- Possession
- 50%50%
- Shots · on target in brackets
- 12 (4)8 (2)
- Corners
- 35
- Table · 31 v 33 pts
- 10th → 8th5th
Premier LeagueMatchday 21Afraha Stadium
This meeting
Events
TUS 1–0 MUR- Full time 1–0
- Half-time 1–0
- Tusker1–0Goal
Table after full time
Premier League 2025/2026| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | GD | Pts | Before |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Gor Mahia | 21 | 14-4-3 | 36:14 | +22 | 46 | 1st |
| 3 |  Shabana | 21 | 10-7-4 | 26:18 | +8 | 37 | 3rd |
| 4 |  Homeboyz | 20 | 9-7-4 | 31:21 | +10 | 34 | 4th |
| 5 |  Murang'a SEAL | 22 | 9-6-7 | 30:26 | +4 | 33 | 5th |
| 6 |  Bandari | 21 | 7-10-4 | 18:14 | +4 | 31 | 6th |
| 7 |  Police | 21 | 7-10-4 | 16:14 | +2 | 31 | 7th |
| 8 |  Tusker | 22 | 9-4-9 | 19:23 | -4 | 31 | 10th ▲2 |
| 9 |  KCB | 21 | 8-5-8 | 21:23 | -2 | 29 | 8th ▼1 |
| 10 |  Nairobi United | 17 | 8-4-5 | 23:17 | +6 | 28 | 9th ▼1 |
| 18 |  Sofapaka | 21 | 3-5-13 | 14:28 | -14 | 14 | 18th |
- Tusker
- 10th → 8th28 → 31 pts
- Murang'a SEAL
- 5th33 → 33 pts
Order: points, goal difference, goals scored. “Before” is the position at kick-off. Full table
Season comparison
as the teams came into the matchTuskerall competitionsMurang'a SEAL- Goal markets & scoring rates · 15 games each
- 2Goals per game (both sides)2.67
- 53%Over 1.580%
- 33%Over 2.553%
- 13%Over 3.527%
- 40%Both teams scored73%
- 33%Clean sheets27%
- 27%Failed to score13%
- Tusker at home v Murang'a SEAL away
- 6Played8
- 1Won4
- 1Drawn3
- 4Lost1
- 4-10Goals (for-against)14-9
- 0.67Points per game1.88
- 50%Over 2.550%
- 17%Clean sheets25%
- 1st half vs 2nd half scoring · 15 games each
- 6-91st-half goals (for-against)13-8
- 7-82nd-half goals (for-against)11-8
- 54%Goals after half-time46%
- 73%Goal before half-time87%
- 5-4-6Half-time W-D-L7-5-3
What stands out
- 8thfrom 10th
Tusker moved from 10th to 8th in the Premier League table with this result.28 → 31 points after 22 matches; order by points, goal difference, goals scored.
- 1–0half-time
The match stood at 1–0 at half-time before a goalless second half (1–0 full time).
Team stats
12 figuresTuskerfull timeMurang'a SEAL- 50%Possession50%
- 12Shots8
- 4Shots on target2
- 3Corners5
- 3Yellow cards1
All 12 stats
- Attack
- 88Attacks105
- 45Dangerous attacks55
- 33%Shot accuracy25%
- 8Shots off target6
- Defence
- 78Ball safe87
- Other
- 4Injuries0
- 5Substitutions3
Expected vs happened
as of kick-off33%Model · draw 28%39%
- Projected goals
- 1.10 – 1.22total 2.32 · from goals per game before kick-off
- Most likely scores
- 1–1 13.2%0–1 12%1–0 10.8%
| Outcome | Model | Happened |
|---|---|---|
| Tusker win | 33% | Yes |
| Draw | 28% | No |
| Murang'a SEAL win | 39% | No |
| Over 1.5 goals | 67% | No |
| Over 2.5 goals | 41% | No |
| Over 3.5 goals | 20% | No |
| Both teams to score | 47% | No |
| Tusker clean sheet | 29% | Yes |
| Murang'a SEAL clean sheet | 33% | No |
Model: Poisson rates from goals scored and conceded per game (not expected goals). How we calculate this
Matchday 21
Premier League · the other 8 games- Nairobi United1–1Bandari
- Mathare United
0–1Shabana - Sofapaka0–2Police
- Homeboyz1–1
Ulinzi Stars - APS Bomet
0–1
Kariobangi Sharks - Bidco United
2–2
Mara Sugar - KCB1–0
Leopards - Posta Rangers
13:15Gor Mahia
Match info
- Competition
- Premier League
- Season
- 2025/2026 · Matchday 21 of 31
- Kick-off
- Venue
- Afraha Stadium, Nakuru
- Capacity
- 7,500 · grass
- MUR coach
- Osborne Monday
Match summary
Tusker beat Murang'a SEAL 1-0 in the Premier League (Kenya), Regular Season.
Before kickoff, Tusker sat 10th on 28 points, while Murang'a SEAL were 5th on 33 points. Across 5 previous meetings on record, Tusker won 4 and Murang'a SEAL won 1, with 0 draws (2.6 goals per game).
Tusker — live results and scheduleMurang'a SEAL — live results and scheduleHow we calculate this
Head-to-head
5 meetings on record since 20234-0-1Tusker W-D-L · goals 9:4
4 TUS0 draws1 MUR- With Tusker at home
- 2-0-0 (4:1)
- Goals per meeting
- 2.6
- Over 2.5 goals
- 60%
- Both teams scored
- 60%
- Won by the host
- 60%
- Last 5 (Tusker)
- 4W 0D 1L · 2.6 goals/game
- Murang'a SEAL0–1TuskerPremier League
- Tusker2–0Murang'a SEALPremier League
- Murang'a SEAL1–3TuskerPremier League
- Tusker2–1Murang'a SEALPremier League
- Murang'a SEAL2–1TuskerPremier League
- TuskernextMurang'a SEALPremier League
- Murang'a SEALnextTuskerPremier League
Form
last 10 matches of each side, all competitions, before kick-offTusker4d restequal rest · old → new4d restMurang'a SEAL- 1-0W5 Dec
- 2-0W14 Dec
- 0-1L17 Dec
- 1-0W21 Dec
- 0-4L11 Jan
- 1-2L17 Jan
- 2-1W25 Jan
- 1-1D31 Jan
- 1-3L14 Feb
- 0-1L21 Feb
4-1-5goals 9:131.30pts/game
Bar: goals scored.
Score: own goals first.Pts/game: green ≥ 2.0 · blue ≥ 1.5 · amber ≥ 1.0 · red below
- 1-1D12 Dec
- 1-0W18 Dec
- 3-1W22 Dec
- 2-0W10 Jan
- 2-3L14 Jan
- 2-1W18 Jan
- 2-1W25 Jan
- 2-1W1 Feb
- 3-2W15 Feb
- 2-3L21 Feb
7-1-2goals 20:132.20pts/game
Updated