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Tanzania vs Zambia
Result, Stats, Lineups & H2H

0
-FT
1
Oct 08, 2025
Amaan Stadium|Zanzibar City

Match Timeline

Man of the Match
Zambia
89'Yellow Card
Zambia
Zambia
78'Yellow Card
Zambia
77'Substitution
Yahya Zayd
Yahya Zayd· Out
Tanzania
Goal!
0-1
Fashion Sakala
Fashion Sakala
75'·Zambia
⚽
66'Substitution
Pascal Msindo
Pascal Msindo· Out
Tanzania
56'Yellow Card
Tanzania
46'Substitution
Offen Francis Chikola
Offen Francis Chikola· In
Tanzania
46'Substitution
Obino Chisala
Obino Chisala· Out
Zambia
46'Substitution
Paul Peter· Out
Tanzania
33'Yellow Card
Tanzania
30'Yellow Card
—
Tanzania
30'Yellow Card
Yahya Zayd
Yahya Zayd
Tanzania

Match Statistics

Statistics of the Game

Tanzania
Tanzania
Zambia
Zambia
0%Ball Possession0%
13Shots Total6
2Shots On Target3
0Corners0
13Fouls13
3Yellow Cards2
0Offsides0
0Saves0
0Passes0
165Attacks110
74Dangerous Attacks59
8Goal Attempts4
11Shots Off Target3
0Shots Inside Box0
0Shots Outside Box0
0Goals1
2Shots Blocked0
6Substitutions5
0Accurate Passes0
0Red Cards0
82Ball Safe80
1Injuries4

Team Lineups

Starting XI

13
Yakoub Suleiman Ali
Yakoub Suleiman Ali
6.1
12
Pascal Msindo
Pascal Msindo
6.5
17
Yahya Zayd
Yahya Zayd
6.3
23
Khalid Habibu
Khalid Habibu
6.5
7
PP
Paul Peter

Substitutes

1
Hussein Masalanga
Hussein Masalanga
3
Miano Danilo
Miano Danilo
11
Offen Francis Chikola
Offen Francis Chikola
22
Lameck Lawi
Lameck Lawi

Starting XI

13
Gift Prosper Mphande
Gift Prosper Mphande
6.5
3
Obino Chisala
Obino Chisala
6.5

Player Stats

PlayerRatingMinGoalsAssistsShotsPassesTacklesDuels
6.5
46'00-
-
-
-
6.5
66'00-
-
-
-
Pascal Msindo
Pascal Msindo
DF
6.5
66'00-
-
-
-
6.5
13'00-
-
-
-
Khalid Habibu
Khalid Habibu
FW
6.5
90'00-
-
-
-
6.4
24'00-
-
-
-
6.4
44'00-
-
-
-
6.3
90'00-
-
-
-
Yahya Zayd
Yahya Zayd
MF
6.3
77'00-
-
-
-
6.3
90'00-
-
-
-
6.3
90'00-
-
-
-
6.3
24'00-
-
-
-
6.3
90'00-
-
-
-
Yakoub Suleiman Ali
Yakoub Suleiman Ali
GK
6.1
90'00-
-
-
-

Tanzania vs Zambia H2H, Form & Key Stats

Current streaks (all competitions)
TeamGamesRunUnbeatenWinlessScored inConceded inLast-5 ptsLast-5 goals
Tanzania15L203027/153-3
Zambia15L508080/152-10
Tanzania — last 5 games
  1. W1-0 @ Mauritania2025-08-06
  2. W2-1 vs Madagascar2025-08-09
  3. D0-0 @ Central African Republic2025-08-16
  4. L0-1 vs Morocco2025-08-22
  5. L0-1 vs Niger2025-09-09
Zambia — last 5 games
  1. L0-2 @ Congo DR2025-08-07
  2. L1-2 vs Angola2025-08-10
  3. L1-3 @ Morocco2025-08-14
  4. L0-1 vs Kenya2025-08-17
  5. L0-2 vs Morocco2025-09-08
Goal markets & scoring rates
TeamGamesAvg goalsOver 1.5Over 2.5Over 3.5BTTSClean sheetsFailed to score
Tanzania151.5347%20%0%20%40%53%
Zambia152.5367%40%27%27%33%47%
Venue split (Home vs Away)
TeamWherePldWDLGoalsPPGOver 2.5Clean sheets
TanzaniaHome105058-91.520%30%
ZambiaAway831410-151.2550%38%
1st half vs 2nd half scoring
TeamGames1H goals2H goals2H share1H Over 0.5HT W-D-L
Tanzania155-46-855%40%3-10-2
Zambia143-89-1575%50%1-8-5
Head-to-head, computed
Meetings on record
4
Period covered
2012-12-22 – 2024-06-11
Tanzania wins
2
Draws
1
Zambia wins
1
Avg goals per meeting
1.5
Over 2.5 goals
0%
Both teams scored
25%
Home side won
50%share of all meetings won by whichever team hosted
Most recent meetings
DateHomeScoreAway
2024-06-11Zambia0-1Tanzania
2024-01-21Zambia1-1Tanzania
2021-01-19Zambia2-0Tanzania
2012-12-22Tanzania1-0Zambia
Standings before kickoff (rebuilt from 13 earlier results)
TeamPosPldPtsGDFormForm rankForm vs pos
Tanzania356-3WLWLL2+1
Zambia2660LLLWL4-2
Table context
Points gap
0 ptsTanzania 6 · Zambia 6
Positions
#3 vs #2

How we calculate this

CAF World Cup Qualifiers Standings

CAF World Cup Qualifiers · 2026

Full standings
#TeamPGDPTS
110+1826
18+2024
28+115
38-110
4809
58-201
6000
210+519

Statistical Comparison

Statistical Comparison

CAF World Cup Qualifiers
Tanzania
8 matches
Zambia
8 matches
#3Position#4
10Points9
3Wins3
1Draws0
4Losses5
6Goals10
0.75Goals per game1.25
7Goals conceded10
0.88Goals per game conceded1.25

Tanzania vs Zambia — Statistical Win Probability, Goal Markets & xG Projection

Poisson goal model computed from recent form (8 vs 8 matches) & H2H history

1X2 Statistical Win ProbabilityTanzania 35% · X · Draw 31% · Zambia 34%
1 · Home Win
35%
X · Draw
31%
2 · Away Win
34%
Projected Goals (xG Model)
1.01 vs 0.97
Projected Total: 1.98
Over 1.5 Goals
59%
Over 2.5 Goals
32%
Over 3.5 Goals
14%
Both Teams to Score (BTTS)
39%
Clean Sheet Prob. (H / A)
38% / 37%
Tanzania / Zambia
Most Likely Scorelines (Poisson):
1 - 0(13.9%)0 - 0(13.8%)1 - 1(13.5%)
Last Matches

Recent matches

Sep 9, 2025
0-1
Niger
vs Niger
Home
Aug 22, 2025
0-1
Morocco
vs Morocco
Home
Aug 16, 2025
0-0
Central African Republic
@ Central African Republic
Away
Aug 9, 2025
2-1
Madagascar
vs Madagascar
Home
Aug 6, 2025
1-0
Mauritania
@ Mauritania
Away
Previous Meetings
Head to Head

Match summary

Zambia beat Tanzania 1-0 in the CAF World Cup Qualifiers, Group Stage.

Before kickoff, Tanzania (3rd) and Zambia (2nd) were level on 6 points in the table. Zambia had lost 5 matches in a row before this one. Across 4 previous meetings on record, Tanzania won 2 and Zambia won 1, with 1 draw (1.5 goals per game).

Fashion Sakala (75') scored for Zambia.