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Burkina Faso vs Ethiopia
Result, Stats, Lineups & H2H

3
-FT
1
Oct 12, 2025
Stade du 4 Août|Ouagadougou

Ethiopia

Ayten84'

Match Timeline

Man of the Match
Goal!
3-1
Pierre Landry Kabore
Pierre Landry Kabore
90'+6·Burkina Faso
⚽
Goal!
2-1
Biniam Ayten
Biniam Ayten
84'·Ethiopia
⚽
Burkina Faso
Goal!
2-0
Pierre Landry Kabore
Pierre Landry Kabore
82'·Burkina Faso
⚽
80'Substitution
Mohammed Abera Hirugo
Mohammed Abera Hirugo· In
Ethiopia
80'Substitution
Nigatu Gebreselassie
Nigatu Gebreselassie· In
Wogene Gezahegn
Wogene Gezahegn· Out
Ethiopia
69'Yellow Card
Burkina Faso
Goal!
1-0
Pierre Landry Kabore
Pierre Landry Kabore
65'·Burkina Faso
⚽
63'Substitution
Yetagesu Tariku Bayu
Yetagesu Tariku Bayu· In
Kitika Jemma
Kitika Jemma· Out
Ethiopia
Burkina Faso
Burkina Faso
Burkina Faso
57'Substitution
Ahmed Hussien
Ahmed Hussien· In
Bereket Desta
Bereket Desta· Out
Ethiopia
57'Substitution
Biniam Ayten
Biniam Ayten· In
Bereket Waza
Bereket Waza· Out
Ethiopia
38'Yellow Card
Kitika Jemma
Kitika Jemma
Ethiopia
36'Yellow Card
Abdulselam Yesuf
Ethiopia
36'Yellow Card
Abduselam Yusuf
Abduselam Yusuf
Ethiopia
31'Yellow Card
Ramkel James
Ramkel James
Ethiopia
31'Yellow Card
—
Ethiopia

Match Statistics

Statistics of the Game

Burkina Faso
Burkina Faso
Ethiopia
Ethiopia
0%Ball Possession0%
20Shots Total4
10Shots On Target2
0Corners0
0Fouls0
1Yellow Cards3
0Offsides0
0Saves0
0Passes0
71Attacks93
104Dangerous Attacks56
10Shots Off Target2
0Shots Inside Box0
0Shots Outside Box0
3Goals1
0Shots Blocked0
5Substitutions5
0Accurate Passes0
0Red Cards0
49Ball Safe84

Team Lineups

Manager: N/A

Starting XI

23
Firew Getahun
Firew Getahun
5.7
16
Kened Kebede Kareto
Kened Kebede Kareto
3
Ramkel James
Ramkel James
5.9
13
Ahmed Reshid
Ahmed Reshid
5.9
12
Abduselam Yusuf
Abduselam Yusuf
5
Haider Sherifa Juber
Haider Sherifa Juber
20
Bereket Waza
Bereket Waza
6.5
7
Bereket Desta
Bereket Desta
6.5
18
Wogene Gezahegn
Wogene Gezahegn
6.5
21
Kitika Jemma
Kitika Jemma
6.3

Substitutes

1
Biniam Genetu
Biniam Genetu
2
Bereket Kekaleb
Bereket Kekaleb
4
Wancha Tut Thurbiel
Wancha Tut Thurbiel
6
Habtamu Tekeste
Habtamu Tekeste
8
Yetagesu Tariku Bayu
Yetagesu Tariku Bayu
9
Ahmed Hussien
Ahmed Hussien
10
Biniam Ayten
Biniam Ayten
6.4
14
Mohammed Abera Hirugo
Mohammed Abera Hirugo
15
Nigatu Gebreselassie
Nigatu Gebreselassie

Player Stats

PlayerRatingMinGoalsAssistsShotsPassesTacklesDuels
7.4
28'30-
-
-
-
6.5
63'00-
-
-
-
6.5
62'00-
-
-
-
6.5
62'00-
-
-
-
6.5
90'00-
-
-
-
6.5
90'00-
-
-
-
6.4
90'01-
-
-
-
6.4
90'00-
-
-
-
6.4
28'00-
-
-
-
6.3
90'00-
-
-
-
6.3
90'00-
-
-
-
6.3
90'00-
-
-
-
6.1
90'00-
-
-
-

Burkina Faso vs Ethiopia H2H, Form & Key Stats

Current streaks (all competitions)
TeamGamesRunUnbeatenWinlessScored inConceded inLast-5 ptsLast-5 goals
Burkina Faso15W130107/158-3
Ethiopia15W110106/157-7
Burkina Faso — last 5 games
  1. L0-1 @ Mauritania2025-08-13
  2. L1-2 vs Madagascar2025-08-16
  3. W6-0 @ Djibouti2025-09-05
  4. D0-0 vs Egypt2025-09-09
  5. W1-0 @ Sierra Leone2025-10-08
Ethiopia — last 5 games
  1. L0-2 vs Egypt2025-03-21
  2. W6-1 vs Djibouti2025-03-24
  3. L0-2 @ Egypt2025-09-05
  4. L0-2 @ Sierra Leone2025-09-09
  5. W1-0 vs Guinea-Bissau2025-10-08
Goal markets & scoring rates
TeamGamesAvg goalsOver 1.5Over 2.5Over 3.5BTTSClean sheetsFailed to score
Burkina Faso152.673%40%20%27%40%40%
Ethiopia152.4780%40%13%40%20%53%
Venue split (Home vs Away)
TeamWherePldWDLGoalsPPGOver 2.5Clean sheets
Burkina FasoHome52129-61.460%20%
EthiopiaAway71334-100.8629%29%
1st half vs 2nd half scoring
TeamGames1H goals2H goals2H share1H Over 0.5HT W-D-L
Burkina Faso1513-611-946%73%5-7-3
Ethiopia156-178-657%80%3-4-8
Head-to-head, computed
Meetings on record
2
Period covered
2022-01-17 – 2023-11-21
Burkina Faso wins
1
Draws
1
Ethiopia wins
0
Avg goals per meeting
2.5
Over 2.5 goals
50%
Both teams scored
50%
Home side won
0%share of all meetings won by whichever team hosted
Most recent meetings
DateHomeScoreAway
2023-11-21Ethiopia0-3Burkina Faso
2022-01-17Burkina Faso1-1Ethiopia
Standings before kickoff (rebuilt from 27 earlier results)
TeamPosPldPtsGDFormForm rankForm vs pos
Burkina Faso291813WWWDW1+1
Ethiopia599-3LWLLW4+1
Table context
Points gap
9 ptsBurkina Faso 18 · Ethiopia 9
Positions
#2 vs #5
Goals per game
2.22/0.78 vs 0.89/1.22scored/conceded per game · league average 1.28

How we calculate this

CAF World Cup Qualifiers Standings

CAF World Cup Qualifiers · 2026

Full standings
#TeamPGDPTS
110+1826
210+1521
310+215
410-210
510-59
610-281
110+1924
210+519

Statistical Comparison

Statistical Comparison

CAF World Cup Qualifiers
Burkina Faso
10 matches
Ethiopia
10 matches
#2Position#5
21Points9
6Wins2
3Draws3
1Losses5
23Goals9
2.30Goals per game0.90
8Goals conceded14
0.80Goals per game conceded1.40

Burkina Faso vs Ethiopia — Statistical Win Probability, Goal Markets & xG Projection

Poisson goal model computed from recent form (10 vs 10 matches) & H2H history

1X2 Statistical Win ProbabilityBurkina Faso 64% · X · Draw 21% · Ethiopia 15%
1 · Home Win
64%
X · Draw
21%
2 · Away Win
15%
Projected Goals (xG Model)
1.94 vs 0.81
Projected Total: 2.75
Over 1.5 Goals
76%
Over 2.5 Goals
52%
Over 3.5 Goals
29%
Both Teams to Score (BTTS)
47%
Clean Sheet Prob. (H / A)
45% / 14%
Burkina Faso / Ethiopia
Most Likely Scorelines (Poisson):
1 - 0(12.5%)2 - 0(12.1%)1 - 1(10.1%)
Last Matches
Previous Meetings

Previous Meetings

Last 2 matches
Head to Head

Burkina Faso vs Ethiopia — Head to Head

Match summary

Burkina Faso beat Ethiopia 3-1 in the CAF World Cup Qualifiers, Group Stage.

Before kickoff, Burkina Faso sat 2nd on 18 points, while Ethiopia were 5th on 9 points. Across 2 previous meetings on record, Burkina Faso won 1 and Ethiopia won 0, with 1 draw (2.5 goals per game).

Goals came from Pierre Landry Kabore (65', 82', 90') for Burkina Faso and Biniam Ayten (84') for Ethiopia.