Match summary
Ethiopia beat Guinea-Bissau 1-0 in the CAF World Cup Qualifiers, Group Stage.
Before kickoff, Ethiopia sat 5th on 6 points, while Guinea-Bissau were 4th on 10 points.
Ramkel James (27') scored for Ethiopia.
Ethiopia vs Guinea-Bissau
Result, Stats, Lineups & H2H
Match Timeline
Man of the Match
87'Substitution
Ethiopia
83'Yellow Card
Ethiopia
72'Substitution
Ethiopia
66'Yellow Card
Ethiopia
66'Yellow Card
Yitagesu Tariku
Ethiopia
60'Substitution
Ethiopia
59'Substitution
Ethiopia
Goal!
1-0
Ramkel James
27'·Ethiopia
⚽
Match Statistics
Statistics of the Game
Guinea-Bissau
0%Ball Possession0%
7Shots Total12
2Shots On Target2
0Corners0
8Fouls9
2Yellow Cards1
0Offsides0
0Saves0
0Passes0
92Attacks116
42Dangerous Attacks72
7Goal Attempts8
5Shots Off Target10
0Shots Inside Box0
0Shots Outside Box0
1Goals0
0Shots Blocked4
5Substitutions4
0Accurate Passes0
0Red Cards0
86Ball Safe96
2Injuries0
Team Lineups
Manager: M. Teferi Kassa
Starting XI
23
16
3
13
12
5
20
18
7
10
Substitutes
1
2
4
6
8
9
14
15
21
Manager: N/A
Starting XI
18
FG
Fernando Gomes11
Substitutes
12
23
Player Stats
| Player | Rating | Min | Goals | Assists | Shots | Passes | Tackles | Duels |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Ramkel James DF | 90' | 1 | 0 | - | - | - | - | |
Bereket Desta FW | 72' | 0 | 0 | - | - | - | - | |
Biniam Ayten MF | 59' | 0 | 0 | - | - | - | - | |
Ahmed Reshid DF | 90' | 0 | 0 | - | - | - | - | |
| 87' | 0 | 0 | - | - | - | - | ||
Wogene Gezahegn FW | 90' | 0 | 0 | - | - | - | - | |
Bereket Waza MF | 60' | 0 | 0 | - | - | - | - | |
Firew Getahun GK | 90' | 0 | 0 | - | - | - | - | |
Kitika Jemma FW | 18' | 0 | 0 | - | - | - | - |
Ethiopia vs Guinea-Bissau H2H, Form & Key Stats
| Team | Games | Run | Unbeaten | Winless | Scored in | Conceded in | Last-5 pts | Last-5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ethiopia | 15 | L2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 9 | 6/15 | 8-8 |
| Guinea-Bissau | 15 | W1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 4/15 | 4-6 |
- W2-1 @ Congo DR2024-11-19
- L0-2 vs Egypt2025-03-21
- W6-1 vs Djibouti2025-03-24
- L0-2 @ Egypt2025-09-05
- L0-2 @ Sierra Leone2025-09-09
- L1-2 vs Burkina Faso2025-03-24
- L0-1 vs Burundi2025-06-06
- L0-2 @ Gabon2025-06-09
- D1-1 vs Sierra Leone2025-09-04
- W2-0 vs Djibouti2025-09-08
| Team | Games | Avg goals | Over 1.5 | Over 2.5 | Over 3.5 | BTTS | Clean sheets | Failed to score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ethiopia | 15 | 2.6 | 87% | 47% | 13% | 40% | 13% | 60% |
| Guinea-Bissau | 15 | 1.8 | 60% | 27% | 7% | 47% | 27% | 40% |
| Team | Where | Pld | W | D | L | Goals | PPG | Over 2.5 | Clean sheets |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ethiopia | Home | 8 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 9-16 | 0.75 | 63% | 0% |
| Guinea-Bissau | Away | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3-9 | 0.2 | 40% | 0% |
| Team | Games | 1H goals | 2H goals | 2H share | 1H Over 0.5 | HT W-D-L |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ethiopia | 15 | 5-17 | 8-9 | 62% | 73% | 2-5-8 |
| Guinea-Bissau | 13 | 5-6 | 5-8 | 50% | 62% | 2-8-3 |
| Team | Pos | Pld | Pts | GD | Form | Form rank | Form vs pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ethiopia | 5 | 8 | 6 | -4 | DLWLL | 5 | 0 |
| Guinea-Bissau | 4 | 8 | 10 | 0 | DLLDW | 4 | 0 |
- Points gap
- 4 ptsEthiopia 6 · Guinea-Bissau 10
- Positions
- #5 vs #4
- Goals per game
- 0.88/1.38 vs 1/1scored/conceded per game · league average 1.33
CAF World Cup Qualifiers Standings
CAF World Cup Qualifiers · 2026
| # | Team | P | GD | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 10 | +18 | 26 | |
| 2 | 10 | +15 | 21 | |
| 3 | 10 | +2 | 15 | |
| 4 | 10 | -2 | 10 | |
| 5 | 10 | -5 | 9 | |
| 6 | 10 | -28 | 1 | |
| 1 | 10 | +19 | 24 | |
| 2 | 10 | +5 | 19 |
8 / 50Full standings →
Statistical Comparison
Ethiopia vs Guinea-Bissau — Statistical Win Probability, Goal Markets & xG Projection
Poisson goal model computed from recent form (10 vs 10 matches) & H2H history
1X2 Statistical Win ProbabilityEthiopia 34% · X · Draw 30% · Guinea-Bissau 36%
1 · Home Win
34%
X · Draw
30%
2 · Away Win
36%
Projected Goals (xG Model)
1.00 vs 1.04
Projected Total: 2.04
Over 1.5 Goals
61%
Over 2.5 Goals
33%
Over 3.5 Goals
15%
Both Teams to Score (BTTS)
41%
Clean Sheet Prob. (H / A)
35% / 37%
Ethiopia / Guinea-Bissau
Most Likely Scorelines (Poisson):
0 - 1(13.6%)1 - 1(13.5%)0 - 0(13.0%)
Recent matches
Sep 9, 2025
0-2
Away
Sep 5, 2025
0-2
Away
Mar 24, 2025
6-1
Home
Mar 21, 2025
0-2
Home
Nov 19, 2024
2-1
Away
Sep 8, 2025
2-0
Home
Sep 4, 2025
1-1
Home
Jun 9, 2025
0-2
Away
Jun 6, 2025
0-1
Home
Mar 24, 2025
1-2
Home
Previous Meetings
Last match
Goals
0-0
Total matches
1Ethiopia vs Guinea-Bissau — Head to Head
Last match
0
Ethiopia wins
1
Draws
0
Guinea-Bissau wins
Goals Scored
0 - 0
Matchday 9 — CAF World Cup Qualifiers
- Eritrea vs Morocco — 5 Oct 2025
- Mauritius vs Cameroon — 8 Oct 20250-2
- Libya vs Cape Verde Islands — 8 Oct 20253-3
- Eswatini vs Angola — 8 Oct 20252-2
- Djibouti vs Egypt — 8 Oct 20250-3
- Sierra Leone vs Burkina Faso — 8 Oct 20250-1
- Chad vs Mali — 8 Oct 20250-2
- Central African Republic vs Ghana — 8 Oct 20250-5
- Comoros vs Madagascar — 8 Oct 20251-2
- Tanzania vs Zambia — 8 Oct 20250-1