Sagan Tosu vs Oita Trinita
Result, Stats, Lineups & H2H

J2-League

2025

Sagan Tosu

Yamada18'(P)

Shinkawa59'

-FT

Jul 12, 2025

Ekimae Real Estate Stadium (Tosu)

Match Timeline

Man of the Match

Shion Shinkawa

Sagan Tosu

Goals

6.9

90'+6Yellow Card

Hiroto Yamada

Sagan Tosu

86'Substitution

Ren Ikeda· In

Naoki Nomura· Out

Oita Trinita

86'Substitution

Yuta Imazu· In

Shiva Tafari Nagasawa· Out

Sagan Tosu

82'Yellow Card

Kotaro Arima

Oita Trinita

77'Substitution

Yusuke Matsuo· In

Taira Shige· Out

Oita Trinita

77'Substitution

Kento Nishiya· In

Tatsunori Sakurai· Out

Sagan Tosu

77'Substitution

Atsuki Satsukawa· In

Shinya Utsumoto· Out

Oita Trinita

77'Substitution

Daichi Suzuki· In

Jun Nishikawa· Out

Sagan Tosu

62'Yellow Card

Shiva Tafari Nagasawa

Sagan Tosu

Goal!

2-1

Shion Shinkawa

59'·Sagan Tosu

⚽

57'Substitution

Kenta Nishizawa· In

Nagi Matsumoto· Out

Sagan Tosu

57'Substitution

Shion Shinkawa· In

Hiroto Yamada· Out

Sagan Tosu

55'Substitution

Gleyson· In

Kohei Isa· Out

Oita Trinita

55'Substitution

Keigo Sakakibara· In

Hiroto Nakagawa· Out

Oita Trinita

Goal!

1-1

Derlan

38'·Oita Trinita

⚽

Goal!

1-0

Hiroto Yamada

18'·Sagan Tosu

⚽

Statistics of the Game

Sagan Tosu

Oita Trinita

56%Ball Possession44%

10Shots Total8

4Shots On Target2

2Corners3

9Fouls11

1Yellow Cards1

3Offsides3

2Saves2

417Passes381

5Shots Off Target3

74Attacks63

45Dangerous Attacks46

4Shots Inside Box4

6Shots Outside Box4

2Goals1

1Free Kicks3

1Shots Blocked3

5Substitutions5

0Tackles2

1Assists1

367Accurate Passes313

1Injuries0

11Total Crosses21

2Accurate Crosses8

16Interceptions11

Sagan Tosu

Manager: Akio Kogiku

Starting XI

6.1

6.3

6.3

6.3

Shiva Tafari Nagasawa

6.3

6.4

6.4

6.5

6.4

6.4

6.6

Substitutes

Keisuke Sakaiya

6.5

6.5

6.5

Kei Uchiyama

Yuki Horigome

Shion Shinkawa

6.9

Oita Trinita

Manager: Tomohiro Katanosaka

Starting XI

5.9

6.0

6.2

6.0

6.0

6.4

6.3

6.3

6.4

6.4

6.5

Substitutes

6.5

6.5

Shun Sato

6.4

6.5

Ayuki Miyakawa

Player Stats

Player	Rating	Min	Goals	Assists	Shots	Passes	Tackles	Duels
Shion Shinkawa FW		32'	1	0	1/2	4	-	2/8
Hiroto Yamada FW		58'	1	0	2/2	9	-	4/9
Kenta Nishizawa MF		32'	0	0	0/1	20	-	2/4
Daichi Suzuki MF		13'	0	0	-	3	-	5/8
Kento Nishiya MF		13'	0	0	-	4	-	0/2
Haruki Arai MF		90'	0	1	1/2	24	-	10/17
Nagi Matsumoto MF		58'	0	0	-	33	-	1/2
Jun Nishikawa MF		77'	0	0	-	27	-	2/8
Tatsunori Sakurai MF		77'	0	0	-	53	-	1/4
Vykintas Slivka MF		90'	0	0	0/2	35	-	4/13
Taisei Inoue DF		90'	0	0	-	54	-	3/6
Sora Ogawa DF		90'	0	0	-	47	-	11/13
Reiya Morishita DF		90'	0	0	0/1	66	-	4/8
Shiva Tafari Nagasawa MF		86'	0	0	-	19	-	0/12
Ryota Izumori GK		90'	0	0	-	16	-	-
Yuta Imazu DF	-	4'	0	0	-	3	-	1/1

Sagan Tosu vs Oita Trinita H2H, Form & Key Stats

Current streaks (all competitions)

Team	Games	Run	Unbeaten	Winless	Scored in	Conceded in	Last-5 pts	Last-5 goals
Sagan Tosu	15	W2	3	0	2	0	10/15	4-1
Oita Trinita	15	L1	0	6	0	1	2/15	3-7

Sagan Tosu — last 5 games

W1-0 vs Ehime2025-06-11
L0-1 @ Mito Hollyhock2025-06-14
D0-0 @ Omiya Ardija2025-06-21
W1-0 vs Iwaki2025-06-28
W2-0 @ JEF United2025-07-05

Oita Trinita — last 5 games

L1-2 vs Blaublitz Akita2025-06-15
D2-2 @ Consadole Sapporo2025-06-18
L0-2 @ Tokushima Vortis2025-06-21
D0-0 vs Omiya Ardija2025-06-28
L0-1 @ V-Varen Nagasaki2025-07-05

Goal markets & scoring rates

Team	Games	Avg goals	Over 1.5	Over 2.5	Over 3.5	BTTS	Clean sheets	Failed to score
Sagan Tosu	15	1.73	47%	33%	13%	40%	47%	33%
Oita Trinita	15	2.47	73%	47%	13%	40%	40%	27%

Venue split (Home vs Away)

Team	Where	Pld	W	D	L	Goals	PPG	Over 2.5	Clean sheets
Sagan Tosu	Home	9	4	5	0	11-7	1.89	44%	44%
Oita Trinita	Away	7	1	3	3	7-10	0.86	43%	14%

1st half vs 2nd half scoring

Team	Games	1H goals	2H goals	2H share	1H Over 0.5	HT W-D-L
Sagan Tosu	15	12-3	4-7	25%	67%	7-7-1
Oita Trinita	13	7-7	6-8	46%	85%	5-3-5

Head-to-head, computed

Meetings on record: 5
Period covered: 2013-05-22 – 2025-04-29
Sagan Tosu wins: 1
Draws: 1
Oita Trinita wins: 3
Avg goals per meeting: 2.6
Over 2.5 goals: 40%
Both teams scored: 40%
Home side won: 60%share of all meetings won by whichever team hosted
Last 5 meetings: 1W 1D 3L (Sagan Tosu view)
Avg goals, last 5 vs all-time: 2.6 vs 2.6

Most recent meetings

Date	Home	Score	Away
2025-04-29	Oita Trinita	1-0	Sagan Tosu
2021-09-18	Sagan Tosu	0-0	Oita Trinita
2019-05-04	Oita Trinita	2-0	Sagan Tosu
2013-07-31	Sagan Tosu	3-2	Oita Trinita
2013-05-22	Sagan Tosu	2-3	Oita Trinita

Standings before kickoff (rebuilt from 225 earlier results)

Team	Pos	Pld	Pts	GD	Form	Form rank	Form vs pos
Sagan Tosu	7	22	36	3	DLDWW	6	+1
Oita Trinita	12	22	27	-2	DLLDL	19	-7

Table context

Points gap: 9 ptsSagan Tosu 36 · Oita Trinita 27
Positions: #7 vs #12
Goals per game: 1.05/0.91 vs 0.86/0.95scored/conceded per game · league average 1.2

How we calculate this

J2-League Standings

J2-League · 2025

Full standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	PTS	Form
1	Mito Hollyhock	38	20	10	8	+21	70	WWLLW
···
6	Omiya Ardija	38	18	9	11	+21	63	DWWLL
7	Vegalta Sendai	38	16	14	8	+11	62	WLWDL
8	Sagan TosuH	38	16	10	12	+3	58	LDLDL
9	Iwaki	38	15	11	12	+11	56	WWLDW
10	Montedio Yamagata	38	15	8	15	+4	53	DWWDW
···
14	Blaublitz Akita	38	11	10	17	-16	43	DLWDL
15	Fujieda MYFC	38	9	12	17	-9	39	DLDDL
16	Oita TrinitaA	38	8	14	16	-17	38	WLLLL
17	Kataller Toyama	38	9	10	19	-15	37	LDWWW
18	Roasso Kumamoto	38	9	10	19	-16	37	LLLDD
···
20	Ehime	38	3	13	22	-36	22	LDLDL

12 / 20Full standings →

Statistical Comparison

J2-League

Sagan Tosu38 matches

Oita Trinita

38 matches

#8Position#16

58Points38

16Wins8

10Draws14

12Losses16

46Goals27

1.21Goals per game0.71

43Goals conceded44

1.13Goals per game conceded1.16

Sagan Tosu vs Oita Trinita — Statistical Win Probability, Goal Markets & xG Projection

Poisson goal model computed from recent form (38 vs 38 matches) & H2H history

1X2 Statistical Win ProbabilitySagan Tosu 45% · X · Draw 29% · Oita Trinita 26%

1 · Home Win

45%

X · Draw

29%

2 · Away Win

26%

Projected Goals (xG Model)

1.29 vs 0.90

Projected Total: 2.19

Over 1.5 Goals

64%

Over 2.5 Goals

37%

Over 3.5 Goals

18%

Both Teams to Score (BTTS)

43%

Clean Sheet Prob. (H / A)

41% / 28%

Sagan Tosu / Oita Trinita

Most Likely Scorelines (Poisson):

1 - 0(14.4%)1 - 1(13.0%)0 - 0(11.2%)

Recent matches

Jun 28, 2025

1-0

vs Iwaki

Home

Jun 21, 2025

0-0

@ Omiya Ardija

Away

Jun 14, 2025

0-1

@ Mito Hollyhock

Away

Jun 11, 2025

1-0

vs Ehime

Home

All Sagan Tosu fixtures & results

Previous Meetings

Last 5 matches

Won 20%

(1/5)

Draw 20%

(1/5)

Won 60%

(3/5)

Goals

5-8

Total matches

Recent matches

J2-League•Apr 29, 2025

Oita Trinita

1-0

Sagan Tosu

J1 League•Sep 18, 2021

Sagan Tosu

0-0

Oita Trinita

J1 League•May 4, 2019

Oita Trinita

2-0

Sagan Tosu

J1 League•Jul 31, 2013

Sagan Tosu

3-2

Oita Trinita

J-League Cup•May 22, 2013

Sagan Tosu

2-3

Oita Trinita

Sagan Tosu vs Oita Trinita — Head to Head

Last 5 matches

Sagan Tosu wins

Draws

Oita Trinita wins

Goals Scored

5 - 8

Apr 29, 2025 • J2-League

Oita Trinita

1-0

Sagan Tosu

Sep 18, 2021 • J1 League

Sagan Tosu

0-0

Oita Trinita

May 4, 2019 • J1 League

Oita Trinita

2-0

Sagan Tosu

Matchday 23 — J2-League

Match summary

Sagan Tosu beat Oita Trinita 2-1 in the J2-League, Regular Season.

Before kickoff, Sagan Tosu sat 7th on 36 points, while Oita Trinita were 12th on 27 points. Before kickoff, Oita Trinita were 12th in the table but 19th on points from the last five league games. Across 5 previous meetings on record, Sagan Tosu won 1 and Oita Trinita won 3, with 1 draw (2.6 goals per game).

Goals came from Hiroto Yamada (18') and Shion Shinkawa (59') for Sagan Tosu and Derlan (38') for Oita Trinita.

More details:

Sagan Tosu — live results and schedule Oita Trinita — live results and schedule

Match Timeline

Match Statistics

Statistics of the Game

Team Lineups

Starting XI

Substitutes

Starting XI

Substitutes

Player Stats

Sagan Tosu vs Oita Trinita H2H, Form & Key Stats

J2-League Standings

Statistical Comparison

Statistical Comparison

Sagan Tosu vs Oita Trinita — Statistical Win Probability, Goal Markets & xG Projection

Recent matches

Previous Meetings

Recent matches

Sagan Tosu vs Oita Trinita — Head to Head

Last 5 matches

Matchday 23 — J2-League

Match summary