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V-Varen Nagasaki vs Mito Hollyhock Result, Stats, Lineups & H2H

FT · HT 1–12 – 1

Ikki Arai 6′Matheus Jesus 65′ (pen)2nd

1stHayata Yamamoto 34′

MJ

Player of the matchMatheus JesusVVA · 1 goal · 90′ · 10 duels won · 3 interceptions · 1 shots (1 on target)

6.8
Possession
45%55%
Shots · on target in brackets
5 (4)12 (4)
Corners
16
Table · 69 v 67 pts
2nd → 1st1st → 2nd

J2-LeagueMatchday 37transcosmos Stadium Nagasaki

Events

VVA 2–1 MIT · 1–0 yellow · 0–1 red
  1. Full time 2–1
  2. Ryusei Harunafor Takahiro Iida
  3. Konosuke NishikawaRed card
  4. Kazuki Kushibikifor Ikki Arai
  5. Mizuki Araifor Taishi Semba
  6. Shohei Aiharafor Chihiro Kato
  7. Tsubasa Kasayanagifor Shunya Yoneda
  8. Koki Tsukagawafor Hayata Yamamoto
  9. Seiichiro Kubofor Keisuke Tada
  10. Ryogo YamasakiYellow card
  11. Matheus Jesus2–1Penalty goal
  12. Tenmu Matsumotofor Takashi Sawada
  13. Ryogo Yamasakifor Edigar Junio
  14. Half-time 1–1
  15. Hayata Yamamoto1–1Goal · right foot · assist Sho Omori
  16. Ikki Arai1–0Goal · right foot

Table after full time

J2-League 2025
#TeamPW-D-LGoalsGDPtsBefore
1V-Varen Nagasaki3719-12-662:43+19692nd ▲1
2Mito Hollyhock3719-10-853:34+19671st ▼1
3JEF United3719-9-951:34+17663rd
4Omiya Ardija3618-9-957:34+23634th
20Ehime363-12-2134:67-332120th
V-Varen Nagasaki
2nd → 1st66 → 69 pts
Mito Hollyhock
1st → 2nd67 → 67 pts

Order: points, goal difference, goals scored. “Before” is the position at kick-off. Full table

Head-to-head

6 meetings on record since 2013

3-0-3V-Varen Nagasaki W-D-L · goals 6:9

3 VVA0 draws3 MIT
With V-Varen Nagasaki at home
1-0-2 (2:4)
Goals per meeting
2.5
Over 2.5 goals
50%
Both teams scored
33%
Won by the host
33%
Last 5 (V-Varen Nagasaki)
3W 0D 2L · 2.6 goals/game
  1. Mito Hollyhock3–0V-Varen NagasakiJ2-League
  2. V-Varen Nagasaki1–2Mito HollyhockJ2-League
  3. Mito Hollyhock2–3V-Varen NagasakiJ2-League
  4. Mito Hollyhock0–1V-Varen NagasakiJ2-League
  5. V-Varen Nagasaki1–0Mito HollyhockJ2-League
Show all 6 meetings
  1. V-Varen Nagasaki0–2Mito HollyhockJ2-League
  1. Mito HollyhocknextV-Varen NagasakiJ1 League
  2. V-Varen NagasakinextMito HollyhockJ1 League

Expected vs happened

as of kick-off

39%Model · draw 27%34%

Projected goals
1.34 – 1.23total 2.57 · from goals per game before kick-off
Most likely scores
1–1 12.6%1–0 10.2%0–1 9.5%
OutcomeModelHappened
V-Varen Nagasaki win39%Yes
Draw27%No
Mito Hollyhock win34%No
Over 1.5 goals73%Yes
Over 2.5 goals47%Yes
Over 3.5 goals26%No
Both teams to score52%Yes
V-Varen Nagasaki clean sheet29%No
Mito Hollyhock clean sheet26%No

Model: Poisson rates from goals scored and conceded per game (not expected goals). How we calculate this

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What stands out

  • 1stfrom 2nd

    V-Varen Nagasaki moved from 2nd to 1st in the J2-League table with this result.66 → 69 points after 37 matches; order by points, goal difference, goals scored.

  • 2ndfrom 1st

    Mito Hollyhock moved from 1st to 2nd in the J2-League table with this result.67 → 67 points after 37 matches; order by points, goal difference, goals scored.

Team stats

35 figures
  1. 45%Possession55%
  2. 5Shots12
  3. 4Shots on target4
  4. 1Corners6
  5. 358Passes483
  6. 6Fouls15
  7. 1Yellow cards0
All 35 stats
  1. Attack
  2. 6Accurate crosses9
  3. 65Attacks68
  4. 12Crosses22
  5. 32Dangerous attacks50
  6. 15Dribble attempts20
  7. 2Offsides0
  8. 80%Shot accuracy33%
  9. 0Shots blocked3
  10. 3Shots inside box4
  11. 1Shots off target5
  12. 2Shots outside box8
  13. 9Successful dribbles15
  14. Passing
  15. 27Accurate long passes26
  16. 278Accurate passes401
  17. 47%Long pass accuracy46%
  18. 58Long passes56
  19. 78%Pass accuracy83%
  20. Defence
  21. 57Ball safe59
  22. 12Goal kicks7
  23. 8Interceptions9
  24. 3Saves2
  25. 1Tackles1
  26. Discipline
  27. 2Free kicks2
  28. 0Red cards1
  29. Other
  30. 1Penalties0
  31. 130Possession lost137
  32. 3Substitutions5
  33. 17Throw-ins20

Lineups

Starting XIs · ratings at full time
V-Varen Nagasaki3-4-2-16.37 avg rating 6.203-4-2-1Mito Hollyhock
  1. 345.9Konosuke NishikawaRC
  1. 26.2Sho OmoriA
  2. 976.1Travis Takahashi
  3. 366.1Kenta Itakura
  1. 86.3Shunsuke Saito
  2. 36.3Koshi Osaki
  3. 476.3Taishi Semba↓80′
  4. 66.1Takahiro Iida↓90+5′
  1. 996.3Chihiro Kato↓80′
  2. 396.5Hayata YamamotoG ↓69′
  1. 256.4Keisuke Tada↓69′
  1. 18Ryogo YamasakiMF · YC ↑46′6.5
  2. 25Kazuki KushibikiDF · ↑88′
  3. 33Tsubasa KasayanagiMF · ↑78′6.5
  4. 34Tenmu MatsumotoMF · ↑54′6.5
  5. 1Masaya TomizawaGK
  6. 3Masahiro SekiguchiDF
  7. 9Juanma DelgadoFW
  8. 15Jun OkanoDF
  9. 20Keita NakamuraMF

SubstitutesCoaches: Norihiro Satsukawa · Naoki Mori (1.55 PPG)G goal · A assist · YC yellow · RC red · ↑ on · ↓ off

  1. 13Shohei AiharaMF · ↑80′6.5
  2. 16Koki TsukagawaFW · ↑69′6.5
  3. 22Seiichiro KuboMF · ↑69′6.5
  4. 51Ryusei HarunaGK · ↑90+5′
  5. 70Mizuki AraiMF · ↑80′6.5
  6. 4Takeshi UshizawaDF
  7. 19Koichi MurataDF
  8. 24Kiichi YamazakiMF
  9. 71Malick FofanaDF

Form

last 10 matches of each side, all competitions, before kick-off
V-Varen Nagasaki15d restVVA +1d rest14d restMito Hollyhock
  1. 1-0W24 Aug
  2. 2-1W31 Aug
  3. 2-1W13 Sep
  4. 1-1D20 Sep
  5. 0-0D28 Sep
  6. 2-0W4 Oct
  7. 4-0W18 Oct
  8. 1-1D25 Oct
  9. 0-1L2 Nov
  10. 4-0W8 Nov

6-3-1goals 17:52.10pts/game

Bar: goals scored.
Score: own goals first.Pts/game: green ≥ 2.0 · blue ≥ 1.5 · amber ≥ 1.0 · red below

  1. 2-2D23 Aug
  2. 2-2D30 Aug
  3. 1-1D13 Sep
  4. 0-0D20 Sep
  5. 2-0W28 Sep
  6. 3-1W5 Oct
  7. 0-1L19 Oct
  8. 1-0W26 Oct
  9. 1-0W2 Nov
  10. 0-2L9 Nov

4-4-2goals 12:91.60pts/game

  1. AEhime4–0
  2. AJúbilo Iwata0–1
  3. HImabari1–1
  4. HVentforet Kofu4–0
  5. AJEF United2–0

latest 5

  1. HOmiya Ardija0–2
  2. AVentforet Kofu1–0
  3. AConsadole Sapporo1–0
  4. HJEF United0–1
  5. AEhime3–1
Show older matches
  1. ABlaublitz Akita0–0
  2. HKataller Toyama1–1
  3. AOmiya Ardija2–1
  4. HFujieda MYFC2–1
  5. HRenofa Yamaguchi1–0

older

  1. HFujieda MYFC2–0
  2. AIwaki0–0
  3. AVegalta Sendai1–1
  4. HRenofa Yamaguchi2–2
  5. ASagan Tosu2–2

Matchday 37

J2-League · the other 9 games
  1. Oita Trinita0–1JEF United
  2. Vegalta Sendai04:05Blaublitz Akita
  3. Iwaki0–0Renofa Yamaguchi
  4. Omiya Ardija10:00Tokushima Vortis
  5. Ventforet Kofu1–2Kataller Toyama
  6. Montedio Yamagata10:00Júbilo Iwata
  7. Sagan Tosu1–0Fujieda MYFC
  8. Imabari0–4Consadole Sapporo
  9. Roasso Kumamoto0–2Ehime
J2-League fixtures and results →

Match info

Competition
J2-League
Season
2025 · Matchday 37 of 38
Kick-off
Venue
transcosmos Stadium Nagasaki, Isahaya
Capacity
20,000 · grass
Weather
18 °C · sky is clear · humidity 53%
VVA coach
Norihiro Satsukawa
MIT coach
Naoki Mori (1.55 PPG)

Match summary

V-Varen Nagasaki beat Mito Hollyhock 2-1 in the J2-League, Regular Season.

Before kickoff, Mito Hollyhock (67 points) and V-Varen Nagasaki (66 points) were first and second in the table. Before kickoff, Mito Hollyhock were 1st in the table but 8th on points from the last five league games. Across 6 previous meetings on record, V-Varen Nagasaki won 3 and Mito Hollyhock won 3, with 0 draws (2.5 goals per game).

Goals came from Ikki Arai (6') and Matheus Jesus (65') for V-Varen Nagasaki and Hayata Yamamoto (34') for Mito Hollyhock.

V-Varen Nagasaki — live results and scheduleMito Hollyhock — live results and scheduleHow we calculate this

Top ratings

XI avg 6.37 v 6.20
  1. MJMatheus JesusVVA6.8
  2. Ikki AraiVVA6.5
  3. HYHayata YamamotoMIT6.5
  4. Edigar JunioVVA6.5
  5. RYRyogo YamasakiVVA6.5

Player leaders

this match

Season comparison

as the teams came into the match
  1. Goal markets & scoring rates · 15 games each
  2. 2.2Goals per game (both sides)2.4
  3. 73%Over 1.573%
  4. 47%Over 2.547%
  5. 13%Over 3.527%
  6. 53%Both teams scored47%
  7. 40%Clean sheets40%
  8. 20%Failed to score20%
  9. V-Varen Nagasaki at home v Mito Hollyhock away
  10. 7Played9
  11. 4Won5
  12. 3Drawn3
  13. 0Lost1
  14. 11-4Goals (for-against)13-7
  15. 2.14Points per game2
  16. 43%Over 2.544%
  17. 43%Clean sheets44%
  18. 1st half vs 2nd half scoring · 15 games each
  19. 9-71st-half goals (for-against)10-3
  20. 14-32nd-half goals (for-against)11-12
  21. 61%Goals after half-time52%
  22. 73%Goal before half-time73%
  23. 5-6-4Half-time W-D-L9-4-2

How we calculate this

Updated