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Holstein Kiel vs Paderborn Result, Stats, Lineups & H2H

FT · HT 1–02 – 0

Steven Skrzybski 18′Lasse Rosenboom 67′11th

4th

Player of the matchJonas KrumreyHKI · 92′ played · 13 recoveries · 4 saves · 22/37 passes

7.8
Possession
38%62%
Shots · on target in brackets
8 (3)16 (4)
Corners
111
Table · 23 v 33 pts
11th → 10th4th

2. BundesligaMatchday 18Holstein-StadionRef M. Bacher

Events

HKI 2–0 PAD · 3–4 yellow
  1. Full time 2–0
  2. Mattes HansenYellow card
  3. Kennedy OkpalaYellow card
  4. Aldin JakupovićYellow card
  5. Stefan Schwabfor Jonas Therkelsen
  6. Aldin Jakupovićfor Phil Harres
  7. Jonas MeffertYellow card
  8. Ruben Müllerfor Steffen Tigges
  9. Luis Engelnsfor Sebastian Klaas
  10. A. Kaprálikfor Steven Skrzybski
  11. Mattes Hansenfor Tjark Scheller
  12. Lasse Rosenboom2–0Goal · right foot
  13. Kennedy Okpalafor Nick Bätzner
  14. Filip Bilbijafor Sven Michel
  15. Lasse Rosenboomfor Niklas Niehoff
  16. Kasper Davidsenfor Umut Tohumcu
  17. Half-time 1–0
  18. David ZecYellow card
  19. Ralf KettemannYellow card · coach
  20. Mika BaurYellow card
  21. Steven Skrzybski1–0Goal · header · assist Phil Harres

Table after full time

2. Bundesliga 2025/2026
#TeamPW-D-LGoalsGDPtsBefore
1Schalke 041812-2-422:10+12381st
2Elversberg1810-4-433:18+15342nd
3Darmstadt 98189-7-232:20+12343rd
4Paderborn1810-3-528:20+8334th
5Kaiserslautern189-3-632:22+10307th ▲2
6Hannover 96188-5-531:25+6295th ▼1
8Nürnberg187-4-722:25-3258th
9Karlsruher SC187-4-727:33-6259th
10Holstein Kiel186-5-722:2202311th ▲1
11VfL Bochum 1848186-4-826:25+12210th ▼1
12Magdeburg186-2-1024:29-52012th
18SpVgg Greuther Fürth184-3-1126:46-201518th
Holstein Kiel
11th → 10th20 → 23 pts
Paderborn
4th33 → 33 pts

Order: points, goal difference, goals scored. “Before” is the position at kick-off. Full table

Form

last 10 matches of each side, all competitions, before kick-off
Holstein Kiel8d restPAD +2d rest10d restPaderborn
  1. 1-2L31 Oct
  2. 1-0W9 Nov
  3. 1-4L23 Nov
  4. 0-1L29 Nov
  5. 1-1D3 Dec
  6. 1-1D7 Dec
  7. 3-3D13 Dec
  8. 2-1W20 Dec
  9. 1-1D7 Jan
  10. 2-0W10 Jan

3-4-3goals 13:141.30pts/game

Bar: goals scored.
Score: own goals first.Pts/game: green ≥ 2.0 · blue ≥ 1.5 · amber ≥ 1.0 · red below

  1. 2-1W25 Oct
  2. 2-4L29 Oct
  3. 2-1W2 Nov
  4. 1-0W9 Nov
  5. 0-2L22 Nov
  6. 1-2L28 Nov
  7. 1-2L6 Dec
  8. 4-0W13 Dec
  9. 2-2D19 Dec
  10. 3-2W8 Jan

5-1-4goals 18:161.60pts/game

  1. AFerencvárosi2–0
  2. HServette1–1
  3. HDynamo Dresden2–1
  4. AMagdeburg3–3
  5. AEintracht Braunschweig1–1

latest 5

  1. HSporting Charleroi3–2
  2. HDarmstadt 982–2
  3. AKarlsruher SC4–0
  4. HElversberg1–2
  5. ASchalke 041–2
Show older matches
  1. AHamburger SV1–1
  2. HHertha BSC0–1
  3. AKaiserslautern1–4
  4. HFortuna Düsseldorf1–0
  5. APreußen Münster1–2

older

  1. HHannover 960–2
  2. AMagdeburg1–0
  3. HSpVgg Greuther Fürth2–1
  4. HBayer 04 Leverkusen2–4
  5. ADynamo Dresden2–1

Expected vs happened

as of kick-off

32%Model · draw 25%43%

Projected goals
1.27 – 1.51total 2.78 · from goals per game before kick-off
Most likely scores
1–1 11.9%0–1 9.3%1–2 9%
OutcomeModelHappened
Holstein Kiel win32%Yes
Draw25%No
Paderborn win43%No
Over 1.5 goals77%Yes
Over 2.5 goals53%No
Over 3.5 goals30%No
Both teams to score56%No
Holstein Kiel clean sheet22%Yes
Paderborn clean sheet28%No

Model: Poisson rates from goals scored and conceded per game (not expected goals). How we calculate this

What stands out

  • 10thfrom 11th

    Holstein Kiel moved from 11th to 10th in the 2. Bundesliga table with this result.20 → 23 points after 18 matches; order by points, goal difference, goals scored.

  • 1–0half-time

    The match stood at 1–0 at half-time before 1–0 after the break (2–0 full time).

Team stats

42 figures
  1. 38%Possession62%
  2. 8Shots16
  3. 3Shots on target4
  4. 2Big chances1
  5. 1Corners11
  6. 327Passes538
  7. 12Fouls18
  8. 3Yellow cards3
All 42 stats
  1. Attack
  2. 5Accurate crosses7
  3. 53Attacks134
  4. 0Big chances missed1
  5. 10Crosses27
  6. 18Dangerous attacks56
  7. 14Dribble attempts12
  8. 0Offsides4
  9. 38%Shot accuracy25%
  10. 2Shots blocked4
  11. 7Shots inside box8
  12. 3Shots off target8
  13. 1Shots outside box8
  14. 6Successful dribbles6
  15. Passing
  16. 12Accurate long passes39
  17. 261Accurate passes452
  18. 82%Forward passes %82%
  19. 6Key passes16
  20. 29%Long pass accuracy65%
  21. 41Long passes60
  22. 80%Pass accuracy84%
  23. 28Passes in final third67
  24. Defence
  25. 46Ball recoveries53
  26. 93Ball safe103
  27. 48Duels won53
  28. 9Goal kicks3
  29. 14Headers won20
  30. 11Interceptions15
  31. 4Saves1
  32. 12Tackles16
  33. Discipline
  34. 18Free kicks12
  35. Other
  36. 1Injuries0
  37. 114Possession lost143
  38. 5Substitutions5
  39. 15Throw-ins27

Top ratings

XI avg 7.14 v 6.96
  1. Jonas KrumreyHKI7.8
  2. MBMika BaurPAD7.7
  3. Steven SkrzybskiHKI7.3
  4. CBCalvin BrackelmannPAD7.3
  5. NNNiklas NiehoffHKI7.3

Player leaders

this match

Big chances created

  1. Phil HarresHKI1
  2. Raphael ObermairPAD1
  3. Filip BilbijaPAD1

Passes

  1. Mika BaurPAD69/76
  2. Jonas MeffertHKI60/62
  3. Felix GötzePAD59/69

Progressive passes

  1. Mika BaurPAD60 (79%)
  2. Calvin BrackelmannPAD60 (95%)
  3. Tjark SchellerPAD60 (95%)

Final-third passes

  1. Mika BaurPAD13
  2. Calvin BrackelmannPAD13
  3. Felix GötzePAD6

Ball recoveries

  1. Jonas KrumreyHKI13
  2. Mika BaurPAD7
  3. Laurin CurdaPAD7

Duels won

  1. Felix GötzePAD10/20
  2. Sven MichelPAD9/9
  3. Umut TohumcuHKI7/12

Dribbles

  1. Jonas TherkelsenHKI2/3
  2. Ivan NekicHKI1/1
  3. Marko IvezicHKI1/2

Clearances

  1. Ivan NekicHKI7
  2. David ZecHKI7
  3. Marko IvezicHKI7

Head-to-head

9 meetings on record since 2016

4-3-2Holstein Kiel W-D-L · goals 21:15

4 HKI3 draws2 PAD
With Holstein Kiel at home
2-1-1 (8:7)
Goals per meeting
4
Over 2.5 goals
78%
Both teams scored
89%
Won by the host
33%
Last 5 (Holstein Kiel)
2W 1D 2L · 3.8 goals/game
  1. Paderborn2–1Holstein Kiel2. Bundesliga
  2. Paderborn0–4Holstein Kiel2. Bundesliga
  3. Holstein Kiel2–1Paderborn2. Bundesliga
  4. Holstein Kiel1–1Paderborn2. Bundesliga
  5. Holstein Kiel3–4Paderborn2. Bundesliga
Show all 9 meetings
  1. Paderborn1–1Holstein Kiel2. Bundesliga
  2. Paderborn4–4Holstein Kiel2. Bundesliga
  3. Holstein Kiel2–1Paderborn3. Liga
  4. Paderborn1–3Holstein Kiel3. Liga

Referee

M. Bacher
Cards / match
5.52this match 6 (+0.48)
Yellows / match
5.29this match 6
Reds / match
0.23
Penalties / match
0.2827% of matches
Fouls / match
24.8this match 30

2.65Home 2.65 vs Away 2.65 yellows/match · 7–12 red2.65

33%Results in 82 recent matches · draw 29%38%

home winsaway wins
With Holstein Kiel
3-0-0 in 3 · 3.33 yellows/game
With Paderborn
1-5-0 in 6 · 2.67 yellows/game

Analysed latest 82 of 90 career matches.

Match info

Competition
2. Bundesliga
Season
2025/2026 · Matchday 18 of 34
Kick-off
Venue
Holstein-Stadion, Kiel
Capacity
15,034 · grass
Weather
4 °C · broken clouds · humidity 81%
Referee
M. Bacher
HKI coach
Marcel Rapp (1.36 PPG)
PAD coach
Ralf Kettemann

Match summary

Holstein Kiel beat Paderborn 2-0 in the 2. Bundesliga, Regular Season.

Before kickoff, Holstein Kiel sat 11th on 20 points, while Paderborn were 4th on 33 points. Before kickoff, Paderborn were 4th in the table but 15th on points from the last five league games. Across 9 previous meetings on record, Holstein Kiel won 4 and Paderborn won 2, with 3 draws (4 goals per game).

Referee M. Bacher has shown 5.3 yellow cards per match over 82 matches on record. Holstein Kiel won with 38% of the possession. Steven Skrzybski (18') and Lasse Rosenboom (67') scored the goals for Holstein Kiel.

Holstein Kiel — live results and schedulePaderborn — live results and scheduleHow we calculate this

Lineups

Starting XIs · ratings at full time
Holstein Kiel3-1-4-27.14 avg rating 6.963-4-2-1Paderborn
  1. 217.8Jonas Krumrey92′
  1. 137.2Ivan Nekic92′
  2. 267.2David ZecYC 92′
  3. 67.2Marko Ivezic92′
  1. 286.7Jonas MeffertYC 92′
  1. 297.3Niklas Niehoff↓61′
  2. 86.7Umut Tohumcu↓61′
  3. 107.1Jonas Therkelsen↓85′
  4. 477.1John Tolkin92′
  1. 77.3Steven SkrzybskiG ↓75′
  2. 197.2Phil HarresA ↓85′
  1. 416.6Dennis Seimen92′
  1. 47.3Calvin Brackelmann92′
  2. 256.6Tjark Scheller↓68′
  3. 206.9Felix Götze92′
  1. 237.1Raphael Obermair92′
  2. 266.7Sebastian Klaas↓81′
  3. 147.7Mika BaurYC 92′
  4. 177.1Laurin Curda92′
  1. 96.8Nick Bätzner↓62′
  2. 117.0Sven Michel↓62′
  1. 276.9Steffen Tigges↓81′
  1. 15Kasper DavidsenMF · ↑61′6.4
  2. 18Aldin JakupovićFW · YC ↑85′6.4
  3. 20A. KaprálikFW · ↑75′6.4
  4. 22Stefan SchwabMF · ↑85′6.6
  5. 23Lasse RosenboomDF · G ↑61′7.3
  6. 1Timon WeinerGK
  7. 2Frederik RoslyngDF
  8. 3Marco KomendaDF
  9. 25Marcus MüllerFW

SubstitutesCoaches: Marcel Rapp (1.36 PPG) · Ralf KettemannG goal · A assist · YC yellow · RC red · ↑ on · ↓ off

  1. 2Ruben MüllerMF · ↑81′6.8
  2. 6Luis EngelnsMF · ↑81′6.4
  3. 7Filip BilbijaMF · ↑62′6.7
  4. 10Kennedy OkpalaFW · YC ↑62′6.5
  5. 22Mattes HansenMF · YC ↑68′6.7
  6. 1Markus SchubertGK
  7. 3Jonah StickerDF
  8. 5Santiago CastañedaMF
  9. 28Lucas CopadoFW

Season comparison

as the teams came into the match
Holstein Kielall competitionsPaderborn
  1. Goal markets & scoring rates · 15 games each
  2. 2.33Goals per game (both sides)3.27
  3. 73%Over 1.587%
  4. 27%Over 2.567%
  5. 13%Over 3.533%
  6. 67%Both teams scored60%
  7. 20%Clean sheets33%
  8. 13%Failed to score7%
  9. Holstein Kiel at home v Paderborn away
  10. 6Played6
  11. 2Won5
  12. 3Drawn0
  13. 1Lost1
  14. 6-5Goals (for-against)12-4
  15. 1.5Points per game2.5
  16. 17%Over 2.567%
  17. 17%Clean sheets50%
  18. 1st half vs 2nd half scoring · 15 games each
  19. 8-91st-half goals (for-against)8-10
  20. 9-92nd-half goals (for-against)21-10
  21. 53%Goals after half-time72%
  22. 60%Goal before half-time73%
  23. 4-8-3Half-time W-D-L4-7-4

How we calculate this

Matchday 18

2. Bundesliga · the other 8 games
  1. Magdeburg1–6Eintracht Braunschweig
  2. Fortuna Düsseldorf1–0DSC Arminia Bielefeld
  3. Nürnberg3–2Elversberg
  4. Preußen Münster1–2Karlsruher SC
  5. Dynamo Dresden3–0SpVgg Greuther Fürth
  6. Hertha BSC0–0Schalke 04
  7. Hannover 960–2Kaiserslautern
  8. VfL Bochum 18483–3Darmstadt 98
2. Bundesliga fixtures and results →

Updated