Marske United vs Penrith AFC Result, Stats & H2H

FT0 – 2

18th

21st

Table · 15 v 15 pts: 18th21st → 20th

Counties Leagues: Northern League OneNorthern League OneTue 13 Oct 2026, 18:45 UTCGER Stadium

Table after full time

Counties Leagues: Northern League One 2026/2027

#	Team	P	W-D-L	Goals	GD	Pts	Before
1	Bishop Auckland	16	12-2-2	40:15	+25	38	2nd ▲1
16	Kendal Town	15	4-4-7	23:35	-12	16	16th
17	Northallerton Town	19	4-4-11	26:48	-22	16	17th
18	Marske United	14	4-3-7	10:22	-12	15	18th
19	Whickham	15	4-3-8	24:51	-27	15	19th
20	Penrith AFC	17	5-0-12	15:45	-30	15	21st ▲1
21	Newcastle Benfield FC	18	3-3-12	21:42	-21	12	20th ▼1
22	Boro Rangers	0	0-0-0	0:0	0	0	22nd

Marske United: 18th15 → 15 pts
Penrith AFC: 21st → 20th12 → 15 pts

Order: points, goal difference, goals scored. “Before” is the position at kick-off. Full table

Expected vs happened

as of kick-off

55%Model · draw 23%22%

Projected goals: 1.88 – 1.12total 3.00 · from goals per game before kick-off
Most likely scores: 1–1 10.5%2–1 9.9%1–0 9.4%

Outcome	Model	Happened
Marske United win	55%	No
Draw	23%	No
Penrith AFC win	22%	Yes
Over 1.5 goals	80%	Yes
Over 2.5 goals	57%	No
Over 3.5 goals	35%	No
Both teams to score	57%	No
Marske United clean sheet	33%	No
Penrith AFC clean sheet	15%	Yes

Model: Poisson rates from goals scored and conceded per game (not expected goals). How we calculate this

What stands out

20thfrom 21st
Penrith AFC moved from 21st to 20th in the Counties Leagues: Northern League One table with this result.12 → 15 points after 17 matches; order by points, goal difference, goals scored.

Season comparison

as the teams came into the match

Marske Unitedall competitionsPenrith AFCPA

Goal markets & scoring rates · 15 games each
2.4Goals per game (both sides)3.67
67%Over 1.593%
47%Over 2.573%
20%Over 3.547%
40%Both teams scored33%
20%Clean sheets13%
40%Failed to score53%
Marske United at home v Penrith AFC away
7Played9
3Won2
2Drawn0
2Lost7
8-7Goals (for-against)5-25
1.57Points per game0.67
29%Over 2.567%
29%Clean sheets11%

How we calculate this

Match info

Competition: Counties Leagues: Northern League One
Season: 2026/2027
Stage: Northern League One
Kick-off: Tue 13 Oct 2026, 18:45 UTC
Venue: GER Stadium, Marske-by-the-Sea
Capacity: 2,500 · grass
Weather: 30 °C · moderate rain · humidity 73%

Match summary

Penrith AFC beat Marske United 2-0 in the Counties Leagues: Northern League One (England), Northern League One.

Before kickoff, Marske United sat 18th on 15 points, while Penrith AFC were 21st on 12 points. Penrith AFC had lost 5 matches in a row before this one.

Marske United — live results and schedule Penrith AFC — live results and schedule How we calculate this