| Team | Games | Run | Unbeaten | Winless | Scored in | Conceded in | Last-5 pts | Last-5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Moldova | 15 | L4 | 0 | 13 | 1 | 13 | 1/15 | 4-12 |
| Bulgaria | 15 | L1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 9/15 | 13-6 |
| Team | Games | Avg goals | Over 1.5 | Over 2.5 | Over 3.5 | BTTS | Clean sheets | Failed to score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Moldova | 15 | 3.53 | 87% | 47% | 40% | 47% | 7% | 47% |
| Bulgaria | 15 | 3.53 | 80% | 67% | 33% | 47% | 13% | 40% |
| Team | Where | Pld | W | D | L | Goals | PPG | Over 2.5 | Clean sheets |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Moldova | Home | 5 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 2-16 | 0 | 60% | 0% |
| Bulgaria | Away | 8 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 13-17 | 1.13 | 63% | 25% |
| Team | Games | 1H goals | 2H goals | 2H share | 1H Over 0.5 | HT W-D-L |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Moldova | 15 | 3-23 | 7-20 | 70% | 80% | 1-4-10 |
| Bulgaria | 15 | 14-12 | 6-21 | 30% | 87% | 6-4-5 |
Verified regulation-time goal windows (scored vs conceded)
| Minutes | Scored (22) | Conceded (32) | GF / GA |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1-15' | 1 (5%) | 6 (19%) | |
| 16-30' | 2 (9%) | 5 (16%) | |
| 31-45+' | 6 (27%) | 6 (19%) | |
| 46-60' | 2 (9%) | 6 (19%) | |
| 61-75' | 3 (14%) | 3 (9%) | |
| 76-90+' | 8 (36%) | 6 (19%) |
| Minutes | Scored (23) | Conceded (34) | GF / GA |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1-15' | 5 (22%) | 4 (12%) | |
| 16-30' | 2 (9%) | 4 (12%) | |
| 31-45+' | 5 (22%) | 6 (18%) | |
| 46-60' | 4 (17%) | 6 (18%) | |
| 61-75' | 4 (17%) | 5 (15%) | |
| 76-90+' | 3 (13%) | 9 (26%) |
Poisson goal model computed from recent form (4 vs 4 matches) & H2H history
Moldova and Bulgaria drew 2-2 in the Friendly International.
Moldova had gone 13 matches without a win before this one.
Goals came from Victor Bogaciuc (60') and Vladyslav Baboglo (85') for Moldova and Georgi Rusev (23') and Marin Petkov (76') for Bulgaria.
