Mara Sugar vs Mathare United Result, Stats & H2H

FT · HT 0–10 – 1

8th

13thOlanga B. 14′ (og)

Possession: 50%50%
Shots · on target in brackets: 2 (0)5 (3)
Corners: 84
Table · 43 v 38 pts: 8th13th → 12th

Premier LeagueSat 16 May 2026, 11:00 UTC

Events

MAR 0–1 MAT

Full time 0–1
Half-time 0–1
Olanga B.0–1Own goal14′

Head-to-head

5 meetings on record since 2023

3-0-2Mara Sugar W-D-L · goals 6:4

3 MAR0 draws2 MAT

With Mara Sugar at home: 2-0-0 (4:0)
Goals per meeting: 2
Over 2.5 goals: 40%
Both teams scored: 20%
Won by the host: 80%
Last 5 (Mara Sugar): 3W 0D 2L · 2 goals/game

8 Dec 2025Mathare United0–1Mara SugarPremier League
28 Mar 2025Mathare United2–1Mara SugarPremier League
18 Jan 2025Mara Sugar3–0Mathare UnitedPremier League
22 Jun 2024Mara Sugar1–0Mathare UnitedSuper League
21 Oct 2023Mathare United2–0Mara SugarSuper League

16 Dec 2026Mara SugarnextMathare UnitedPremier League
1 May 2027Mathare UnitednextMara SugarPremier League

Season comparison

as the teams came into the match

Mara Sugarall competitionsMathare United

Goal markets & scoring rates · 15 games each
2.07Goals per game (both sides)2.53
47%Over 1.580%
40%Over 2.553%
20%Over 3.520%
40%Both teams scored60%
40%Clean sheets20%
33%Failed to score27%
Mara Sugar at home v Mathare United away
6Played6
4Won0
1Drawn4
1Lost2
7-3Goals (for-against)6-10
2.17Points per game0.67
33%Over 2.550%
50%Clean sheets0%
1st half vs 2nd half scoring · 15 games each
7-51st-half goals (for-against)4-8
9-102nd-half goals (for-against)15-11
56%Goals after half-time79%
40%Goal before half-time60%
3-11-1Half-time W-D-L2-8-5

How we calculate this

What stands out

12thfrom 13th
Mathare United moved from 13th to 12th in the Premier League table with this result.35 → 38 points after 32 matches; order by points, goal difference, goals scored.
0–1half-time
The match stood at 0–1 at half-time before a goalless second half (0–1 full time).

Table after full time

Premier League 2025/2026

#	Team	P	W-D-L	Goals	GD	Pts	Before
1	Gor Mahia	31	19-8-4	47:20	+27	65	1st
6	Homeboyz	31	12-11-8	43:32	+11	47	5th ▼1
7	Tusker	31	13-5-13	26:28	-2	44	7th
8	Mara Sugar	32	10-13-9	29:28	+1	43	8th
9	KCB	31	11-9-11	32:34	-2	42	9th
10	Bandari	31	8-17-6	25:23	+2	41	10th
11	Murang'a SEAL	31	11-8-12	37:38	-1	41	11th
12	Mathare United	32	10-8-14	29:33	-4	38	13th ▲1
13	Posta Rangers	32	8-13-11	30:39	-9	37	12th ▼1
14	APS Bomet	29	8-9-12	30:32	-2	33	14th
18	Sofapaka	31	3-9-19	17:42	-25	18	18th

Mara Sugar: 8th43 → 43 pts
Mathare United: 13th → 12th35 → 38 pts

Order: points, goal difference, goals scored. “Before” is the position at kick-off. Full table

Expected vs happened

as of kick-off

40%Model · draw 31%29%

Projected goals: 1.06 – 0.85total 1.91 · from goals per game before kick-off
Most likely scores: 1–0 15.7%0–0 14.8%1–1 13.3%

Outcome	Model	Happened
Mara Sugar win	40%	No
Draw	31%	No
Mathare United win	29%	Yes
Over 1.5 goals	57%	No
Over 2.5 goals	30%	No
Over 3.5 goals	13%	No
Both teams to score	37%	No
Mara Sugar clean sheet	43%	No
Mathare United clean sheet	35%	Yes

Model: Poisson rates from goals scored and conceded per game (not expected goals). How we calculate this

Match info

Competition: Premier League
Season: 2025/2026
Kick-off: Sat 16 May 2026, 11:00 UTC
MAR coach: John Baraza (1.30 PPG)

Match summary

Mathare United beat Mara Sugar 1-0 in the Premier League (Kenya).

Before kickoff, Mara Sugar sat 8th on 43 points, while Mathare United were 13th on 35 points. Before kickoff, Mara Sugar were 8th in the table but 2nd on points from the last five league games. Across 5 previous meetings on record, Mara Sugar won 3 and Mathare United won 2, with 0 draws (2 goals per game).

Olanga B. (14' og) scored for Mathare United.

Mara Sugar — live results and schedule Mathare United — live results and schedule How we calculate this