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NEC vs UPDF Result, Stats & H2H

FT · HT 0–01 – 0

Fahad Bayo 48′2nd

13th

Possession
52%48%
Shots · on target in brackets
2 (1)2 (2)
Corners
27
Table · 23 v 8 pts
2nd → 1st13th → 14th

Premier LeagueMatchday 10MTN Omondi Stadium

Match strip & events

NEC 1–0 UPD · 0–3 yellow

1′HT90′NEC on top 50 of 90 min · peaks NEC 48′, UPD 57′
  1. Full time 1–0
  2. UPDFYellow card
  3. UPDFYellow card
  4. Fahad Bayo1–0Goal · assist Enrique Lubwama
  5. Half-time 0–0
  6. UPDFYellow card

Team stats

16 figures
NECfull timeUPDF
  1. 52%Possession48%
  2. 2Shots2
  3. 1Shots on target2
  4. 2Corners7
  5. 1Fouls1
  6. 1Yellow cards3
All 16 stats
  1. Attack
  2. 92Attacks80
  3. 61Dangerous attacks59
  4. 1Offsides0
  5. 50%Shot accuracy100%
  6. 1Shots off target0
  7. Defence
  8. 90Ball safe87
  9. Discipline
  10. 1Free kicks2
  11. Other
  12. 2Injuries0
  13. 5Substitutions3
  14. 1Throw-ins2

What stands out

  • 1stfrom 2nd

    NEC moved from 2nd to 1st in the Premier League table with this result.20 → 23 points after 10 matches; order by points, goal difference, goals scored.

  • 14thfrom 13th

    UPDF moved from 13th to 14th in the Premier League table with this result.8 → 8 points after 9 matches; order by points, goal difference, goals scored.

Expected vs happened

model +5 on NEC

61%Model · draw 27%12%

56%Market · draw 27% odds 1.60 · 3.39 · 5.2817%

Projected goals
1.43 – 0.48total 1.91 · from goals per game before kick-off
Most likely scores
1–0 21.2%2–0 15.2%0–0 14.8%
OutcomeModelMarketHappened
NEC win61%56%Yes
Draw27%27%No
UPDF win12%17%No
Over 1.5 goals57%–No
Over 2.5 goals30%–No
Over 3.5 goals13%–No
Both teams to score29%–No
NEC clean sheet62%–Yes
UPDF clean sheet24%–No

Model: Poisson rates from goals scored and conceded per game (not expected goals). Market: pre-match prices of 2 Nov, margin removed. How we calculate this

Match info

Competition
Premier League
Season
2026/2027 · Matchday 10 of 17
Kick-off
Venue
MTN Omondi Stadium, Kampala
Capacity
3,200 · artificial turf
Weather
22 °C · overcast clouds · humidity 69%

Season comparison

as the teams came into the match
NECall competitionsUPDF
  1. Goal markets & scoring rates · 15 games each
  2. 2.2Goals per game (both sides)1.87
  3. 53%Over 1.553%
  4. 33%Over 2.533%
  5. 27%Over 3.57%
  6. 33%Both teams scored33%
  7. 60%Clean sheets33%
  8. 27%Failed to score60%
  9. NEC at home v UPDF away
  10. 6Played7
  11. 4Won2
  12. 1Drawn1
  13. 1Lost4
  14. 14-7Goals (for-against)9-11
  15. 2.17Points per game1
  16. 67%Over 2.557%
  17. 33%Clean sheets14%
  18. 1st half vs 2nd half scoring · 15 games each
  19. 9-71st-half goals (for-against)9-7
  20. 13-42nd-half goals (for-against)2-10
  21. 59%Goals after half-time18%
  22. 60%Goal before half-time60%
  23. 6-6-3Half-time W-D-L4-7-4
  24. Corners & cards (last 15 matches)
  25. 5Corners won / game3.8
  26. 4.4Corners conceded / game4.8
  27. 33%Over 9.5 corners40%
  28. 40%Won the corner count33%
  29. 1.67Yellow cards / game1.47
  30. 3.33Cards in the match / game2.93
  31. 33%Over 3.5 cards47%
  32. 1Red cards (total)3

How we calculate this

Head-to-head

6 meetings on record since 2023

3-3-0NEC W-D-L · goals 6:2

3 NEC3 draws0 UPD
With NEC at home
3-0-0 (4:0)
Goals per meeting
1.33
Over 2.5 goals
17%
Both teams scored
17%
Won by the host
50%
Last 5 (NEC)
2W 3D 0L · 1.2 goals/game
  1. NEC1–0UPDFPremier League
  2. UPDF0–0NECPremier League
  3. UPDF0–0NECPremier League
  4. NEC1–0UPDFPremier League
  5. UPDF2–2NECPremier League
Show all 6 meetings
  1. NEC2–0UPDFPremier League

Matchday 10

Premier League · the other 8 games
  1. Police1–1Kitara
  2. BUL2–1SC Villa
  3. Kataka3–4URA
  4. KCCA3–0Maroons
  5. Ntugasaze1–3Entebbe UPPC
  6. Express FC3–2Blacks Power
  7. Vipers2–0Lugazi Municipal
  8. Kigezi Home Boyz2–1Mbarara City
Premier League fixtures and results →

Form

last 10 matches of each side, all competitions, before kick-off
NECold → newUPDF
  1. 0-2L23 May
  2. 2-0W29 Aug
  3. 3-1W1 Sep
  4. 0-0D11 Sep
  5. 4-1W15 Sep
  6. 0-0D8 Oct
  7. 2-0W14 Oct
  8. 1-2L21 Oct
  9. 5-1W27 Oct
  10. 1-0W31 Oct

6-2-2goals 18:72.00pts/game

Bar: goals scored.
Score: own goals first.Pts/game: green ≥ 2.0 · blue ≥ 1.5 · amber ≥ 1.0 · red below

  1. 1-2L23 May
  2. 0-0D29 Aug
  3. 1-2L1 Sep
  4. 0-0D10 Sep
  5. 1-0W17 Sep
  6. 2-1W15 Oct
  7. 0-2L18 Oct
  8. 0-0D22 Oct
  9. 0-1L27 Oct
  10. 0-1L31 Oct

2-3-5goals 5:90.90pts/game

  1. ABlacks Power1–0
  2. HNtugasaze5–1
  3. ABUL1–2
  4. AKigezi Home Boyz2–0
  5. HExpress FC0–0

latest 5

  1. HKitara0–1
  2. HURA0–1
  3. AKCCA0–0
  4. HBUL0–2
  5. AExpress FC2–1
Show older matches
  1. HURA4–1
  2. AMbarara City0–0
  3. HLugazi Municipal3–1
  4. AKCCA2–0
  5. ACalvary0–2

older

  1. HMaroons1–0
  2. APolice0–0
  3. AEntebbe UPPC1–2
  4. HKataka0–0
  5. ASC Villa1–2

Table after full time

Premier League 2026/2027
#TeamPW-D-LGoalsGDPtsBefore
1NEC107-2-119:5+14232nd ▲1
2BUL97-2-018:6+12233rd ▲1
3SC Villa106-3-119:6+13211st ▼2
12Express FC91-5-37:9-2812th
13Mbarara City82-2-44:8-4814th ▲1
14UPDF92-2-54:8-4813th ▼1
15Lugazi Municipal92-2-56:13-7815th
16Ntugasaze81-1-65:19-14416th
18Kigezi Home Boyz70-1-62:12-10118th
NEC
2nd → 1st20 → 23 pts
UPDF
13th → 14th8 → 8 pts

Order: points, goal difference, goals scored. “Before” is the position at kick-off. Full table

Match summary

NEC beat UPDF 1-0 in the Premier League (Uganda), Regular Season.

Before kickoff, NEC sat 2nd on 20 points, while UPDF were 13th on 8 points. Across 6 previous meetings on record, NEC won 3 and UPDF won 0, with 3 draws (1.33 goals per game). Only 17% of their 6 previous meetings had three or more goals.

Fahad Bayo (48') scored for NEC.

NEC — live results and scheduleUPDF — live results and scheduleHow we calculate this

Goal timing

goals per 15-minute window · last 20 v 20 matches
NECscored · concededUPDF
  1. 351-15
  2. 1116-30
  3. 6131-45+
  4. 7046-60
  5. 5161-75
  6. 5376-90+

27:11 goals 16:22Bar and top figure: scored. Red figure: conceded. A goal from minute 76 on in 30% v 45% of their matches.

  1. 331-15
  2. 1216-30
  3. 6331-45+
  4. 1346-60
  5. 3261-75
  6. 2976-90+

Data from Sportmonks · updated