Paderborn vs Hamburger SV
Result, Stats, Lineups & H2H

Bundesliga

2026/2027

Paderborn

Philippe88'

-FT

Oct 24, 2026

Home Deluxe Arena

Match Timeline

Man of the Match

Tjark Scheller

Paderborn

7.8

89'Substitution

Alexander Røssing-Lelesiit· In

Otto Stange· Out

Hamburger SV

89'Yellow Card

Merlin Polzin

Hamburger SV

Goal!

1-0

Rayan Philippe

88'·Paderborn

⚽

87'Yellow Card

Albert Sambi Lokonga

Hamburger SV

79'Substitution

Sven Michel· In

Stefano Marino· Out

Paderborn

71'Substitution

Albert Grønbæk· In

Bilal Nadir· Out

Hamburger SV

71'Substitution

Albert Sambi Lokonga· In

Miro Muheim· Out

Hamburger SV

70'Substitution

Rayan Philippe· In

Laurin Ulrich· Out

Paderborn

62'Substitution

Felix Götze· In

Jano ter Horst· Out

Paderborn

62'Substitution

Marvin Pieringer· In

Steffen Tigges· Out

Paderborn

58'Yellow Card

Jano ter Horst

Paderborn

53'Yellow Card

Shafiq Nandja

Hamburger SV

46'Substitution

Tom Baack· In

Gabriel Vidovic· Out

Paderborn

46'Substitution

Terem Moffi· In

Yussuf Poulsen· Out

Hamburger SV

13'Substitution

Otto Stange· In

Fábio Vieira· Out

Hamburger SV

Statistics of the Game

Paderborn

Hamburger SV

62%Ball Possession38%

16Shots Total9

6Shots On Target1

6Corners3

12Fouls15

1Yellow Cards2

2Offsides0

1Saves5

532Passes332

6Shots Off Target5

155Attacks79

58Dangerous Attacks29

9Shots Inside Box3

7Shots Outside Box6

1Goals0

15Free Kicks12

4Shots Blocked3

5Substitutions5

1Hit Woodwork0

11Tackles23

1Assists0

449Accurate Passes241

0Injuries2

31Total Crosses18

9Accurate Crosses2

14Interceptions12

57Duels Won56

2Big Chances Created0

2Big Chances Missed0

Paderborn

Manager: Ralf Kettemann

Starting XI

7.1

6.7

7.8

7.1

7.4

6.5

7.6

6.1

7.5

6.3

6.9

Substitutes

Ruben Müller

6.8

7.1

6.5

6.7

7.4

Manager: Merlin Polzin

Starting XI

Daniel Heuer Fernandes

7.2

Shafiq Nandja

6.6

6.9

6.9

7.2

7.1

7.0

6.8

6.7

6.8

6.5

Substitutes

6.2

6.4

6.7

7.0

Louis Lemke

Alexander Røssing-Lelesiit

Jason Dean Bissi Mouelle

Player Stats

Player	Rating	Min	Goals	Assists	Shots	Passes	Tackles	Duels
Tjark Scheller DF	7.8	90'	0	0	0/1	82(100%)	2	6/8
Santiago Castañeda MF	7.6	90'	0	0	2/4	51(100%)	1	8/13
Raphael Obermair MF	7.5	90'	0	0	2/2	45(43%)	1	2/5
Laurin Curda MF	7.4	90'	0	0	0/1	42(76%)	1	6/7
Felix Götze DF	7.4	28'	0	1	-	18(100%)	1	3/5
Mattes Hansen DF	7.1	90'	0	0	0/1	88(92%)	1	5/9
Rayan Philippe FW	7.1	20'	1	0	1/2	8(50%)	-	1/2
Nahuel Noll GK	7.1	90'	0	0	-	44(83%)	-	-
Steffen Tigges FW	6.9	62'	0	0	1/1	11(100%)	2	5/10
Tom Baack MF	6.8	45'	0	0	0/1	23(78%)	-	2/3
Jano ter Horst DF	6.7	62'	0	0	-	47(91%)	2	4/11
Marvin Pieringer FW	6.7	28'	0	0	0/2	6(33%)	-	3/6
Sven Michel FW	6.5	11'	0	0	-	3(100%)	-	1/2
Laurin Ulrich MF	6.5	70'	0	0	0/1	25(67%)	1	6/14
Stefano Marino FW	6.3	79'	0	0	-	19(50%)	-	2/11
Gabriel Vidovic MF	6.1	45'	0	0	-	20(100%)	-	1/10

Paderborn vs Hamburger SV H2H, Form & Key Stats

Rayan Philippe's 88th-minute goal decided the match.(Score by goal: 88' 1-0.)
Paderborn moved from 16th to 12th in the Bundesliga table with this result.(4 places up. Before kickoff: 16th, 5 points from 6 matches. After: 12th, 8 points from 7 matches; 18 teams; the table also counts 4 matches played at the same time.)

Current streaks (all competitions)

Team	Games	Run	Unbeaten	Winless	Scored in	Conceded in	Last-5 pts	Last-5 goals
Paderborn	15	D1	1	2	1	2	7/15	6-8
Hamburger SV	15	W4	4	0	4	0	12/15	8-8

Paderborn — last 5 games

L0-3 @ Borussia Dortmund2026-09-12
W3-1 vs TSG Hoffenheim2026-09-20
W1-0 @ DC United2026-09-30
L0-2 vs VfB Stuttgart2026-10-10
D2-2 @ Werder Bremen2026-10-17

Hamburger SV — last 5 games

L0-5 @ RB Leipzig2026-09-13
W2-1 vs FC Köln2026-09-19
W2-0 vs FC København2026-10-04
W3-2 @ TSG Hoffenheim2026-10-10
W1-0 vs VfB Stuttgart2026-10-17

Goal markets & scoring rates

Team	Games	Avg goals	Over 1.5	Over 2.5	Over 3.5	BTTS	Clean sheets	Failed to score
Paderborn	15	2.53	73%	47%	33%	40%	33%	40%
Hamburger SV	15	3.47	93%	73%	47%	60%	20%	20%

Venue split (Home vs Away)

Team	Where	Pld	W	D	L	Goals	PPG	Over 2.5	Clean sheets
Paderborn	Home	6	2	1	3	7-9	1.17	50%	0%
Hamburger SV	Away	8	4	1	3	14-15	1.63	75%	13%

1st half vs 2nd half scoring

Team	Games	1H goals	2H goals	2H share	1H Over 0.5	HT W-D-L
Paderborn	14	11-6	7-10	39%	86%	7-3-4
Hamburger SV	15	8-13	17-14	68%	80%	4-5-6

Head-to-head, computed

Meetings on record: 9
Period covered: 2014-08-30 – 2025-03-02
Paderborn wins: 5
Draws: 2
Hamburger SV wins: 2
Avg goals per meeting: 2.67
Over 2.5 goals: 67%
Both teams scored: 44%
Home side won: 33%share of all meetings won by whichever team hosted
Last 5 meetings: 3W 2D 0L (Paderborn view)
Avg goals, last 5 vs all-time: 2.8 vs 2.67

Most recent meetings (5 of 9)

Date	Home	Score	Away
2025-03-02	Paderborn	2-0	Hamburger SV
2024-09-28	Hamburger SV	2-2	Paderborn
2024-05-10	Paderborn	1-0	Hamburger SV
2023-12-09	Hamburger SV	1-2	Paderborn
2023-05-05	Hamburger SV	2-2	Paderborn

Standings before kickoff (rebuilt from 55 earlier results)

Team	Pos	Pld	Pts	GD	Form	Form rank	Form vs pos
Paderborn	16	6	5	-4	LLWLD	14	+2
Hamburger SV	8	6	9	-9	LLWWW	5	+3

Table context

Points gap: 4 ptsPaderborn 5 · Hamburger SV 9
Positions: #16 vs #8
Goals per game: 0.83/1.5 vs 1/2.5scored/conceded per game · league average 1.85

How we calculate this

Bundesliga Standings

Bundesliga · 2026/2027

Full standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	PTS	Form
1	FC Bayern München	8	5	3	0	+19	18	DWWDW
···
10	VfB Stuttgart	8	3	0	5	-1	9	WLLWL
11	TSG Hoffenheim	8	3	0	5	-2	9	LLWLL
12	PaderbornH	8	2	3	3	-3	9	LWLLD
13	Hamburger SVA	7	3	0	4	-10	9	WWLLL
14	FC Köln	7	2	2	3	-3	8	WLDLW
15	Eintracht Frankfurt	7	2	2	3	-7	8	LDWLD
···
18	Borussia Mönchengladbach	8	1	1	6	-11	4	LLLLL

8 / 18Full standings →

Statistical Comparison

Bundesliga

Paderborn8 matches

Hamburger SV

7 matches

#12Position#13

9Points9

2Wins3

3Draws0

3Losses4

6Goals6

0.75Goals per game0.86

9Goals conceded16

1.13Goals per game conceded2.29

Paderborn vs Hamburger SV — Statistical Win Probability, Goal Markets & xG Projection

Poisson goal model computed from recent form (8 vs 7 matches) & H2H history

1X2 Statistical Win ProbabilityPaderborn 53% · X · Draw 25% · Hamburger SV 22%

1 · Home Win

53%

X · Draw

25%

2 · Away Win

22%

Projected Goals (xG Model)

1.61 vs 0.95

Projected Total: 2.56

Over 1.5 Goals

72%

Over 2.5 Goals

47%

Over 3.5 Goals

25%

Both Teams to Score (BTTS)

49%

Clean Sheet Prob. (H / A)

39% / 20%

Paderborn / Hamburger SV

Most Likely Scorelines (Poisson):

1 - 0(12.4%)1 - 1(11.9%)2 - 0(10.0%)

Recent matches

Oct 10

0-2

vs VfB Stuttgart

Home

Sep 30

1-0

@ DC United

Away

All Paderborn fixtures & results

Previous Meetings

Last 9 matches

Won 56%

(5/9)

Draw 22%

(2/9)

Won 22%

(2/9)

Goals

14-10

Total matches

Recent matches (5/9)

2. Bundesliga•Mar 2, 2025

Paderborn

2-0

Hamburger SV

2. Bundesliga•Sep 28, 2024

Hamburger SV

2-2

Paderborn

2. Bundesliga•May 10, 2024

Paderborn

1-0

Hamburger SV

2. Bundesliga•Dec 9, 2023

Hamburger SV

1-2

Paderborn

2. Bundesliga•May 5, 2023

Hamburger SV

2-2

Paderborn

Paderborn vs Hamburger SV — Head to Head

Last 9 matches

Paderborn wins

Draws

Hamburger SV wins

Goals Scored

14 - 10

Mar 2, 2025 • 2. Bundesliga

Paderborn

2-0

Hamburger SV

Sep 28, 2024 • 2. Bundesliga

Hamburger SV

2-2

Paderborn

May 10, 2024 • 2. Bundesliga

Paderborn

1-0

Hamburger SV

Matchday 7 — Bundesliga

Match summary

Paderborn beat Hamburger SV 1-0 in the Bundesliga, Regular Season.

Before kickoff, Paderborn sat 16th on 5 points, while Hamburger SV were 8th on 9 points. Across 9 previous meetings on record, Paderborn won 5 and Hamburger SV won 2, with 2 draws (2.67 goals per game).

Rayan Philippe (88') scored for Paderborn.

More details:

Paderborn — live results and schedule Hamburger SV — live results and schedule

Match Timeline

Match Statistics

Statistics of the Game

Team Lineups

Starting XI

Substitutes

Starting XI

Substitutes

Player Stats

Paderborn vs Hamburger SV H2H, Form & Key Stats

Bundesliga Standings

Statistical Comparison

Statistical Comparison

Paderborn vs Hamburger SV — Statistical Win Probability, Goal Markets & xG Projection

Recent matches

Previous Meetings

Recent matches (5/9)

Paderborn vs Hamburger SV — Head to Head

Last 9 matches

Matchday 7 — Bundesliga

Match summary