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Atlanta United vs Cincinnati
Result, Stats, Lineups & H2H

1
-FT
3
Oct 10, 2026
Atlanta Stadium

Match Timeline

Man of the Match
Goal!
1-3
Kévin Denkey
Kévin Denkey
90'+7·Cincinnati
⚽
90'+4Yellow Card
Atlanta United
90'+4Yellow Card
Cincinnati
Atlanta United
88'Yellow Card
Cincinnati
Atlanta United
Atlanta United
Goal!
1-2
Tom Barlow
Tom Barlow
84'·Cincinnati
⚽
Cincinnati
Cincinnati
Cincinnati
Goal!
1-1
Miguel Almirón
Miguel Almirón
69'·Atlanta United
⚽
Cincinnati
Atlanta United
Goal!
0-1
Kévin Denkey
Kévin Denkey
52'·Cincinnati
⚽
43'Yellow Card
Atlanta United
2'Yellow Card
Cincinnati

Match Statistics

Statistics of the Game

Atlanta United
Atlanta United
Cincinnati
Cincinnati
56%Ball Possession44%
16Shots Total13
6Shots On Target4
5Corners4
8Fouls14
2Yellow Cards3
7Offsides1
0Saves5
516Passes405
3Shots Off Target7
75Attacks105
50Dangerous Attacks54
10Shots Inside Box11
6Shots Outside Box2
1Goals3
14Free Kicks8
7Shots Blocked2
4Substitutions5
11Tackles9
1Assists3
428Accurate Passes327
18Total Crosses17
5Accurate Crosses2
8Interceptions10
38Duels Won38
2Big Chances Created3
2Big Chances Missed1

Team Lineups

Player Stats

PlayerRatingMinGoalsAssistsShotsPassesTacklesDuels
90'101/3
39(83%)
-
3/3
90'000/2
79(87%)
1
3/6
86'002/4
34(78%)
2
7/10
86'002/2
48(83%)
1
3/6
56'00-
11(82%)
2
3/7
90'001/1
48(89%)
-
1/3
8'00-
3(67%)
-
3/5
90'010/1
15(73%)
1
6/11
90'000/1
64(90%)
1
2/6
90'000/2
40(86%)
3
4/9
34'00-
20(69%)
-
0/3
90'00-
64(91%)
-
1/6
90'00-
41(65%)
-
1/1
-4'00-
7(100%)
-
2/4
-4'00-
7(67%)
-
1/1

Atlanta United vs Cincinnati H2H, Form & Key Stats

  • This win ended Cincinnati's 6-match winless run in Major League Soccer (United States).(Run from 2026-08-22: 3D 3L; league matches of this season only.)
  • Tom Barlow's 84th-minute goal decided the match.(Score by goal: 52' 0-1, 69' 1-1, 84' 1-2, 90+7' 1-3.)
Current streaks (all competitions)
TeamGamesRunUnbeatenWinlessScored inConceded inLast-5 ptsLast-5 goals
Atlanta United15D131216/157-7
Cincinnati15L1063152/156-17
Atlanta United — last 5 games
  1. D2-2 @ Inter Miami2026-09-06
  2. L2-3 vs Orlando City2026-09-09
  3. D0-0 @ DC United2026-09-12
  4. W1-0 @ Portland Timbers2026-09-20
  5. D2-2 vs New York City2026-09-26
Cincinnati — last 5 games
  1. L0-4 @ Nashville SC2026-08-30
  2. L0-5 @ Philadelphia Union2026-09-09
  3. D3-3 vs Charlotte2026-09-12
  4. D2-2 @ Houston Dynamo2026-09-20
  5. L1-3 @ CF Montréal2026-09-26
Goal markets & scoring rates
TeamGamesAvg goalsOver 1.5Over 2.5Over 3.5BTTSClean sheetsFailed to score
Atlanta United153.1380%67%47%67%13%27%
Cincinnati154.8100%87%73%87%0%13%
Venue split (Home vs Away)
TeamWherePldWDLGoalsPPGOver 2.5Clean sheets
Atlanta UnitedHome52128-91.480%0%
CincinnatiAway70348-200.4386%0%
1st half vs 2nd half scoring
TeamGames1H goals2H goals2H share1H Over 0.5HT W-D-L
Atlanta United158-1611-1258%87%4-4-7
Cincinnati1514-1720-2159%100%4-5-6
Head-to-head, computed
Meetings on record
7
Period covered
2021-07-22 – 2026-02-21
Atlanta United wins
1
Draws
3
Cincinnati wins
3
Avg goals per meeting
3.14
Over 2.5 goals
57%
Both teams scored
71%
Home side won
43%share of all meetings won by whichever team hosted
Last 5 meetings
1W 2D 2L (Atlanta United view)
Avg goals, last 5 vs all-time
3.4 vs 3.14
Most recent meetings (5 of 7)
DateHomeScoreAway
2026-02-21Cincinnati2-0Atlanta United
2025-05-25Atlanta United4-2Cincinnati
2025-03-22Cincinnati2-2Atlanta United
2025-02-12Atlanta United2-2Cincinnati
2024-05-15Cincinnati1-0Atlanta United
Standings before kickoff (rebuilt from 407 earlier results)
TeamPosPldPtsGDFormForm rankForm vs pos
Atlanta United142727-13DLDWD9+5
Cincinnati102633-9LLDDL15-5
Table context
Points gap
6 ptsAtlanta United 27 · Cincinnati 33
Positions
#14 vs #10
Goals per game
1.19/1.67 vs 2.12/2.46scored/conceded per game · league average 1.66

How we calculate this

Atlanta United vs Cincinnati — 15-Minute Goal Timing Breakdown

Verified regulation-time goal windows (scored vs conceded)

Atlanta United
Last 20 gamesPeak scoring: 76-90+'76-90+' goal in 55% of games
MinutesScored (28)Conceded (33)GF / GA
1-15'3 (11%)5 (15%)
16-30'4 (14%)7 (21%)
31-45+'4 (14%)6 (18%)
46-60'3 (11%)5 (15%)
61-75'6 (21%)5 (15%)
76-90+'8 (29%)5 (15%)
Cincinnati
Last 20 gamesPeak scoring: 76-90+'76-90+' goal in 70% of games
MinutesScored (48)Conceded (49)GF / GA
1-15'6 (13%)2 (4%)
16-30'4 (8%)12 (24%)
31-45+'12 (25%)9 (18%)
46-60'6 (13%)13 (27%)
61-75'5 (10%)4 (8%)
76-90+'15 (31%)9 (18%)

Atlanta United vs Cincinnati — Corners & Cards Trends

Atlanta UnitedLast 15 games
≤2 team cards in 7 straight games
Corners Profile
Won / Conceded per game
4.1 / 5.3
Match total corners/g
9.4
Over 8.5 corners
60%
Over 9.5 corners
53%
Over 10.5 corners
27%
Won corner count
33%
Cards & Discipline
Team yellows / game
2.27
Opponent cards / game
2.07
Match total cards / game
4.4
Over 3.5 match cards
67%
Over 4.5 match cards
40%
CincinnatiLast 15 games
3 straight games with 9+ total cornersWon corner count in 3 straight games
Corners Profile
Won / Conceded per game
5 / 5.7
Match total corners/g
10.7
Over 8.5 corners
80%
Over 9.5 corners
60%
Over 10.5 corners
40%
Won corner count
40%
Cards & Discipline
Team yellows / game
1.73
Opponent cards / game
1.67
Match total cards / game
3.53
Over 3.5 match cards
47%
Over 4.5 match cards
33%

Major League Soccer Standings

Major League Soccer · 2026

Full standings
#TeamPGDPTS
133+3861
···
533+1553
633+1147
733-646
833+644
933-1643
···
1133+339
1233-1239
1333-1433
1433-2133
1533-3026

Statistical Comparison

Statistical Comparison

Major League Soccer
Atlanta United
33 matches
Cincinnati
33 matches
#13Position#7
33Points46
9Wins12
6Draws10
18Losses11
43Goals67
1.30Goals per game2.03
57Goals conceded73
1.73Goals per game conceded2.21

Atlanta United vs Cincinnati — Statistical Win Probability, Goal Markets & xG Projection

Poisson goal model computed from recent form (33 vs 33 matches) & H2H history

1X2 Statistical Win ProbabilityAtlanta United 40% · X · Draw 22% · Cincinnati 38%
1 · Home Win
40%
X · Draw
22%
2 · Away Win
38%
Projected Goals (xG Model)
1.81 vs 1.75
Projected Total: 3.56
Over 1.5 Goals
87%
Over 2.5 Goals
69%
Over 3.5 Goals
47%
Both Teams to Score (BTTS)
69%
Clean Sheet Prob. (H / A)
17% / 16%
Atlanta United / Cincinnati
Most Likely Scorelines (Poisson):
1 - 1(9.1%)2 - 1(8.2%)1 - 2(7.9%)
Last Matches
Previous Meetings
Head to Head

Match summary

Cincinnati beat Atlanta United 3-1 in the Major League Soccer (United States), Regular Season.

Before kickoff, Atlanta United sat 14th on 27 points, while Cincinnati were 10th on 33 points. Across 7 previous meetings on record, Atlanta United won 1 and Cincinnati won 3, with 3 draws (3.14 goals per game).

Goals came from Miguel Almirón (69') for Atlanta United and Kévin Denkey (52', 90') and Tom Barlow (84') for Cincinnati.