Match summary
Peñarol and Atlético Progreso drew 1-1 in the Primera Division (Uruguay).
Peñarol won 8 of the 9 previous meetings on record.
Goals came from Abel Hernández (90') for Peñarol and Nahuel López (26') for Atlético Progreso.
Peñarol vs Atlético Progreso
Result, Stats, Lineups & H2H
Match Timeline
Man of the Match
83'Substitution
—· In
Atlético Progreso
Match Statistics
Statistics of the Game
Atlético Progreso
61%Ball Possession39%
22Shots Total10
6Shots On Target6
4Corners2
2Yellow Cards0
0Offsides3
16Shots Off Target4
108Attacks87
99Dangerous Attacks35
1Goals1
11Free Kicks10
5Substitutions5
Team Lineups
Manager: Diego Aguirre Camblor
Starting XI
Substitutes
Manager: Tabaré Silva Aguilar
Starting XI
Substitutes
12
20
21
30
Player Stats
| Player | Rating | Min | Goals | Assists | Shots | Passes | Tackles | Duels |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 90' | 0 | 0 | - | - | - | - | ||
| 90' | 0 | 0 | - | - | - | - | ||
| 46' | 0 | 0 | - | - | - | - | ||
| 61' | 0 | 0 | - | - | - | - | ||
| 78' | 0 | 0 | - | - | - | - | ||
| 90' | 0 | 0 | - | - | - | - | ||
| 90' | 0 | 0 | - | - | - | - | ||
| 90' | 0 | 0 | - | - | - | - | ||
| 71' | 0 | 0 | - | - | - | - | ||
| 46' | 0 | 0 | - | - | - | - | ||
| 90' | 0 | 0 | - | - | - | - | ||
| - | 29' | 0 | 0 | - | - | - | - | |
| - | 19' | 0 | 0 | - | - | - | - | |
 Ignacio Alegre | - | 44' | 0 | 0 | - | - | - | - |
| - | 12' | 0 | 1 | - | - | - | - | |
| - | 44' | 1 | 0 | - | - | - | - |
Peñarol vs Atlético Progreso H2H, Form & Key Stats
| Team | Games | Run | Unbeaten | Winless | Scored in | Conceded in | Last-5 pts | Last-5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Peñarol | 15 | W1 | 6 | 0 | 6 | 0 | 13/15 | 9-4 |
| Atlético Progreso | 15 | L1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 4 | 9/15 | 8-8 |
- W3-1 vs Albion2026-09-13
- W2-1 @ Cerro2026-09-19
- W2-1 vs Boston River2026-09-26
- D1-1 @ Montevideo City Torque2026-09-30
- W1-0 @ Racing2026-10-04
- W1-0 @ Albion2026-09-07
- L1-3 vs Cerro2026-09-13
- W2-1 @ Boston River2026-09-19
- W2-1 vs Racing2026-09-26
- L2-3 @ Liverpool2026-10-03
| Team | Games | Avg goals | Over 1.5 | Over 2.5 | Over 3.5 | BTTS | Clean sheets | Failed to score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Peñarol | 15 | 2.47 | 67% | 53% | 20% | 47% | 40% | 20% |
| Atlético Progreso | 15 | 2.27 | 60% | 47% | 13% | 47% | 20% | 33% |
| Team | Where | Pld | W | D | L | Goals | PPG | Over 2.5 | Clean sheets |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Peñarol | Home | 8 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 18-6 | 2.25 | 75% | 25% |
| Atlético Progreso | Away | 8 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 7-10 | 1.13 | 38% | 13% |
| Team | Games | 1H goals | 2H goals | 2H share | 1H Over 0.5 | HT W-D-L |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Peñarol | 15 | 12-5 | 16-4 | 57% | 67% | 6-7-2 |
| Atlético Progreso | 15 | 5-9 | 9-11 | 64% | 73% | 4-5-6 |
- Meetings on record
- 9
- Period covered
- 2007-04-20 – 2026-04-04
- Peñarol wins
- 8
- Draws
- 1
- Atlético Progreso wins
- 0
- Avg goals per meeting
- 2.56
- Over 2.5 goals
- 44%
- Both teams scored
- 44%
- Home side won
- 33%share of all meetings won by whichever team hosted
- Last 5 meetings
- 5W 0D 0L (Peñarol view)
- Avg goals, last 5 vs all-time
- 3.4 vs 2.56
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-04 | Atlético Progreso | 0-2 | Peñarol |
| 2025-08-01 | Peñarol | 2-1 | Atlético Progreso |
| 2025-02-01 | Atlético Progreso | 1-3 | Peñarol |
| 2024-11-27 | Progreso | 1-5 | Peñarol |
| 2024-06-22 | Atlético Progreso | 0-2 | Peñarol |
Primera Division Standings
Primera Division · 2026
| # | Team | P | GD | PTS | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 7 | +8 | 15 | |||||
| ··· | ||||||||
| 5 | 7 | -3 | 8 | |||||
| 6 | 7 | -2 | 6 | |||||
| 7 | 7 | -5 | 6 | |||||
| 8 | 7 | -4 | 4 | |||||
| 1 | 7 | +9 | 16 | |||||
| 2 | 7 | +2 | 11 | |||||
| 3 | 7 | +1 | 10 | |||||
| ··· | ||||||||
| 16 | 13 | -14 | 8 | |||||
9 / 48Full standings →
Statistical Comparison
Peñarol vs Atlético Progreso — Statistical Win Probability, Goal Markets & xG Projection
Poisson goal model computed from recent form (7 vs 7 matches) & H2H history
1X2 Statistical Win ProbabilityPeñarol 65% · X · Draw 22% · Atlético Progreso 13%
1 · Home Win
65%
X · Draw
22%
2 · Away Win
13%
Projected Goals (xG Model)
1.75 vs 0.62
Projected Total: 2.37
Over 1.5 Goals
68%
Over 2.5 Goals
42%
Over 3.5 Goals
21%
Both Teams to Score (BTTS)
38%
Clean Sheet Prob. (H / A)
54% / 17%
Peñarol / Atlético Progreso
Most Likely Scorelines (Poisson):
1 - 0(16.4%)2 - 0(14.3%)1 - 1(10.2%)
Previous Meetings
Last 9 matches
Goals
19-4
Total matches
9Peñarol vs Atlético Progreso — Head to Head
Last 9 matches
8
Peñarol wins
1
Draws
0
Atlético Progreso wins
Goals Scored
19 - 4