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Ulinzi Stars vs Sofapaka Result, Stats & H2H

FT · HT 1–02 – 0

Paul Okoth 45+2′, 76′15th

18th

Possession
51%49%
Shots · on target in brackets
11 (2)13 (5)
Corners
62
Table · 25 v 15 pts
15th → 14th18th

Premier LeagueMatchday 25Afraha Stadium

Events

ULI 2–0 SOF
  1. Full time 2–0
  2. Paul Okoth2–0Goal
  3. Half-time 1–0
  4. Paul Okoth1–0Goal

Team stats

11 figures
Ulinzi Starsfull timeSofapaka
  1. 51%Possession49%
  2. 11Shots13
  3. 2Shots on target5
  4. 6Corners2
All 11 stats
  1. Attack
  2. 86Attacks98
  3. 70Dangerous attacks84
  4. 18%Shot accuracy38%
  5. 9Shots off target8
  6. Defence
  7. 92Ball safe86
  8. Other
  9. 4Injuries1
  10. 2Substitutions4

Table after full time

Premier League 2025/2026
#TeamPW-D-LGoalsGDPtsBefore
1Gor Mahia2517-5-344:18+26561st
12Mara Sugar256-12-723:24-13012th
13Mathare United258-6-1122:24-23013th
14Ulinzi Stars266-7-1325:30-52515th ▲1
15Kariobangi Sharks255-10-1018:28-102514th ▼1
16Bidco United264-10-1216:29-132216th
17APS Bomet243-9-1222:32-101817th
18Sofapaka263-6-1715:36-211518th
Ulinzi Stars
15th → 14th22 → 25 pts
Sofapaka
18th15 → 15 pts

Order: points, goal difference, goals scored. “Before” is the position at kick-off. Full table

Form

last 10 matches of each side, all competitions, before kick-off
Ulinzi Stars7d restSOF +1d rest8d restSofapaka
  1. 1-1D11 Jan
  2. 0-1L16 Jan
  3. 1-2L25 Jan
  4. 0-1L1 Feb
  5. 1-1D15 Feb
  6. 1-2L22 Feb
  7. 1-1D26 Feb
  8. 0-1L2 Mar
  9. 1-3L15 Mar
  10. 2-1W22 Mar

1-3-6goals 8:140.60pts/game

Bar: goals scored.
Score: own goals first.Pts/game: green ≥ 2.0 · blue ≥ 1.5 · amber ≥ 1.0 · red below

  1. 1-1D9 Jan
  2. 0-1L17 Jan
  3. 0-1L25 Jan
  4. 0-3L31 Jan
  5. 2-3L15 Feb
  6. 0-2L20 Feb
  7. 0-2L26 Feb
  8. 1-3L2 Mar
  9. 0-1L14 Mar
  10. 0-0D21 Mar

0-2-8goals 4:170.20pts/game

  1. ANairobi United2–1
  2. HGor Mahia1–3
  3. ABidco United0–1
  4. HHomeboyz1–1
  5. AMara Sugar1–2

latest 5

  1. ABidco United0–0
  2. HNairobi United0–1
  3. AMara Sugar1–3
  4. HPolice0–2
  5. AHomeboyz0–2
Show older matches
  1. HPolice1–1
  2. AKariobangi Sharks0–1
  3. HMurang'a SEAL1–2
  4. AMathare United0–1
  5. HNairobi United1–1

older

  1. HMurang'a SEAL2–3
  2. AGor Mahia0–3
  3. HLeopards0–1
  4. AShabana0–1
  5. HBidco United1–1

What stands out

  • 14thfrom 15th

    Ulinzi Stars moved from 15th to 14th in the Premier League table with this result.22 → 25 points after 26 matches; order by points, goal difference, goals scored.

  • 1–0half-time

    The match stood at 1–0 at half-time before 1–0 after the break (2–0 full time).

Head-to-head

8 meetings on record since 2018

2-3-3Ulinzi Stars W-D-L · goals 9:11

2 ULI3 draws3 SOF
With Ulinzi Stars at home
1-1-2 (4:5)
Goals per meeting
2.5
Over 2.5 goals
50%
Both teams scored
63%
Won by the host
25%
Last 5 (Ulinzi Stars)
2W 1D 2L · 2.6 goals/game
  1. Sofapaka1–3Ulinzi StarsPremier League
  2. Ulinzi Stars0–1SofapakaPremier League
  3. Sofapaka4–1Ulinzi StarsPremier League
  4. Sofapaka1–1Ulinzi StarsPremier League
  5. Ulinzi Stars1–0SofapakaPremier League
Show all 8 meetings
  1. Sofapaka0–0Ulinzi StarsPremier League
  2. Ulinzi Stars2–2SofapakaPremier League
  3. Ulinzi Stars1–2SofapakaPremier League

Season comparison

as the teams came into the match
Ulinzi Starsall competitionsSofapaka
  1. Goal markets & scoring rates · 15 games each
  2. 2.27Goals per game (both sides)1.67
  3. 73%Over 1.547%
  4. 47%Over 2.520%
  5. 7%Over 3.513%
  6. 67%Both teams scored20%
  7. 7%Clean sheets20%
  8. 27%Failed to score80%
  9. Ulinzi Stars at home v Sofapaka away
  10. 8Played7
  11. 1Won0
  12. 4Drawn1
  13. 3Lost6
  14. 10-11Goals (for-against)1-11
  15. 0.88Points per game0.14
  16. 50%Over 2.529%
  17. 13%Clean sheets14%
  18. 1st half vs 2nd half scoring · 15 v 14 games
  19. 5-121st-half goals (for-against)2-11
  20. 9-82nd-half goals (for-against)2-10
  21. 64%Goals after half-time50%
  22. 100%Goal before half-time50%
  23. 4-1-10Half-time W-D-L0-7-7

How we calculate this

Match info

Competition
Premier League
Season
2025/2026 · Matchday 25 of 31
Kick-off
Venue
Afraha Stadium, Nakuru
Capacity
7,500 · grass

Match summary

Ulinzi Stars beat Sofapaka 2-0 in the Premier League (Kenya).

Before kickoff, Ulinzi Stars sat 15th on 22 points, while Sofapaka were 18th on 15 points. Sofapaka had gone 15 matches without a win before this one. Across 8 previous meetings on record, Ulinzi Stars won 2 and Sofapaka won 3, with 3 draws (2.5 goals per game).

Paul Okoth (45', 76') scored the goals for Ulinzi Stars.

Ulinzi Stars — live results and scheduleSofapaka — live results and scheduleHow we calculate this

Expected vs happened

as of kick-off

44%Model · draw 30%26%

Projected goals
1.24 – 0.88total 2.12 · from goals per game before kick-off
Most likely scores
1–0 14.9%1–1 13.1%0–0 12%
OutcomeModelHappened
Ulinzi Stars win44%Yes
Draw30%No
Sofapaka win26%No
Over 1.5 goals63%Yes
Over 2.5 goals36%No
Over 3.5 goals16%No
Both teams to score42%No
Ulinzi Stars clean sheet41%Yes
Sofapaka clean sheet29%No

Model: Poisson rates from goals scored and conceded per game (not expected goals). How we calculate this

Matchday 25

Premier League · the other 6 games
  1. Bandari1–0Bidco United
  2. KCB1–0Mara Sugar
  3. Posta Rangers0–2Homeboyz
  4. Nairobi United1–1APS Bomet
  5. Shabana1–0Murang'a SEAL
  6. Leopards1–0Kariobangi Sharks
Premier League fixtures and results →

Updated