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Tusker vs Gor Mahia Result, Stats & H2H

FT · HT 1–01 – 0

Joshua Ibrahim Mwakasaba 15′10th

1st

Possession
44%56%
Shots · on target in brackets
2 (1)13 (7)
Corners
45
Table · 40 v 57 pts
10th → 7th1st

Premier LeagueNyayo National Stadium

Events

TUS 1–0 GOR
  1. Full time 1–0
  2. Half-time 1–0
  3. Joshua Ibrahim Mwakasaba1–0Goal

Table after full time

Premier League 2025/2026
#TeamPW-D-LGoalsGDPtsBefore
1Gor Mahia2717-6-444:19+25571st
2Leopards2716-7-436:18+18552nd
3Homeboyz2712-10-542:28+14463rd
5Shabana2712-7-831:30+1435th
6KCB2711-7-927:270406th
7Tusker2712-4-1124:26-24010th ▲3
8Nairobi United2510-8-733:25+8387th ▼1
9Bandari278-14-521:18+3388th ▼1
18Sofapaka273-7-1715:36-211618th
Tusker
10th → 7th37 → 40 pts
Gor Mahia
1st57 → 57 pts

Order: points, goal difference, goals scored. “Before” is the position at kick-off. Full table

Season comparison

as the teams came into the match
Tuskerall competitionsGor Mahia
  1. Goal markets & scoring rates · 15 games each
  2. 2Goals per game (both sides)2.67
  3. 53%Over 1.580%
  4. 33%Over 2.567%
  5. 13%Over 3.520%
  6. 33%Both teams scored60%
  7. 33%Clean sheets40%
  8. 33%Failed to score13%
  9. Tusker at home v Gor Mahia away
  10. 7Played7
  11. 3Won4
  12. 1Drawn3
  13. 3Lost0
  14. 6-8Goals (for-against)13-6
  15. 1.43Points per game2.14
  16. 29%Over 2.557%
  17. 43%Clean sheets14%
  18. 1st half vs 2nd half scoring · 15 games each
  19. 8-71st-half goals (for-against)15-5
  20. 6-92nd-half goals (for-against)15-5
  21. 43%Goals after half-time50%
  22. 67%Goal before half-time80%
  23. 5-6-4Half-time W-D-L8-4-3

How we calculate this

What stands out

  • 7thfrom 10th

    Tusker moved from 10th to 7th in the Premier League table with this result.37 → 40 points after 27 matches; order by points, goal difference, goals scored.

  • 1–0half-time

    The match stood at 1–0 at half-time before a goalless second half (1–0 full time).

Head-to-head

8 meetings on record since 2013

1-3-4Tusker W-D-L · goals 2:5

1 TUS3 draws4 GOR
With Tusker at home
1-1-1 (2:2)
Goals per meeting
0.88
Over 2.5 goals
13%
Both teams scored
13%
Won by the host
50%
Last 5 (Tusker)
1W 1D 3L · 1.2 goals/game
  1. Gor Mahia1–0TuskerPremier League
  2. Gor Mahia0–0TuskerPremier League
  3. Tusker2–1Gor MahiaPremier League
  4. Gor Mahia1–0TuskerPremier League
  5. Tusker0–1Gor MahiaPremier League
Show all 8 meetings
  1. Gor Mahia1–0TuskerPremier League
  2. Gor Mahia0–0TuskerPremier League
  3. Tusker0–0Gor MahiaPremier League
  1. Gor MahianextTuskerPremier League
  2. TuskernextGor MahiaPremier League

Expected vs happened

as of kick-off

24%Model · draw 30%46%

Projected goals
0.76 – 1.17total 1.93 · from goals per game before kick-off
Most likely scores
0–1 17.1%0–0 14.6%1–1 12.9%
OutcomeModelHappened
Tusker win24%Yes
Draw30%No
Gor Mahia win46%No
Over 1.5 goals57%No
Over 2.5 goals30%No
Over 3.5 goals13%No
Both teams to score37%No
Tusker clean sheet31%Yes
Gor Mahia clean sheet47%No

Model: Poisson rates from goals scored and conceded per game (not expected goals). How we calculate this

Match info

Competition
Premier League
Season
2025/2026
Kick-off
Venue
Nyayo National Stadium, Nairobi
Capacity
60,000 · grass
Weather
18 °C · scattered clouds · humidity 42%
GOR coach
Charles Akonnor (1.93 PPG)

Match summary

Tusker beat Gor Mahia 1-0 in the Premier League (Kenya).

Before kickoff, Gor Mahia (1st, 57 pts) were 20 points ahead of Tusker (10th, 37 pts). Before kickoff, Tusker were 10th in the table but 4th on points from the last five league games. Gor Mahia had gone 15 matches unbeaten before this one. Across 8 previous meetings on record, Tusker won 1 and Gor Mahia won 4, with 3 draws (0.88 goals per game). Only 13% of their 8 previous meetings had three or more goals.

Joshua Ibrahim Mwakasaba (15') scored for Tusker.

Tusker — live results and scheduleGor Mahia — live results and scheduleHow we calculate this

Team stats

12 figures
  1. 44%Possession56%
  2. 2Shots13
  3. 1Shots on target7
  4. 4Corners5
  5. 1Yellow cards3
All 12 stats
  1. Attack
  2. 86Attacks97
  3. 70Dangerous attacks120
  4. 50%Shot accuracy54%
  5. 1Shots off target6
  6. Defence
  7. 106Ball safe111
  8. Other
  9. 3Injuries2
  10. 4Substitutions4

Form

last 10 matches of each side, all competitions, before kick-off
Tusker11d restTUS +1d rest10d restGor Mahia
  1. 1-2L17 Jan
  2. 2-1W25 Jan
  3. 1-1D31 Jan
  4. 1-3L14 Feb
  5. 0-1L21 Feb
  6. 1-0W25 Feb
  7. 2-1W2 Mar
  8. 2-0W15 Mar
  9. 0-1L22 Mar
  10. 0-1L3 Apr

4-1-5goals 10:111.30pts/game

Bar: goals scored.
Score: own goals first.Pts/game: green ≥ 2.0 · blue ≥ 1.5 · amber ≥ 1.0 · red below

  1. 3-0W18 Jan
  2. 2-1W24 Jan
  3. 3-0W31 Jan
  4. 2-1W15 Feb
  5. 3-0W22 Feb
  6. 2-1W28 Feb
  7. 1-1D5 Mar
  8. 3-1W15 Mar
  9. 2-1W21 Mar
  10. 0-0D4 Apr

8-2-0goals 21:62.60pts/game

  1. APolice0–1
  2. ALeopards0–1
  3. HHomeboyz2–0
  4. AKariobangi Sharks2–1
  5. HMurang'a SEAL1–0

latest 5

  1. HKariobangi Sharks0–0
  2. HShabana2–1
  3. AUlinzi Stars3–1
  4. APosta Rangers1–1
  5. HMathare United2–1
Show older matches
  1. AShabana0–1
  2. AMathare United1–3
  3. HPosta Rangers1–1
  4. AKCB2–1
  5. HBandari1–2

older

  1. HKCB3–0
  2. AAPS Bomet2–1
  3. HSofapaka3–0
  4. ABidco United2–1
  5. HMara Sugar3–0

Updated