Match summary
Toluca beat Monterrey 1-0 in the Liga MX.
Across 10 previous meetings on record, Monterrey won 3 and Toluca won 4, with 3 draws (3.6 goals per game).
Toluca won with 36% of the possession. Helinho (56') scored for Toluca.
Match Timeline
Man of the Match
Match Statistics
Statistics of the Game
Toluca
64%Ball Possession36%
16Shots Total14
5Shots On Target2
2Corners4
9Fouls16
0Yellow Cards5
1Offsides1
1Saves5
611Passes335
6Shots Off Target6
130Attacks94
41Dangerous Attacks40
10Shots Inside Box6
6Shots Outside Box8
0Goals1
17Free Kicks8
5Shots Blocked6
5Substitutions4
20Tackles15
0Assists1
527Accurate Passes260
18Total Crosses15
12Accurate Crosses1
8Interceptions12
1Big Chances Created1
1Big Chances Missed1
Team Lineups
Manager: N/A
Starting XI
Substitutes
194
246
251
Manager: N/A
Starting XI
Substitutes
187
189
207
250
Player Stats
| Player | Rating | Min | Goals | Assists | Shots | Passes | Tackles | Duels |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 90' | 0 | 0 | 2/4 | 77(84%) | - | 3/8 | ||
| 90' | 0 | 0 | - | 71(90%) | 5 | 6/6 | ||
| 90' | 0 | 0 | 1/2 | 76(85%) | 5 | 6/10 | ||
| 90' | 0 | 0 | 0/2 | 26(88%) | 2 | 5/8 | ||
| 81' | 0 | 0 | - | 45(89%) | - | 4/6 | ||
| 60' | 0 | 0 | 0/1 | 43(88%) | 3 | 6/12 | ||
| 71' | 0 | 0 | 1/3 | 50(82%) | 1 | 3/7 | ||
| 90' | 0 | 0 | - | 61(92%) | - | 4/6 | ||
| 19' | 0 | 0 | - | 14(91%) | - | 3/5 | ||
| 90' | 0 | 0 | - | 41(88%) | - | - | ||
| 59' | 0 | 0 | 1/1 | 31(91%) | 3 | 3/4 | ||
| 30' | 0 | 0 | - | 17(75%) | 1 | 3/6 | ||
| 31' | 0 | 0 | 0/1 | 13(77%) | 1 | 2/2 | ||
| 59' | 0 | 0 | 0/2 | 21(71%) | - | 7/12 | ||
| 31' | 0 | 0 | - | 18(100%) | - | 1/3 | ||
Cristian Reyes MF | 9' | 0 | 0 | - | 7(57%) | - | 0/1 |
Monterrey vs Toluca H2H, Form & Key Stats
| Team | Games | Run | Unbeaten | Winless | Scored in | Conceded in | Last-5 pts | Last-5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Monterrey | 15 | W1 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 0 | 9/15 | 9-5 |
| Toluca | 15 | W1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 7/15 | 5-5 |
- W2-0 vs América2025-11-27
- L1-2 @ América2025-11-29
- W1-0 vs Toluca2025-12-04
- L2-3 @ Toluca2025-12-07
- W3-0 vs Universidad Guadalajara2026-01-04
- D0-0 vs Juárez2025-11-30
- L0-1 @ Monterrey2025-12-04
- W3-2 vs Monterrey2025-12-07
- L0-1 @ Tigres UANL2025-12-12
- W2-1 vs Tigres UANL2025-12-15
| Team | Games | Avg goals | Over 1.5 | Over 2.5 | Over 3.5 | BTTS | Clean sheets | Failed to score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Monterrey | 15 | 3.33 | 80% | 53% | 40% | 60% | 33% | 7% |
| Toluca | 15 | 2.93 | 67% | 60% | 40% | 47% | 40% | 33% |
| Team | Where | Pld | W | D | L | Goals | PPG | Over 2.5 | Clean sheets |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Monterrey | Home | 8 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 15-6 | 2.25 | 38% | 50% |
| Toluca | Away | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 9-5 | 1.57 | 43% | 43% |
| Team | Games | 1H goals | 2H goals | 2H share | 1H Over 0.5 | HT W-D-L |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Monterrey | 14 | 13-13 | 9-12 | 41% | 100% | 7-2-5 |
| Toluca | 15 | 17-7 | 14-6 | 45% | 73% | 7-6-2 |
- Meetings on record
- 10
- Period covered
- 2013-08-04 – 2025-12-07
- Monterrey wins
- 3
- Draws
- 3
- Toluca wins
- 4
- Avg goals per meeting
- 3.6
- Over 2.5 goals
- 70%
- Both teams scored
- 90%
- Home side won
- 60%share of all meetings won by whichever team hosted
- Last 5 meetings
- 2W 0D 3L (Monterrey view)
- Avg goals, last 5 vs all-time
- 4.4 vs 3.6
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-12-07 | Toluca | 3-2 | Monterrey |
| 2025-12-04 | Monterrey | 1-0 | Toluca |
| 2025-09-25 | Toluca | 6-2 | Monterrey |
| 2025-05-11 | Toluca | 2-1 | Monterrey |
| 2025-05-08 | Monterrey | 3-2 | Toluca |
Monterrey vs Toluca — 15-Minute Goal Timing Breakdown
Verified regulation-time goal windows (scored vs conceded)
Monterrey
Last 14 gamesPeak scoring: 31-45+'76-90+' goal in 50% of games
| Minutes | Scored (29) | Conceded (19) | GF / GA |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1-15' | 4 (14%) | 1 (5%) | |
| 16-30' | 2 (7%) | 4 (21%) | |
| 31-45+' | 10 (34%) | 2 (11%) | |
| 46-60' | 7 (24%) | 1 (5%) | |
| 61-75' | 5 (17%) | 2 (11%) | |
| 76-90+' | 1 (3%) | 9 (47%) |
Toluca
Last 17 gamesPeak scoring: 16-30'76-90+' goal in 18% of games
| Minutes | Scored (25) | Conceded (15) | GF / GA |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1-15' | 3 (12%) | 3 (20%) | |
| 16-30' | 6 (24%) | 1 (7%) | |
| 31-45+' | 5 (20%) | 5 (33%) | |
| 46-60' | 4 (16%) | 3 (20%) | |
| 61-75' | 3 (12%) | 3 (20%) | |
| 76-90+' | 4 (16%) | 0 (0%) |
Monterrey vs Toluca — Corners & Cards Trends
MonterreyLast 15 games
9 straight games under 10.5 corners
Corners Profile
- Won / Conceded per game
- 2.9 / 4.9
- Match total corners/g
- 7.7
- Over 8.5 corners
- 20%
- Over 9.5 corners
- 20%
- Over 10.5 corners
- 13%
- Won corner count
- 33%
Cards & Discipline
- Team yellows / game
- 1.53
- Opponent cards / game
- 2.6
- Match total cards / game
- 4.4
- Over 3.5 match cards
- 60%
- Over 4.5 match cards
- 47%
TolucaLast 15 games
Corners Profile
- Won / Conceded per game
- 5.5 / 4.2
- Match total corners/g
- 9.7
- Over 8.5 corners
- 60%
- Over 9.5 corners
- 40%
- Over 10.5 corners
- 27%
- Won corner count
- 67%
Cards & Discipline
- Team yellows / game
- 1.8
- Opponent cards / game
- 2.2
- Match total cards / game
- 4.27
- Over 3.5 match cards
- 67%
- Over 4.5 match cards
- 33%
Liga MX Standings
Liga MX · 2025/2026
| # | Team | P | GD | PTS | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 17 | +25 | 37 | |||||
| 2 | 17 | +19 | 36 | |||||
| 3 | 17 | +12 | 35 | |||||
| 4 | 17 | +15 | 34 | |||||
| 5 | 17 | +4 | 31 | |||||
| 6 | 17 | +7 | 29 | |||||
| 7 | 17 | +6 | 24 | |||||
| ··· | ||||||||
| 18 | 17 | -18 | 12 | |||||
8 / 36Full standings →
Statistical Comparison
Monterrey vs Toluca — Statistical Win Probability, Goal Markets & xG Projection
Poisson goal model computed from recent form (17 vs 17 matches) & H2H history
1X2 Statistical Win ProbabilityMonterrey 30% · X · Draw 22% · Toluca 48%
1 · Home Win
30%
X · Draw
22%
2 · Away Win
48%
Projected Goals (xG Model)
1.58 vs 2.01
Projected Total: 3.59
Over 1.5 Goals
87%
Over 2.5 Goals
69%
Over 3.5 Goals
48%
Both Teams to Score (BTTS)
69%
Clean Sheet Prob. (H / A)
13% / 21%
Monterrey / Toluca
Most Likely Scorelines (Poisson):
1 - 2(8.9%)1 - 1(8.8%)2 - 2(7.0%)
Recent matches
Jan 4
3-0
Home
Dec 7, 2025
2-3
Away
Dec 4, 2025
1-0
Home
Nov 29, 2025
1-2
Away
Nov 27, 2025
2-0
Home
Dec 15, 2025
2-1
Home
Dec 12, 2025
0-1
Away
Dec 7, 2025
3-2
Home
Dec 4, 2025
0-1
Away
Nov 30, 2025
0-0
Home
Previous Meetings
Last 10 matches
Goals
16-20
Total matches
10Monterrey vs Toluca — Head to Head
Last 10 matches
3
Monterrey wins
3
Draws
4
Toluca wins
Goals Scored
16 - 20
Matchday 19 — Liga MX
- América vs Tijuana — 29 Oct 20261-1
- Mazatlán vs Juárez — 10 Jan 20261-2
- Atlas vs Puebla — 25 Oct 20264-3
- Pachuca vs Guadalajara — 29 Aug 20261-1
- Santos Laguna vs Necaxa — 1 Nov 20261-0
- Cruz Azul vs León — 2 Nov 20262-1
- Pumas UNAM vs Querétaro — 16 Aug 20260-0
- Tigres UANL vs Atlético San Luis — 26 Jul 20262-2