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Mara Sugar vs Sofapaka Result, Stats & H2H

FT · HT 2–13 – 1

Dennis Cheruiyot 17′Alex Imbusia 36′, 47′12th

18thM. Ntamba 37′

Possession
26%74%
Shots · on target in brackets
20 (6)13 (3)
Corners
40
Table · 28 v 14 pts
12th → 11th18th

Premier LeagueMatchday 22

Events

MAR 3–1 SOF
  1. Full time 3–1
  2. Alex Imbusia3–1Goal
  3. Half-time 2–1
  4. M. Ntamba2–1Goal
  5. Alex Imbusia2–0Goal
  6. Dennis Cheruiyot1–0Goal

Team stats

10 figures
Mara Sugarfull timeSofapaka
  1. 26%Possession74%
  2. 20Shots13
  3. 6Shots on target3
  4. 4Corners0
  5. 0Yellow cards3
All 10 stats
  1. Attack
  2. 139Attacks133
  3. 61Dangerous attacks41
  4. 30%Shot accuracy23%
  5. 14Shots off target10
  6. Other
  7. 4Substitutions4

Form

last 10 matches of each side, all competitions, before kick-off
Mara Sugar4d restequal rest · old → new4d restSofapaka
  1. 2-0W13 Dec
  2. 0-0D17 Dec
  3. 1-3L22 Dec
  4. 1-1D10 Jan
  5. 1-1D14 Jan
  6. 0-3L18 Jan
  7. 0-1L24 Jan
  8. 3-3D31 Jan
  9. 2-1W22 Feb
  10. 2-2D26 Feb

2-5-3goals 12:151.10pts/game

Bar: goals scored.
Score: own goals first.Pts/game: green ≥ 2.0 · blue ≥ 1.5 · amber ≥ 1.0 · red below

  1. 0-2L14 Dec
  2. 0-1L17 Dec
  3. 0-0D22 Dec
  4. 1-1D9 Jan
  5. 0-1L17 Jan
  6. 0-1L25 Jan
  7. 0-3L31 Jan
  8. 2-3L15 Feb
  9. 0-2L20 Feb
  10. 0-2L26 Feb

0-2-8goals 3:160.20pts/game

  1. ABidco United2–2
  2. HUlinzi Stars2–1
  3. AHomeboyz3–3
  4. HPolice0–1
  5. AGor Mahia0–3

latest 5

  1. HPolice0–2
  2. AHomeboyz0–2
  3. HMurang'a SEAL2–3
  4. AGor Mahia0–3
  5. HLeopards0–1
Show older matches
  1. APolice1–1
  2. AAPS Bomet1–1
  3. HMurang'a SEAL1–3
  4. AShabana0–0
  5. HKariobangi Sharks2–0

older

  1. AShabana0–1
  2. HBidco United1–1
  3. HKariobangi Sharks0–0
  4. AMathare United0–1
  5. HTusker0–2

Matchday 22

Premier League · the other 8 games
  1. Gor Mahia2–1Mathare United
  2. Police2–0Bandari
  3. Murang'a SEAL5–1Posta Rangers
  4. Leopards0–0Shabana
  5. Bidco United1–0Ulinzi Stars
  6. Homeboyz2–1APS Bomet
  7. Kariobangi Sharks1–2Tusker
  8. Nairobi United2–2KCB
Premier League fixtures and results →

What stands out

  • 11thfrom 12th

    Mara Sugar moved from 12th to 11th in the Premier League table with this result.25 → 28 points after 22 matches; order by points, goal difference, goals scored.

  • 2–1half-time

    The match stood at 2–1 at half-time before 1–0 after the break (3–1 full time).

Table after full time

Premier League 2025/2026
#TeamPW-D-LGoalsGDPtsBefore
1Gor Mahia2215-4-338:15+23491st
9Tusker229-4-919:23-4319th
10Nairobi United188-5-524:18+62910th
11Mara Sugar226-10-623:2302812th ▲1
12Mathare United237-5-1117:22-52611th ▼1
13Posta Rangers225-9-818:27-92413th
16Ulinzi Stars234-7-1220:26-61915th ▼1
17APS Bomet223-7-1221:31-101617th
18Sofapaka233-5-1515:33-181418th
Mara Sugar
12th → 11th25 → 28 pts
Sofapaka
18th14 → 14 pts

Order: points, goal difference, goals scored. “Before” is the position at kick-off. Full table

Season comparison

as the teams came into the match
Mara Sugarall competitionsSofapaka
  1. Goal markets & scoring rates · 15 games each
  2. 2.27Goals per game (both sides)1.87
  3. 67%Over 1.560%
  4. 33%Over 2.520%
  5. 20%Over 3.513%
  6. 47%Both teams scored20%
  7. 27%Clean sheets20%
  8. 33%Failed to score73%
  9. Mara Sugar at home v Sofapaka away
  10. 7Played6
  11. 3Won0
  12. 0Drawn0
  13. 4Lost6
  14. 7-7Goals (for-against)0-10
  15. 1.29Points per game0
  16. 29%Over 2.517%
  17. 29%Clean sheets0%
  18. 1st half vs 2nd half scoring · 15 v 14 games
  19. 6-91st-half goals (for-against)3-11
  20. 10-92nd-half goals (for-against)3-11
  21. 63%Goals after half-time50%
  22. 60%Goal before half-time57%
  23. 2-8-5Half-time W-D-L1-7-6

How we calculate this

Match info

Competition
Premier League
Season
2025/2026 · Matchday 22 of 31
Kick-off
MAR coach
John Baraza (1.30 PPG)

Match summary

Mara Sugar beat Sofapaka 3-1 in the Premier League (Kenya), Regular Season.

Before kickoff, Mara Sugar sat 12th on 25 points, while Sofapaka were 18th on 14 points. Sofapaka had lost 6 matches in a row before this one. Across 3 previous meetings on record, Mara Sugar won 0 and Sofapaka won 0, with 3 draws (2.67 goals per game).

Mara Sugar won with 26% of the possession. Goals came from Dennis Cheruiyot (17') and Alex Imbusia (36', 47') for Mara Sugar and M. Ntamba (37') for Sofapaka.

Mara Sugar — live results and scheduleSofapaka — live results and scheduleHow we calculate this

Head-to-head

3 meetings on record since 2024

0-3-0Mara Sugar W-D-L · goals 4:4

0 MAR3 draws0 SOF
Goals per meeting
2.67
Over 2.5 goals
33%
Both teams scored
100%
Won by the host
0%
  1. Sofapaka2–2Mara SugarPremier League
  2. Sofapaka1–1Mara SugarPremier League
  3. Mara Sugar1–1SofapakaPremier League

Expected vs happened

as of kick-off

47%Model · draw 29%24%

Projected goals
1.28 – 0.84total 2.12 · from goals per game before kick-off
Most likely scores
1–0 15.4%1–1 12.9%0–0 12.1%
OutcomeModelHappened
Mara Sugar win47%Yes
Draw29%No
Sofapaka win24%No
Over 1.5 goals62%Yes
Over 2.5 goals35%Yes
Over 3.5 goals16%Yes
Both teams to score41%Yes
Mara Sugar clean sheet43%No
Sofapaka clean sheet28%No

Model: Poisson rates from goals scored and conceded per game (not expected goals). How we calculate this

Updated