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Estonia vs Iceland
Result, Stats, Lineups & H2H

0
-FT
0
Oct 06, 2026
Sportland Arena

Match Timeline

Man of the Match
Estonia
Estonia
61'Substitution
Karel Mustmaa
Karel Mustmaa· In
Estonia
Iceland

Match Statistics

Statistics of the Game

Estonia
Estonia
Iceland
Iceland
38%Ball Possession62%
13Shots Total12
3Shots On Target1
3Corners7
10Fouls9
1Yellow Cards1
1Offsides0
2Saves3
359Passes584
9Shots Off Target7
82Attacks138
22Dangerous Attacks70
9Shots Inside Box9
4Shots Outside Box3
9Free Kicks10
1Shots Blocked4
4Substitutions2
11Tackles20
274Accurate Passes492
1Injuries0
10Total Crosses27
6Accurate Crosses6
11Interceptions10
37Duels Won57
1Big Chances Created1
1Big Chances Missed1

Team Lineups

Player Stats

PlayerRatingMinGoalsAssistsShotsPassesTacklesDuels
7.2
90'00-
44(84%)
1
4/8
7.2
90'000/1
20(81%)
1
3/10
7.2
90'00-
55(91%)
-
4/8
7.2
90'002/2
22(76%)
-
4/8
7.1
90'000/2
42(62%)
1
1/3
7.0
68'000/1
21(71%)
1
2/4
6.9
61'00-
28(74%)
-
2/6
6.8
61'000/2
11(73%)
4
7/11
6.8
29'000/1
14(93%)
2
6/10
6.8
90'001/4
25(72%)
-
1/6
6.8
90'00-
34(63%)
-
-
6.6
61'00-
23(65%)
-
0/4
6.5
29'00-
10(90%)
1
1/2
Karel Mustmaa
Karel Mustmaa
FW
6.1
29'00-
5(75%)
-
2/8
6.0
22'00-
5(60%)
-
0/6

Estonia vs Iceland H2H, Form & Key Stats

Current streaks (all competitions)
TeamGamesRunUnbeatenWinlessScored inConceded inLast-5 ptsLast-5 goals
Estonia15W1501011/154-1
Iceland15W230307/157-5
Estonia — last 5 games
  1. W1-0 vs Faroe Islands2026-06-06
  2. W1-0 vs Lithuania2026-06-09
  3. D1-1 @ Iceland2026-09-26
  4. D0-0 @ Bulgaria2026-09-29
  5. W1-0 vs Luxembourg2026-10-03
Iceland — last 5 games
  1. L0-1 @ Japan2026-05-31
  2. L0-3 @ Argentina2026-06-10
  3. D1-1 vs Estonia2026-09-26
  4. W3-0 @ Luxembourg2026-09-29
  5. W3-0 vs Bulgaria2026-10-03
Goal markets & scoring rates
TeamGamesAvg goalsOver 1.5Over 2.5Over 3.5BTTSClean sheetsFailed to score
Estonia152.460%33%33%47%33%33%
Iceland153.1387%60%33%40%27%33%
Venue split (Home vs Away)
TeamWherePldWDLGoalsPPGOver 2.5Clean sheets
EstoniaHome83236-81.3825%50%
IcelandAway102269-160.850%20%
1st half vs 2nd half scoring
TeamGames1H goals2H goals2H share1H Over 0.5HT W-D-L
Estonia155-68-1762%53%3-9-3
Iceland1512-811-1648%80%7-4-4
Head-to-head, computed
Meetings on record
5
Period covered
2014-06-04 – 2026-09-26
Estonia wins
0
Draws
4
Iceland wins
1
Avg goals per meeting
1.4
Over 2.5 goals
0%
Both teams scored
60%
Home side won
20%share of all meetings won by whichever team hosted
Last 5 meetings
0W 4D 1L (Estonia view)
Avg goals, last 5 vs all-time
1.4 vs 1.4
Most recent meetings
DateHomeScoreAway
2026-09-26Iceland1-1Estonia
2023-01-08Iceland1-1Estonia
2019-01-15Iceland0-0Estonia
2015-03-31Estonia1-1Iceland
2014-06-04Iceland1-0Estonia

How we calculate this

UEFA Nations League Standings

UEFA Nations League · 2026/2027

Full standings
#TeamPGDPTS
14+512
···
34-24
44-100
14+68
24+16
34-24
44-53
23+14

Statistical Comparison

Statistical Comparison

UEFA Nations League
Estonia
4 matches
Iceland
4 matches
#2Position#1
6Points8
1Wins2
3Draws2
0Losses0
2Goals7
0.50Goals per game1.75
1Goals conceded1
0.25Goals per game conceded0.25

Estonia vs Iceland — Statistical Win Probability, Goal Markets & xG Projection

Poisson goal model computed from recent form (4 vs 4 matches) & H2H history

1X2 Statistical Win ProbabilityEstonia 15% · X · Draw 37% · Iceland 48%
1 · Home Win
15%
X · Draw
37%
2 · Away Win
48%
Projected Goals (xG Model)
0.40 vs 0.96
Projected Total: 1.35
Over 1.5 Goals
39%
Over 2.5 Goals
16%
Over 3.5 Goals
5%
Both Teams to Score (BTTS)
20%
Clean Sheet Prob. (H / A)
38% / 67%
Estonia / Iceland
Most Likely Scorelines (Poisson):
0 - 0(25.9%)0 - 1(24.7%)0 - 2(11.8%)
Last Matches

Recent matches

Oct 3
1-0
Luxembourg
vs Luxembourg
Home
Sep 29
0-0
Bulgaria
@ Bulgaria
Away
Sep 26
1-1
Iceland
@ Iceland
Away
Jun 9
1-0
Lithuania
vs Lithuania
Home
Jun 6
1-0
Faroe Islands
vs Faroe Islands
Home
Previous Meetings
Head to Head