Match summary
Porto beat Nacional 1-0 in the Liga Portugal, Regular Season.
Before kickoff, Porto (1st, 56 pts) were 35 points ahead of Nacional (14th, 21 pts). Porto won 20 of the 24 previous meetings on record.
Jan Bednarek (60') scored for Porto.
Nacional vs Porto
Result, Stats, Lineups & H2H
Match Timeline
Man of the Match
87'Yellow Card
—
Nacional
85'Yellow Card
—
Nacional
Match Statistics
Statistics of the Game
Porto
47%Ball Possession53%
9Shots Total8
2Shots On Target5
5Corners8
13Fouls11
4Yellow Cards0
0Offsides5
4Saves2
294Passes326
4Shots Off Target1
86Attacks80
36Dangerous Attacks50
6Shots Inside Box5
3Shots Outside Box3
0Goals1
11Free Kicks13
3Shots Blocked2
5Substitutions5
22Tackles10
0Assists1
219Accurate Passes260
3Injuries0
22Total Crosses24
7Accurate Crosses6
8Interceptions7
1Big Chances Created0
1Big Chances Missed0
Team Lineups
Manager: Tiago Carvalho Margarido
Starting XI
Substitutes
30
Manager: Francesco Farioli
Player Stats
| Player | Rating | Min | Goals | Assists | Shots | Passes | Tackles | Duels |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Ze Vitor DF | 90' | 0 | 0 | 0/2 | 41(78%) | 1 | 2/2 | |
| 90' | 0 | 0 | 0/1 | 16(75%) | 3 | 7/8 | ||
 Kaique GK | 90' | 0 | 0 | - | 39(51%) | - | - | |
| 90' | 0 | 0 | - | 38(79%) | 1 | 8/10 | ||
| 85' | 0 | 0 | 1/1 | 17(81%) | 3 | 5/11 | ||
| 19' | 0 | 0 | - | 7(71%) | - | 3/4 | ||
| 71' | 0 | 0 | 0/2 | 14(67%) | 1 | 2/4 | ||
| 46' | 0 | 0 | - | 11(73%) | 4 | 5/9 | ||
| 5' | 0 | 0 | 0/1 | - | 2 | 3/5 | ||
| 90' | 0 | 0 | - | 24(75%) | 3 | 3/6 | ||
| 76' | 0 | 0 | - | 34(92%) | 1 | 5/10 | ||
| 5' | 0 | 0 | - | 1 | - | - | ||
 Liziero MF | 85' | 0 | 0 | - | 26(77%) | 2 | 3/8 | |
| 14' | 0 | 0 | - | 7(100%) | 1 | 1/3 | ||
| 44' | 0 | 0 | 0/1 | 4(100%) | - | 0/4 | ||
| 90' | 0 | 0 | 1/2 | 15(67%) | - | 5/20 |
Nacional vs Porto H2H, Form & Key Stats
| Team | Games | Run | Unbeaten | Winless | Scored in | Conceded in | Last-5 pts | Last-5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nacional | 15 | D1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5/15 | 9-7 |
| Porto | 15 | D1 | 1 | 2 | 15 | 3 | 8/15 | 9-5 |
- D3-3 vs Santa Clara2026-01-11
- L1-2 @ Gil Vicente2026-01-17
- W4-0 vs Rio Ave2026-01-25
- L1-2 @ Sporting CP2026-02-01
- D0-0 vs Casa Pia2026-02-08
- D1-1 @ Viktoria Plzeň2026-01-22
- W3-0 vs Gil Vicente2026-01-26
- W3-1 vs Rangers2026-01-29
- L1-2 @ Casa Pia2026-02-02
- D1-1 vs Sporting CP2026-02-09
| Team | Games | Avg goals | Over 1.5 | Over 2.5 | Over 3.5 | BTTS | Clean sheets | Failed to score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nacional | 15 | 3.07 | 80% | 67% | 40% | 73% | 13% | 20% |
| Porto | 15 | 2.67 | 80% | 53% | 27% | 53% | 47% | 0% |
| Team | Where | Pld | W | D | L | Goals | PPG | Over 2.5 | Clean sheets |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nacional | Home | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 11-7 | 1.33 | 67% | 33% |
| Porto | Away | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 9-3 | 2.17 | 33% | 67% |
| Team | Games | 1H goals | 2H goals | 2H share | 1H Over 0.5 | HT W-D-L |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nacional | 15 | 9-9 | 14-14 | 61% | 60% | 4-8-3 |
| Porto | 15 | 12-6 | 17-5 | 59% | 67% | 7-6-2 |
- Meetings on record
- 24
- Period covered
- 2009-08-23 – 2025-09-13
- Nacional wins
- 2
- Draws
- 2
- Porto wins
- 20
- Avg goals per meeting
- 3.08
- Over 2.5 goals
- 58%
- Both teams scored
- 29%
- Home side won
- 54%share of all meetings won by whichever team hosted
- Last 5 meetings
- 1W 0D 4L (Nacional view)
- Avg goals, last 5 vs all-time
- 2.6 vs 3.08
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-09-13 | Porto | 1-0 | Nacional |
| 2025-05-17 | Porto | 3-0 | Nacional |
| 2025-01-12 | Nacional | 2-0 | Porto |
| 2021-04-18 | Nacional | 0-1 | Porto |
| 2021-01-12 | Nacional | 2-4 | Porto |
| Team | Pos | Pld | Pts | GD | Form | Form rank | Form vs pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nacional | 14 | 21 | 21 | -3 | DLWLD | 12 | +2 |
| Porto | 1 | 21 | 56 | 35 | WWWLD | 5 | -4 |
- Points gap
- 35 ptsNacional 21 · Porto 56
- Positions
- #14 vs #1
- Goals per game
- 1.29/1.43 vs 2/0.33scored/conceded per game · league average 1.39
Liga Portugal Standings
Liga Portugal · 2025/2026
| # | Team | P | GD | PTS | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 34 | +48 | 88 | |||||
| 2 | 34 | +65 | 82 | |||||
| 3 | 34 | +49 | 80 | |||||
| ··· | ||||||||
| 12 | 34 | -22 | 36 | |||||
| 13 | 34 | -9 | 36 | |||||
| 14 | 34 | -8 | 34 | |||||
| 15 | 34 | -18 | 30 | |||||
| 16 | 34 | -26 | 30 | |||||
| ··· | ||||||||
| 18 | 34 | -40 | 21 | |||||
9 / 18Full standings →
Statistical Comparison
Nacional vs Porto — Statistical Win Probability, Goal Markets & xG Projection
Poisson goal model computed from recent form (34 vs 34 matches) & H2H history
1X2 Statistical Win ProbabilityNacional 21% · X · Draw 25% · Porto 54%
1 · Home Win
21%
X · Draw
25%
2 · Away Win
54%
Projected Goals (xG Model)
0.89 vs 1.61
Projected Total: 2.50
Over 1.5 Goals
71%
Over 2.5 Goals
46%
Over 3.5 Goals
24%
Both Teams to Score (BTTS)
47%
Clean Sheet Prob. (H / A)
20% / 41%
Nacional / Porto
Most Likely Scorelines (Poisson):
0 - 1(13.3%)1 - 1(11.8%)0 - 2(10.7%)
Recent matches
Feb 8
0-0
Home
Feb 1
1-2
Away
Jan 25
4-0
Home
Jan 17
1-2
Away
Jan 11
3-3
Home
Feb 9
1-1
Home
Feb 2
1-2
Away
Jan 29
3-1
Home
Jan 26
3-0
Home
Jan 22
1-1
Away
Previous Meetings
Last 24 matches
Nacional vs Porto — Head to Head
Last 24 matches
2
Nacional wins
2
Draws
20
Porto wins
Goals Scored
11 - 63
Matchday 22 — Liga Portugal
- Santa Clara vs Benfica — 26 Oct 20261-2
- Tondela vs Alverca — 18 Oct 20262-0
- Casa Pia vs Arouca — 14 Feb 20263-2
- Vitória Guimarães vs Estrela Amadora — 14 Feb 20262-1
- Sporting Braga vs Gil Vicente — 19 Oct 20261-2
- AVS vs Estoril — 15 Feb 20263-0
- Famalicão vs Sporting CP — 13 Sept 20261-1
- Rio Ave vs Moreirense — 16 Feb 20261-2