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Burundi vs Kenya
Result, Stats, Lineups & H2H

0
-FT
1
Oct 09, 2025
Stade Intwari|Bujumbura

Match Timeline

Man of the Match
84'Yellow Card
Kenya
81'Substitution
Boniface Muchiri
Boniface Muchiri· In
Kenya
81'Substitution
Marvin Omondi
Marvin Omondi· In
Kenya
73'Substitution
Elie Mokono
Elie Mokono· In
Henry Msanga
Henry Msanga· Out
Burundi
73'Substitution
Richard Kirongozi Bazombwa
Richard Kirongozi Bazombwa· In
Burundi
Goal!
0-1
Ryan Ogam
Ryan Ogam
72'·Kenya
⚽
65'Substitution
Austin Otieno
Austin Otieno· Out
Kenya
65'Substitution
Job Ochieng
Job Ochieng· In
Kenya
46'Substitution
V. Harper
V. Harper· Out
Kenya
27'Yellow Card
Manzur Okwaro
Kenya
27'Yellow Card
Manzur Okwaro
Manzur Okwaro
Kenya
16'Yellow Card
V. Harper
V. Harper
Kenya
6'Substitution
Bryne Odhiambo
Bryne Odhiambo· In
Kenya
Burundi

Match Statistics

Statistics of the Game

Burundi
Burundi
Kenya
Kenya
0%Ball Possession0%
9Shots Total7
3Shots On Target4
0Corners0
0Fouls0
0Yellow Cards3
0Offsides0
0Saves0
0Passes0
75Attacks80
37Dangerous Attacks47
8Goal Attempts5
6Shots Off Target3
0Shots Inside Box0
0Shots Outside Box0
0Goals1
1Shots Blocked1
3Substitutions6
0Accurate Passes0
1Red Cards0
71Ball Safe72

Team Lineups

Manager: P. Sangwa

Substitutes

2
Olivier Dushime
Olivier Dushime
6
Franck Nduwimana
Franck Nduwimana
8
Elie Mokono
Elie Mokono
6.5
9
Karim Kamana
Karim Kamana
10
Shassiri Nahimana
Shassiri Nahimana
13
Richard Bazombwa
Richard Bazombwa
16
Mattéo Nkurunziza
Mattéo Nkurunziza
18
Jospin Nshimirimana
Jospin Nshimirimana
19
Keita Bukuru
Keita Bukuru
23
Onesime Rukundo
Onesime Rukundo
Manager: B. McCarthy

Starting XI

13
Vincent Harper
Vincent Harper
6.5
10
Austin Otieno
Austin Otieno
20
Manzur Okwaro
Manzur Okwaro
6.5

Substitutes

1
F. Shikhalo
F. Shikhalo
3
Daniel Sakari
Daniel Sakari
4
Michael Kibwage
Michael Kibwage
7
Boniface Muchiri
Boniface Muchiri
12
L. Ouma
L. Ouma
17
B. Omondi
B. Omondi
21
Marvin Omondi
Marvin Omondi
6.5
23
Bryne Odhiambo
Bryne Odhiambo
6.5

Player Stats

PlayerRatingMinGoalsAssistsShotsPassesTacklesDuels
Elie Mokono
Elie Mokono
MF
6.5
17'00-
-
-
-
6.5
5'00-
-
-
-
6.5
90'00-
-
-
-
6.5
90'00-
-
-
-
6.5
73'00-
-
-
-
Akbar Muderi
Akbar Muderi
MF
6.4
90'00-
-
-
-
6.4
85'00-
-
-
-
Henry Msanga
Henry Msanga
MF
6.4
73'00-
-
-
-
6.3
90'00-
-
-
-
Omar Moussa
Omar Moussa
DF
6.3
90'00-
-
-
-
6.3
90'00-
-
-
-
6.1
90'00-
-
-
-
4.8
5'00-
-
-
-

Burundi vs Kenya H2H, Form & Key Stats

Current streaks (all competitions)
TeamGamesRunUnbeatenWinlessScored inConceded inLast-5 ptsLast-5 goals
Burundi15L203027/156-3
Kenya15W1108010/159-4
Burundi — last 5 games
  1. W5-0 vs Seychelles2025-03-25
  2. W1-0 @ Guinea-Bissau2025-06-06
  3. D0-0 vs Mauritania2025-06-10
  4. L0-1 @ Côte d'Ivoire2025-09-05
  5. L0-2 @ Gambia2025-09-09
Kenya — last 5 games
  1. W1-0 vs Morocco2025-08-10
  2. W1-0 @ Zambia2025-08-17
  3. D1-1 vs Madagascar2025-08-22
  4. L1-3 vs Gambia2025-09-05
  5. W5-0 vs Seychelles2025-09-09
Goal markets & scoring rates
TeamGamesAvg goalsOver 1.5Over 2.5Over 3.5BTTSClean sheetsFailed to score
Burundi152.0753%27%27%27%33%60%
Kenya152.260%33%20%47%47%20%
Venue split (Home vs Away)
TeamWherePldWDLGoalsPPGOver 2.5Clean sheets
BurundiHome71335-40.8614%57%
KenyaAway62318-61.517%33%
1st half vs 2nd half scoring
TeamGames1H goals2H goals2H share1H Over 0.5HT W-D-L
Burundi147-96-846%64%3-5-6
Kenya159-611-755%53%4-8-3
Head-to-head, computed
Meetings on record
4
Period covered
2009-01-07 – 2024-06-07
Burundi wins
0
Draws
3
Kenya wins
1
Avg goals per meeting
0.75
Over 2.5 goals
0%
Both teams scored
25%
Home side won
0%share of all meetings won by whichever team hosted
Most recent meetings
DateHomeScoreAway
2024-06-07Kenya1-1Burundi
2014-07-15Kenya0-0Burundi
2013-01-06Kenya0-0Burundi
2009-01-07Burundi0-1Kenya
Standings before kickoff (rebuilt from 23 earlier results)
TeamPosPldPtsGDFormForm rankForm vs pos
Burundi48103WLWLL40
Kenya5896DDLLW50
Table context
Points gap
1 ptsBurundi 10 · Kenya 9
Positions
#4 vs #5
Goals per game
1.63/1.25 vs 2.13/1.38scored/conceded per game · league average 1.63

How we calculate this

CAF World Cup Qualifiers Standings

CAF World Cup Qualifiers · 2026

Full standings
#TeamPGDPTS
110+1826
210+1325
310+913
410+412
510010
610-510
110+1625
210+519

Statistical Comparison

Statistical Comparison

CAF World Cup Qualifiers
Burundi
10 matches
Kenya
10 matches
#5Position#4
10Points12
3Wins3
1Draws3
6Losses4
13Goals18
1.30Goals per game1.80
13Goals conceded14
1.30Goals per game conceded1.40

Burundi vs Kenya — Statistical Win Probability, Goal Markets & xG Projection

Poisson goal model computed from recent form (10 vs 10 matches) & H2H history

1X2 Statistical Win ProbabilityBurundi 36% · X · Draw 26% · Kenya 38%
1 · Home Win
36%
X · Draw
26%
2 · Away Win
38%
Projected Goals (xG Model)
1.26 vs 1.31
Projected Total: 2.57
Over 1.5 Goals
73%
Over 2.5 Goals
47%
Over 3.5 Goals
26%
Both Teams to Score (BTTS)
52%
Clean Sheet Prob. (H / A)
27% / 28%
Burundi / Kenya
Most Likely Scorelines (Poisson):
1 - 1(12.6%)0 - 1(10.0%)1 - 0(9.7%)
Last Matches
Previous Meetings
Head to Head

Match summary

Kenya beat Burundi 1-0 in the CAF World Cup Qualifiers, Group Stage.

Before kickoff, Burundi sat 4th on 10 points, while Kenya were 5th on 9 points. Across 4 previous meetings on record, Burundi won 0 and Kenya won 1, with 3 draws (0.75 goals per game).

Ryan Ogam (72') scored for Kenya.