Ayr United vs Queen&#x27;s Park Result, Stats, Lineups &amp; H2H

6.5

90'+6Yellow Card

Kevin Holt

Ayr United

90'+6Yellow Card

—

Ayr United

90'+5Yellow Card

Queen's Park

Goal!

3-2

Luke McBeth

90'+3·Ayr United

⚽

88'Substitution

Olly Whyte· In

Ethan Walker· Out

Ayr United

87'Substitution

Owen Stirton· In

Ben Summers· Out

Ayr United

Goal!

2-2

83'·Queen's Park

⚽

81'Substitution

Tyrece McDonnell· In

Aiden McCallion· Out

Queen's Park

70'Substitution

Thomas Hatton· In

Ross Taylor· Out

Ayr United

70'Substitution

Jamie Murphy· In

Josh Landers· Out

Ayr United

70'Substitution

Kieran Shanks· In

Marco Rus· Out

Ayr United

Goal!

2-1

Marco Rus

67'·Ayr United

⚽

64'Substitution

Zebedee Lawson· In

Lewis Stewart· Out

Queen's Park

63'Substitution

Callum Smith· In

Nikolay Todorov· Out

Queen's Park

Goal!

1-1

57'·Queen's Park

⚽

50'Yellow Card

Lewis Stewart

Queen's Park

35'Yellow Card

Scott McMann

Ayr United

Goal!

1-0

Ross Taylor

26'·Ayr United

⚽

Statistics of the Game

Ayr United

Queen's Park

55%Ball Possession45%

18Shots Total16

4Shots On Target4

6Corners2

10Fouls17

2Yellow Cards2

2Saves1

9Shots Off Target4

117Attacks92

59Dangerous Attacks34

3Goals2

17Free Kicks10

5Shots Blocked8

5Substitutions3

2Assists1

Manager: Gary Naysmith

Starting XI

5.9

6.0

6.0

6.0

6.0

6.5

6.3

6.3

Ross Taylor

6.5

Josh Landers

6.5

Ethan Walker

6.4

Substitutes

Nicholas McAllister

Liam Dick

Owen Stirton

Kieran Shanks

Olly Whyte

Jamie Murphy

Thomas Hatton

Jamie Douglas

Liam Russell

Manager: Sean Crighton

Starting XI

5.7

5.9

5.9

5.8

5.9

Aiden McCallion

6.2

Scott Martin

6.2

Zach Mauchin

6.0

6.2

Lewis Stewart

6.5

Nikolay Todorov

6.5

Substitutes

Louis Longridge

Tyrece McDonnell

Cole Goldie

Daniel Edzii

Kyle Rodger

Zebedee Lawson

Ben Brannan

Callum Smith

Milosz Sliwinski

Ayr United vs Queen's Park H2H, Form & Key Stats

Luke McBeth's 90th-minute goal decided the match.(Score by goal: 26' 1-0, 57' 1-1, 67' 2-1, 83' 2-2, 90+3' 3-2.)

Current streaks (all competitions)

Team	Games	Run	Unbeaten	Winless	Scored in	Conceded in	Last-5 pts	Last-5 goals
Ayr United	15	L1	0	2	0	4	7/15	5-4
Queen's Park	15	L2	0	2	0	8	3/15	3-8

Ayr United — last 5 games

W2-0 @ Queen's Park2026-09-18
L0-1 vs Stenhousemuir2026-09-25
W2-1 @ Livingston2026-10-03
D1-1 vs Dunfermline Athletic2026-10-10
L0-1 vs Partick Thistle2026-10-16

Queen's Park — last 5 games

L1-2 @ Arbroath2026-09-25
L0-2 @ Raith Rovers2026-10-10
W2-1 vs Inverness CT2026-10-13
L0-2 @ Greenock Morton2026-10-17
L0-1 vs Dunfermline Athletic2026-10-24

Goal markets & scoring rates

Team	Games	Avg goals	Over 1.5	Over 2.5	Over 3.5	BTTS	Clean sheets	Failed to score
Ayr United	15	2.33	73%	27%	20%	47%	27%	27%
Queen's Park	15	2.27	87%	40%	7%	40%	13%	53%

Venue split (Home vs Away)

Team	Where	Pld	W	D	L	Goals	PPG	Over 2.5	Clean sheets
Ayr United	Home	8	3	2	3	11-8	1.38	25%	25%
Queen's Park	Away	8	1	1	6	4-12	0.5	25%	25%

1st half vs 2nd half scoring

Team	Games	1H goals	2H goals	2H share	1H Over 0.5	HT W-D-L
Ayr United	15	12-10	7-6	37%	87%	6-4-5
Queen's Park	15	5-15	7-7	58%	73%	2-5-8

Head-to-head, computed

Meetings on record: 18
Period covered: 2013-07-27 – 2026-09-18
Ayr United wins: 8
Draws: 7
Queen's Park wins: 3
Avg goals per meeting: 3.17
Over 2.5 goals: 61%
Both teams scored: 72%
Home side won: 17%share of all meetings won by whichever team hosted
Last 5 meetings: 1W 3D 1L (Ayr United view)
Avg goals, last 5 vs all-time: 1.8 vs 3.17

Most recent meetings (5 of 18)

Date	Home	Score	Away
2026-09-18	Queen's Park	0-2	Ayr United
2026-03-14	Queen's Park	1-1	Ayr United
2026-03-10	Ayr United	1-2	Queen's Park
2025-10-25	Queen's Park	0-0	Ayr United
2025-08-30	Ayr United	1-1	Queen's Park

Standings before kickoff (rebuilt from 60 earlier results)

Team	Pos	Pld	Pts	GD	Form	Form rank	Form vs pos
Ayr United	7	11	12	-2	WLWDL	4	+3
Queen's Park	10	12	7	-13	LLWLL	8	+2

Table context

Points gap: 5 ptsAyr United 12 · Queen's Park 7
Positions: #7 vs #10
Goals per game: 0.91/1.09 vs 0.5/1.58scored/conceded per game · league average 1

How we calculate this

Championship Standings

Championship · 2026/2027

Full standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	PTS	Form
1	Partick Thistle	13	7	4	2	+10	25	WDDWW
2	Raith Rovers	13	7	3	3	+11	24	WLWWD
3	Dunfermline Athletic	13	6	6	1	+8	24	DWLDD
4	Stenhousemuir	13	7	2	4	+1	23	WWWWD
5	Livingston	13	6	2	5	+7	20	LLWLW
6	Inverness CT	13	5	4	4	+1	19	LLDDD
7	Ayr UnitedH	12	4	3	5	-1	15	LDLDW
8	Arbroath	13	3	2	8	-15	11	DWWDL
9	Greenock Morton	12	3	1	8	-8	10	LDLLL
10	Queen's ParkA	13	2	1	10	-14	7	WDLLL

Pre-Match Market Consensus

Ayr United vs Queen's Park — Aggregated statistical market probabilities & decimal values

Full-Time Result (1X2)Implied probability

1 · Home

1.5363%

X · Draw

4.0324%

2 · Away

7.4113%

Goals Over / Under 2.5

Over 2.51.97 (47%)

Under 2.51.76 (53%)

Both Teams to Score (BTTS)

Yes1.91 (48%)

No1.78 (52%)

Statistical consensus averages for informational match analysis only.

Statistical Comparison

Championship

Ayr United12 matches

All Ayr United fixtures & results

13 matches

4Wins2

3Draws1

5Losses10

13Goals8

1.08Goals per game0.62

14Goals conceded22

1.17Goals per game conceded1.69

Ayr United vs Queen's Park — Statistical Win Probability, Goal Markets & xG Projection

Poisson goal model computed from recent form (12 vs 13 matches) & H2H history

1X2 Statistical Win ProbabilityAyr United 52% · X · Draw 26% · Queen's Park 22%

1 · Home Win

52%

X · Draw

26%

2 · Away Win

22%

Projected Goals (xG Model)

1.54 vs 0.90

Projected Total: 2.43

Over 1.5 Goals

70%

Over 2.5 Goals

44%

Over 3.5 Goals

23%

Both Teams to Score (BTTS)

46%

Clean Sheet Prob. (H / A)

41% / 22%

Ayr United / Queen's Park

Most Likely Scorelines (Poisson):

1 - 0(13.5%)1 - 1(12.1%)2 - 0(10.4%)

Recent matches

Oct 24

0-0

@ Greenock Morton

Away

vs Dunfermline Athletic

Previous Meetings

Last 18 matches

Won 44%

(8/18)

Draw 39%

(7/18)

Won 17%

(3/18)

Goals

34-23

Total matches

Recent matches (5/18)

Championship•Sep 18, 2026

0-2

Championship•Mar 14, 2026

1-1

Championship•Mar 10, 2026

1-2

Championship•Oct 25, 2025

0-0

Championship•Aug 30, 2025

1-1

Sep 18, 2026 • Championship

Ayr United vs Queen's Park — Head to Head

Last 18 matches

Ayr United wins

Draws

Queen's Park wins

Goals Scored

34 - 23

0-2

Mar 14, 2026 • Championship

1-1

Mar 10, 2026 • Championship

1-2