- Possession
- 44%56%
- Shots · on target in brackets
- 2 (1)13 (7)
- Corners
- 45
- Table · 40 v 57 pts
- 10th → 7th1st
Premier LeagueNyayo National Stadium
This meeting
Events
TUS 1–0 GOR- Full time 1–0
- Half-time 1–0
- Joshua Ibrahim Mwakasaba1–0Goal
Table after full time
Premier League 2025/2026| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | GD | Pts | Before |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 27 | 17-6-4 | 44:19 | +25 | 57 | 1st | |
| 2 | 27 | 16-7-4 | 36:18 | +18 | 55 | 2nd | |
| 3 | 27 | 12-10-5 | 42:28 | +14 | 46 | 3rd | |
| 5 | 27 | 12-7-8 | 31:30 | +1 | 43 | 5th | |
| 6 | 27 | 11-7-9 | 27:27 | 0 | 40 | 6th | |
| 7 | 27 | 12-4-11 | 24:26 | -2 | 40 | 10th ▲3 | |
| 8 | 25 | 10-8-7 | 33:25 | +8 | 38 | 7th ▼1 | |
| 9 | 27 | 8-14-5 | 21:18 | +3 | 38 | 8th ▼1 | |
| 18 | 27 | 3-7-17 | 15:36 | -21 | 16 | 18th |
- Tusker
- 10th → 7th37 → 40 pts
- Gor Mahia
- 1st57 → 57 pts
Order: points, goal difference, goals scored. “Before” is the position at kick-off. Full table
Season comparison
as the teams came into the match- Goal markets & scoring rates · 15 games each
- 2Goals per game (both sides)2.67
- 53%Over 1.580%
- 33%Over 2.567%
- 13%Over 3.520%
- 33%Both teams scored60%
- 33%Clean sheets40%
- 33%Failed to score13%
- Tusker at home v Gor Mahia away
- 7Played7
- 3Won4
- 1Drawn3
- 3Lost0
- 6-8Goals (for-against)13-6
- 1.43Points per game2.14
- 29%Over 2.557%
- 43%Clean sheets14%
- 1st half vs 2nd half scoring · 15 games each
- 8-71st-half goals (for-against)15-5
- 6-92nd-half goals (for-against)15-5
- 43%Goals after half-time50%
- 67%Goal before half-time80%
- 5-6-4Half-time W-D-L8-4-3
What stands out
- 7thfrom 10th
Tusker moved from 10th to 7th in the Premier League table with this result.37 → 40 points after 27 matches; order by points, goal difference, goals scored.
- 1–0half-time
The match stood at 1–0 at half-time before a goalless second half (1–0 full time).
Head-to-head
8 meetings on record since 20131-3-4Tusker W-D-L · goals 2:5
1 TUS3 draws4 GOR- With Tusker at home
- 1-1-1 (2:2)
- Goals per meeting
- 0.88
- Over 2.5 goals
- 13%
- Both teams scored
- 13%
- Won by the host
- 50%
- Last 5 (Tusker)
- 1W 1D 3L · 1.2 goals/game
- Gor Mahia1–0TuskerPremier League
- Gor Mahia0–0TuskerPremier League
- Tusker2–1Gor MahiaPremier League
- Gor Mahia1–0TuskerPremier League
- Tusker0–1Gor MahiaPremier League
Show all 8 meetings
- Gor Mahia1–0TuskerPremier League
- Gor Mahia0–0TuskerPremier League
- Tusker0–0Gor MahiaPremier League
- Gor MahianextTuskerPremier League
- TuskernextGor MahiaPremier League
Expected vs happened
as of kick-off24%Model · draw 30%46%
- Projected goals
- 0.76 – 1.17total 1.93 · from goals per game before kick-off
- Most likely scores
- 0–1 17.1%0–0 14.6%1–1 12.9%
| Outcome | Model | Happened |
|---|---|---|
| Tusker win | 24% | Yes |
| Draw | 30% | No |
| Gor Mahia win | 46% | No |
| Over 1.5 goals | 57% | No |
| Over 2.5 goals | 30% | No |
| Over 3.5 goals | 13% | No |
| Both teams to score | 37% | No |
| Tusker clean sheet | 31% | Yes |
| Gor Mahia clean sheet | 47% | No |
Model: Poisson rates from goals scored and conceded per game (not expected goals). How we calculate this
Match info
- Competition
- Premier League
- Season
- 2025/2026
- Kick-off
- Venue
- Nyayo National Stadium, Nairobi
- Capacity
- 60,000 · grass
- Weather
- 18 °C · scattered clouds · humidity 42%
- GOR coach
- Charles Akonnor (1.93 PPG)
Match summary
Tusker beat Gor Mahia 1-0 in the Premier League (Kenya).
Before kickoff, Gor Mahia (1st, 57 pts) were 20 points ahead of Tusker (10th, 37 pts). Before kickoff, Tusker were 10th in the table but 4th on points from the last five league games. Gor Mahia had gone 15 matches unbeaten before this one. Across 8 previous meetings on record, Tusker won 1 and Gor Mahia won 4, with 3 draws (0.88 goals per game). Only 13% of their 8 previous meetings had three or more goals.
Joshua Ibrahim Mwakasaba (15') scored for Tusker.
Tusker — live results and scheduleGor Mahia — live results and scheduleHow we calculate this
Team stats
12 figures- 44%Possession56%
- 2Shots13
- 1Shots on target7
- 4Corners5
- 1Yellow cards3
All 12 stats
- Attack
- 86Attacks97
- 70Dangerous attacks120
- 50%Shot accuracy54%
- 1Shots off target6
- Defence
- 106Ball safe111
- Other
- 3Injuries2
- 4Substitutions4
Form
last 10 matches of each side, all competitions, before kick-off- 1-2L17 Jan
- 2-1W25 Jan
- 1-1D31 Jan
- 1-3L14 Feb
- 0-1L21 Feb
- 1-0W25 Feb
- 2-1W2 Mar
- 2-0W15 Mar
- 0-1L22 Mar
- 0-1L3 Apr
4-1-5goals 10:111.30pts/game
Bar: goals scored.
Score: own goals first.Pts/game: green ≥ 2.0 · blue ≥ 1.5 · amber ≥ 1.0 · red below
- 3-0W18 Jan
- 2-1W24 Jan
- 3-0W31 Jan
- 2-1W15 Feb
- 3-0W22 Feb
- 2-1W28 Feb
- 1-1D5 Mar
- 3-1W15 Mar
- 2-1W21 Mar
- 0-0D4 Apr
8-2-0goals 21:62.60pts/game
latest 5
Updated