 · Home Win
56%
X · Draw
18%
2 · Away Win
26%
Projected Goals (xG Model)
2.79 vs 1.91
Projected Total: 4.71
Over 1.5 Goals
95%
Over 2.5 Goals
84%
Over 3.5 Goals
68%
Both Teams to Score (BTTS)
80%
Clean Sheet Prob. (H / A)
15% / 6%
Italy / Israel
Most Likely Scorelines (Poisson):
2 - 1(6.9%)2 - 2(6.6%)3 - 1(6.5%)
Last Matches

Recent matches

Oct 11, 2025
3-1
Estonia
@ Estonia
Away
Sep 8, 2025
5-4
Israel
@ Israel
Away
Sep 5, 2025
5-0
Estonia
vs Estonia
Home
Jun 9, 2025
2-0
Moldova
vs Moldova
Home
Jun 6, 2025
0-3
Norway
@ Norway
Away
Previous Meetings
Head to Head

Match summary

Italy beat Israel 3-0 in the WC Qualification Europe, Group Stage.

Before kickoff, Italy sat 2nd on 9 points, while Israel were 3rd on 6 points. Across 3 previous meetings on record, Italy won 3 and Israel won 0, with 0 draws (5.67 goals per game).

Mateo Retegui (45', 74') and Gianluca Mancini (90') scored the goals for Italy.