Holstein Kiel vs Paderborn Result, Stats, Lineups & H2H
FT · HT 1–02 – 0
Steven Skrzybski 18′Lasse Rosenboom 67′11th
4th
Player of the matchJonas KrumreyHKI · 92′ played · 13 recoveries · 4 saves · 22/37 passes
7.8- Possession
- 38%62%
- Shots · on target in brackets
- 8 (3)16 (4)
- Corners
- 111
- Table · 23 v 33 pts
- 11th → 10th4th
2. BundesligaMatchday 18Holstein-StadionRef M. Bacher
This meeting
Events
HKI 2–0 PAD · 3–4 yellow- Full time 2–0
- Mattes HansenYellow card
- Kennedy OkpalaYellow card
- Aldin JakupovićYellow card
- Stefan Schwabfor Jonas Therkelsen
- Aldin Jakupovićfor Phil Harres
- Jonas MeffertYellow card
- Ruben Müllerfor Steffen Tigges
- Luis Engelnsfor Sebastian Klaas
- A. Kaprálikfor Steven Skrzybski
- Mattes Hansenfor Tjark Scheller
- Lasse Rosenboom2–0Goal · right foot
- Kennedy Okpalafor Nick Bätzner
- Filip Bilbijafor Sven Michel
- Lasse Rosenboomfor Niklas Niehoff
- Kasper Davidsenfor Umut Tohumcu
- Half-time 1–0
- David ZecYellow card
- Ralf KettemannYellow card · coach
- Mika BaurYellow card
- Steven Skrzybski1–0Goal · header · assist Phil Harres
Table after full time
2. Bundesliga 2025/2026| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | GD | Pts | Before |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 18 | 12-2-4 | 22:10 | +12 | 38 | 1st | |
| 2 | 18 | 10-4-4 | 33:18 | +15 | 34 | 2nd | |
| 3 | 18 | 9-7-2 | 32:20 | +12 | 34 | 3rd | |
| 4 | 18 | 10-3-5 | 28:20 | +8 | 33 | 4th | |
| 5 | 18 | 9-3-6 | 32:22 | +10 | 30 | 7th ▲2 | |
| 6 | 18 | 8-5-5 | 31:25 | +6 | 29 | 5th ▼1 | |
| 8 | 18 | 7-4-7 | 22:25 | -3 | 25 | 8th | |
| 9 | 18 | 7-4-7 | 27:33 | -6 | 25 | 9th | |
| 10 | 18 | 6-5-7 | 22:22 | 0 | 23 | 11th ▲1 | |
| 11 | 18 | 6-4-8 | 26:25 | +1 | 22 | 10th ▼1 | |
| 12 | 18 | 6-2-10 | 24:29 | -5 | 20 | 12th | |
| 18 | 18 | 4-3-11 | 26:46 | -20 | 15 | 18th |
- Holstein Kiel
- 11th → 10th20 → 23 pts
- Paderborn
- 4th33 → 33 pts
Order: points, goal difference, goals scored. “Before” is the position at kick-off. Full table
Form
last 10 matches of each side, all competitions, before kick-off- 1-2L31 Oct
- 1-0W9 Nov
- 1-4L23 Nov
- 0-1L29 Nov
- 1-1D3 Dec
- 1-1D7 Dec
- 3-3D13 Dec
- 2-1W20 Dec
- 1-1D7 Jan
- 2-0W10 Jan
3-4-3goals 13:141.30pts/game
Bar: goals scored.
Score: own goals first.Pts/game: green ≥ 2.0 · blue ≥ 1.5 · amber ≥ 1.0 · red below
- 2-1W25 Oct
- 2-4L29 Oct
- 2-1W2 Nov
- 1-0W9 Nov
- 0-2L22 Nov
- 1-2L28 Nov
- 1-2L6 Dec
- 4-0W13 Dec
- 2-2D19 Dec
- 3-2W8 Jan
5-1-4goals 18:161.60pts/game
- A
Ferencvárosi2–0 - H
Servette1–1 - H
Dynamo Dresden2–1 - A
Magdeburg3–3 - A
Eintracht Braunschweig1–1
latest 5
- H
Sporting Charleroi3–2 - H
Darmstadt 982–2 - A
Karlsruher SC4–0 - H
Elversberg1–2 - A
Schalke 041–2
Expected vs happened
as of kick-off32%Model · draw 25%43%
- Projected goals
- 1.27 – 1.51total 2.78 · from goals per game before kick-off
- Most likely scores
- 1–1 11.9%0–1 9.3%1–2 9%
| Outcome | Model | Happened |
|---|---|---|
| Holstein Kiel win | 32% | Yes |
| Draw | 25% | No |
| Paderborn win | 43% | No |
| Over 1.5 goals | 77% | Yes |
| Over 2.5 goals | 53% | No |
| Over 3.5 goals | 30% | No |
| Both teams to score | 56% | No |
| Holstein Kiel clean sheet | 22% | Yes |
| Paderborn clean sheet | 28% | No |
Model: Poisson rates from goals scored and conceded per game (not expected goals). How we calculate this
What stands out
- 10thfrom 11th
Holstein Kiel moved from 11th to 10th in the 2. Bundesliga table with this result.20 → 23 points after 18 matches; order by points, goal difference, goals scored.
- 1–0half-time
The match stood at 1–0 at half-time before 1–0 after the break (2–0 full time).
Team stats
42 figures- 38%Possession62%
- 8Shots16
- 3Shots on target4
- 2Big chances1
- 1Corners11
- 327Passes538
- 12Fouls18
- 3Yellow cards3
All 42 stats
- Attack
- 5Accurate crosses7
- 53Attacks134
- 0Big chances missed1
- 10Crosses27
- 18Dangerous attacks56
- 14Dribble attempts12
- 0Offsides4
- 38%Shot accuracy25%
- 2Shots blocked4
- 7Shots inside box8
- 3Shots off target8
- 1Shots outside box8
- 6Successful dribbles6
- Passing
- 12Accurate long passes39
- 261Accurate passes452
- 82%Forward passes %82%
- 6Key passes16
- 29%Long pass accuracy65%
- 41Long passes60
- 80%Pass accuracy84%
- 28Passes in final third67
- Defence
- 46Ball recoveries53
- 93Ball safe103
- 48Duels won53
- 9Goal kicks3
- 14Headers won20
- 11Interceptions15
- 4Saves1
- 12Tackles16
- Discipline
- 18Free kicks12
- Other
- 1Injuries0
- 114Possession lost143
- 5Substitutions5
- 15Throw-ins27
Top ratings
XI avg 7.14 v 6.96
Jonas KrumreyHKI7.8- MBMika BaurPAD7.7
Steven SkrzybskiHKI7.3- CBCalvin BrackelmannPAD7.3
- NNNiklas NiehoffHKI7.3
Player leaders
this matchShots
- Niklas NiehoffHKI2 (1)
- Calvin BrackelmannPAD2 (1)
- Raphael ObermairPAD2
Big chances created
- Phil HarresHKI1
- Raphael ObermairPAD1
- Filip BilbijaPAD1
Passes
- Mika BaurPAD69/76
- Jonas MeffertHKI60/62
- Felix GötzePAD59/69
Progressive passes
- Mika BaurPAD60 (79%)
- Calvin BrackelmannPAD60 (95%)
- Tjark SchellerPAD60 (95%)
Final-third passes
- Mika BaurPAD13
- Calvin BrackelmannPAD13
- Felix GötzePAD6
Key passes
- John TolkinHKI3
- Raphael ObermairPAD3
- Laurin CurdaPAD3
Ball recoveries
- Jonas KrumreyHKI13
- Mika BaurPAD7
- Laurin CurdaPAD7
Duels won
- Felix GötzePAD10/20
- Sven MichelPAD9/9
- Umut TohumcuHKI7/12
Dribbles
- Jonas TherkelsenHKI2/3
- Ivan NekicHKI1/1
- Marko IvezicHKI1/2
Tackles
- Marko IvezicHKI4
- Sven MichelPAD3
- Felix GötzePAD3
Clearances
- Ivan NekicHKI7
- David ZecHKI7
- Marko IvezicHKI7
Saves
- Jonas KrumreyHKI4
- Dennis SeimenPAD1
Head-to-head
9 meetings on record since 20164-3-2Holstein Kiel W-D-L · goals 21:15
4 HKI3 draws2 PAD- With Holstein Kiel at home
- 2-1-1 (8:7)
- Goals per meeting
- 4
- Over 2.5 goals
- 78%
- Both teams scored
- 89%
- Won by the host
- 33%
- Last 5 (Holstein Kiel)
- 2W 1D 2L · 3.8 goals/game
- Paderborn2–1Holstein Kiel2. Bundesliga
- Paderborn0–4Holstein Kiel2. Bundesliga
- Holstein Kiel2–1Paderborn2. Bundesliga
- Holstein Kiel1–1Paderborn2. Bundesliga
- Holstein Kiel3–4Paderborn2. Bundesliga
Show all 9 meetings
- Paderborn1–1Holstein Kiel2. Bundesliga
- Paderborn4–4Holstein Kiel2. Bundesliga
- Holstein Kiel2–1Paderborn3. Liga
- Paderborn1–3Holstein Kiel3. Liga
Referee
M. Bacher- Cards / match
- 5.52this match 6 (+0.48)
- Yellows / match
- 5.29this match 6
- Reds / match
- 0.23
- Penalties / match
- 0.2827% of matches
- Fouls / match
- 24.8this match 30
2.65Home 2.65 vs Away 2.65 yellows/match · 7–12 red2.65
33%Results in 82 recent matches · draw 29%38%
home winsaway wins- With Holstein Kiel
- 3-0-0 in 3 · 3.33 yellows/game
- With Paderborn
- 1-5-0 in 6 · 2.67 yellows/game
Analysed latest 82 of 90 career matches.
Match info
- Competition
- 2. Bundesliga
- Season
- 2025/2026 · Matchday 18 of 34
- Kick-off
- Venue
- Holstein-Stadion, Kiel
- Capacity
- 15,034 · grass
- Weather
- 4 °C · broken clouds · humidity 81%
- Referee
- M. Bacher
- HKI coach
- Marcel Rapp (1.36 PPG)
- PAD coach
- Ralf Kettemann
Match summary
Holstein Kiel beat Paderborn 2-0 in the 2. Bundesliga, Regular Season.
Before kickoff, Holstein Kiel sat 11th on 20 points, while Paderborn were 4th on 33 points. Before kickoff, Paderborn were 4th in the table but 15th on points from the last five league games. Across 9 previous meetings on record, Holstein Kiel won 4 and Paderborn won 2, with 3 draws (4 goals per game).
Referee M. Bacher has shown 5.3 yellow cards per match over 82 matches on record. Holstein Kiel won with 38% of the possession. Steven Skrzybski (18') and Lasse Rosenboom (67') scored the goals for Holstein Kiel.
Holstein Kiel — live results and schedulePaderborn — live results and scheduleHow we calculate this
Lineups
Starting XIs · ratings at full time- 217.8Jonas Krumrey92′
- 137.2Ivan Nekic92′
- 267.2David ZecYC 92′
- 67.2Marko Ivezic92′
- 286.7Jonas MeffertYC 92′
- 297.3Niklas Niehoff↓61′
- 86.7Umut Tohumcu↓61′
- 107.1Jonas Therkelsen↓85′
- 477.1John Tolkin92′
- 77.3Steven SkrzybskiG ↓75′
- 197.2Phil HarresA ↓85′
- 416.6Dennis Seimen92′
- 47.3Calvin Brackelmann92′
- 256.6Tjark Scheller↓68′
- 206.9Felix Götze92′
- 237.1Raphael Obermair92′
- 266.7Sebastian Klaas↓81′
- 147.7Mika BaurYC 92′
- 177.1Laurin Curda92′
- 96.8Nick Bätzner↓62′
- 117.0Sven Michel↓62′
- 276.9Steffen Tigges↓81′
- 15Kasper DavidsenMF · ↑61′6.4
- 18Aldin JakupovićFW · YC ↑85′6.4
- 20A. KaprálikFW · ↑75′6.4
- 22Stefan SchwabMF · ↑85′6.6
- 23Lasse RosenboomDF · G ↑61′7.3
- 1Timon WeinerGK
- 2Frederik RoslyngDF
- 3Marco KomendaDF
- 25Marcus MüllerFW
SubstitutesCoaches: Marcel Rapp (1.36 PPG) · Ralf KettemannG goal · A assist · YC yellow · RC red · ↑ on · ↓ off
- 2Ruben MüllerMF · ↑81′6.8
- 6Luis EngelnsMF · ↑81′6.4
- 7Filip BilbijaMF · ↑62′6.7
- 10Kennedy OkpalaFW · YC ↑62′6.5
- 22Mattes HansenMF · YC ↑68′6.7
- 1Markus SchubertGK
- 3Jonah StickerDF
- 5Santiago CastañedaMF
- 28Lucas CopadoFW
Season comparison
as the teams came into the match- Goal markets & scoring rates · 15 games each
- 2.33Goals per game (both sides)3.27
- 73%Over 1.587%
- 27%Over 2.567%
- 13%Over 3.533%
- 67%Both teams scored60%
- 20%Clean sheets33%
- 13%Failed to score7%
- Holstein Kiel at home v Paderborn away
- 6Played6
- 2Won5
- 3Drawn0
- 1Lost1
- 6-5Goals (for-against)12-4
- 1.5Points per game2.5
- 17%Over 2.567%
- 17%Clean sheets50%
- 1st half vs 2nd half scoring · 15 games each
- 8-91st-half goals (for-against)8-10
- 9-92nd-half goals (for-against)21-10
- 53%Goals after half-time72%
- 60%Goal before half-time73%
- 4-8-3Half-time W-D-L4-7-4
Matchday 18
2. Bundesliga · the other 8 games- Magdeburg
1–6
Eintracht Braunschweig - Fortuna Düsseldorf
1–0
DSC Arminia Bielefeld - Nürnberg
3–2
Elversberg - Preußen Münster
1–2
Karlsruher SC - Dynamo Dresden
3–0
SpVgg Greuther Fürth - Hertha BSC
0–0
Schalke 04 - Hannover 96
0–2
Kaiserslautern - VfL Bochum 1848
3–3
Darmstadt 98
Updated