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Egypt vs Ethiopia
Result, Stats, Lineups & H2H

Egypt

Salah41'(P)
Marmoush45+2'(P)
2
-FT
0
Sep 05, 2025
Cairo International Stadium|Cairo

Match Timeline

Man of the Match
Egypt
83'Substitution
Bereket Waza
Bereket Waza· In
Wogene Gezahegn
Wogene Gezahegn· Out
Ethiopia
83'Substitution
Mohammed Abera· In
Ethiopia
Egypt
72'Substitution
Ahmed Reshid
Ahmed Reshid· In
Asrat Tonjo
Asrat Tonjo· Out
Ethiopia
Ethiopia
Egypt
Egypt
46'Substitution
Haider Sherefa
Haider Sherefa· In
Habtamu Tekeste
Habtamu Tekeste· Out
Ethiopia
Goal!
2-0
Omar Marmoush
Omar Marmoush
45'+2·Egypt
⚽
Goal!
1-0
Mohamed Salah
Mohamed Salah
41'·Egypt
⚽
40'Yellow Card
Beneyam Demte
Beneyam Demte
Ethiopia
40'Yellow Card
Egypt
38'Yellow Card
Ethiopia
36'Yellow Card
Egypt
36'Yellow Card
Egypt

Match Statistics

Statistics of the Game

Egypt
Egypt
Ethiopia
Ethiopia
63%Ball Possession37%
20Shots Total6
10Shots On Target2
7Corners2
10Fouls5
2Yellow Cards2
2Offsides1
2Saves10
187Attacks91
153Dangerous Attacks36
19Goal Attempts6
10Shots Off Target4
2Goals0
2Shots Blocked0
6Substitutions6
0Red Cards0
100Ball Safe99

Team Lineups

Manager: M. Teferi Kassa

Starting XI

1
Abubeker Nura
Abubeker Nura
5.9
21
Asrat Tonjo
Asrat Tonjo
6.0
3
Ramkel James
Ramkel James
6.0
16
Yared Baye
Yared Baye
6.0
18
Wogene Gezahegn
Wogene Gezahegn
6.4
6
Habtamu Tekeste
Habtamu Tekeste
7
Bereket Desta
Bereket Desta
6.4
19
Yared Moges
Yared Moges
6.3
10
Beneyam Demte
Beneyam Demte
6.4

Substitutes

2
Ramadan Yesuf
Ramadan Yesuf
4
Mignot Debebe
Mignot Debebe
5
Haider Sherifa Juber
Haider Sherifa Juber
9
Abdulkarim Worku
Abdulkarim Worku
12
Dawa Hotessa
Dawa Hotessa
13
Ahmed Reshid
Ahmed Reshid
6.5
14
Mohammed Abera Hirugo
Mohammed Abera Hirugo
15
Nigatu Gebreselassie
Nigatu Gebreselassie
20
Bereket Waza
Bereket Waza
6.5
22
Biniam Genetu
Biniam Genetu
23
Firew Getahun
Firew Getahun

Player Stats

PlayerRatingMinGoalsAssistsShotsPassesTacklesDuels
6.7
63'10-
-
-
-
6.5
88'10-
-
-
-
6.5
90'00-
-
-
-
6.5
90'00-
-
-
-
6.5
90'00-
-
-
-
6.5
79'00-
-
-
-
6.5
79'00-
-
-
-
6.5
90'00-
-
-
-
6.5
90'00-
-
-
-
6.5
63'00-
-
-
-
6.5
11'00-
-
-
-
6.5
11'00-
-
-
-
6.5
27'00-
-
-
-
6.5
27'00-
-
-
-
6.5
90'00-
-
-
-
-2'00-
-
-
-

Egypt vs Ethiopia H2H, Form & Key Stats

Current streaks (all competitions)
TeamGamesRunUnbeatenWinlessScored inConceded inLast-5 ptsLast-5 goals
Egypt15W2201508/156-5
Ethiopia15W110176/158-9
Egypt — last 5 games
  1. D1-1 @ Cape Verde Islands2024-11-15
  2. D1-1 vs Botswana2024-11-19
  3. L1-3 vs South Africa2025-03-09
  4. W2-0 @ Ethiopia2025-03-21
  5. W1-0 vs Sierra Leone2025-03-25
Ethiopia — last 5 games
  1. L0-3 vs Guinea2024-10-15
  2. L0-2 vs Tanzania2024-11-16
  3. W2-1 @ Congo DR2024-11-19
  4. L0-2 vs Egypt2025-03-21
  5. W6-1 vs Djibouti2025-03-24
Goal markets & scoring rates
TeamGamesAvg goalsOver 1.5Over 2.5Over 3.5BTTSClean sheetsFailed to score
Egypt152.680%40%27%53%47%0%
Ethiopia152.473%47%13%40%20%60%
Venue split (Home vs Away)
TeamWherePldWDLGoalsPPGOver 2.5Clean sheets
EgyptHome952214-101.8944%44%
EthiopiaAway61324-7133%33%
1st half vs 2nd half scoring
TeamGames1H goals2H goals2H share1H Over 0.5HT W-D-L
Egypt1515-710-740%87%7-5-3
Ethiopia155-158-862%67%2-6-7
Head-to-head, computed
Meetings on record
2
Period covered
2023-09-08 – 2025-03-21
Egypt wins
2
Draws
0
Ethiopia wins
0
Avg goals per meeting
1.5
Over 2.5 goals
0%
Both teams scored
0%
Home side won
50%share of all meetings won by whichever team hosted
Most recent meetings
DateHomeScoreAway
2025-03-21Ethiopia0-2Egypt
2023-09-08Egypt1-0Ethiopia
Standings before kickoff (rebuilt from 20 earlier results)
TeamPosPldPtsGDFormForm rankForm vs pos
Egypt161612WWDWW10
Ethiopia5660LDDLW4+1
Table context
Points gap
10 ptsEgypt 16 · Ethiopia 6
Positions
#1 vs #5
Goals per game
2.33/0.33 vs 1.17/1.17scored/conceded per game · league average 1.45

How we calculate this

CAF World Cup Qualifiers Standings

CAF World Cup Qualifiers · 2026

Full standings
#TeamPGDPTS
110+1826
210+1521
310+215
410-210
510-59
610-281
110+1924
210+519

Statistical Comparison

Statistical Comparison

CAF World Cup Qualifiers
Egypt
10 matches
Ethiopia
10 matches
#1Position#5
26Points9
8Wins2
2Draws3
0Losses5
20Goals9
2.00Goals per game0.90
2Goals conceded14
0.20Goals per game conceded1.40

Egypt vs Ethiopia — Statistical Win Probability, Goal Markets & xG Projection

Poisson goal model computed from recent form (10 vs 10 matches) & H2H history

1X2 Statistical Win ProbabilityEgypt 67% · X · Draw 22% · Ethiopia 11%
1 · Home Win
67%
X · Draw
22%
2 · Away Win
11%
Projected Goals (xG Model)
1.78 vs 0.55
Projected Total: 2.33
Over 1.5 Goals
68%
Over 2.5 Goals
41%
Over 3.5 Goals
21%
Both Teams to Score (BTTS)
35%
Clean Sheet Prob. (H / A)
58% / 17%
Egypt / Ethiopia
Most Likely Scorelines (Poisson):
1 - 0(17.4%)2 - 0(15.5%)0 - 0(9.7%)
Last Matches

Recent matches

Mar 25, 2025
1-0
Sierra Leone
vs Sierra Leone
Home
Mar 21, 2025
2-0
Ethiopia
@ Ethiopia
Away
Mar 9, 2025
1-3
South Africa
vs South Africa
Home
Nov 19, 2024
1-1
Botswana
vs Botswana
Home
Nov 15, 2024
1-1
Cape Verde Islands
@ Cape Verde Islands
Away
Previous Meetings

Previous Meetings

Last 2 matches
Head to Head

Egypt vs Ethiopia — Head to Head

Match summary

Egypt beat Ethiopia 2-0 in the CAF World Cup Qualifiers, Group Stage.

Before kickoff, Egypt sat 1st on 16 points, while Ethiopia were 5th on 6 points. Across 2 previous meetings on record, Egypt won 2 and Ethiopia won 0, with 0 draws (1.5 goals per game).

Mohamed Salah (41') and Omar Marmoush (45') scored the goals for Egypt.