Match summary
Zambia beat Malawi 9-8 on penalties after a 0-0 draw in the Friendly International.
Across 5 previous meetings on record, Zambia won 3 and Malawi won 2, with 0 draws (1.6 goals per game).
Zambia vs Malawi
Result, Stats, Lineups & H2H
Match Timeline
Man of the Match
29'Yellow Card
H. Bwembya
Zambia
Team Lineups
Manager: N/A
Starting XI
1
2
HP
Hedson Paina15
JP
Jackson Phiri6
DK
Dominic Kanda21
JK
Jonathan Momba Kalimina22
HB
Humphrey Bwembya20
DB
Derrick Bulaya27
SK
Saisada Kafunti12
7
FB
Francis BandaSubstitutes
3
4
YC
Yoram Chanda5
JM
Joseph Mulenga8
IS
Ian Sindaye9
RN
Rickson Ng'ambi10
YM
Yamikani Golden Mashata11
EK
Elliot Kampukesa14
16
LM
Luka Mainza19
AN
Abel Salim Nyirongo23
WK
William Kamwanga24
RC
Ronald Chanda ChilesheManager: Callisto Pasuwa
Starting XI
16
2
5
12
EN
Emmanuel Nyirenda15
6
21
10
14
MM
Mwisho MhangoSubstitutes
1
4
8
11
17
19
EK
Ephraim Kondowe20
BA
Babatunde Adepoju22
FD
Festus Duwe23
JW
Joshua WakaPlayer Stats
| Player | Rating | Min | Goals | Assists | Shots | Passes | Tackles | Duels |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Patrick Chooma GK | 120' | 0 | 0 | - | - | - | - | |
Eliya Mandanji FW | 120' | 0 | 0 | - | - | - | - | |
| 120' | 0 | 0 | - | - | - | - |
Zambia vs Malawi H2H, Form & Key Stats
| Team | Games | Run | Unbeaten | Winless | Scored in | Conceded in | Last-5 pts | Last-5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zambia | 15 | L1 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 5/15 | 5-7 |
| Malawi | 15 | W1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 8/15 | 5-4 |
- L2-3 @ Angola2025-11-18
- W2-0 vs Congo DR2025-12-16
- D1-1 @ Mali2025-12-22
- D0-0 vs Comoros2025-12-26
- L0-3 vs Morocco2025-12-29
- W2-1 @ Namibia2025-09-05
- D2-2 vs Liberia2025-09-08
- L0-1 @ São Tomé and Príncipe2025-10-13
- D0-0 @ Lesotho2025-11-15
- W1-0 @ Lesotho2025-11-18
| Team | Games | Avg goals | Over 1.5 | Over 2.5 | Over 3.5 | BTTS | Clean sheets | Failed to score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zambia | 15 | 2.47 | 67% | 40% | 27% | 40% | 20% | 47% |
| Malawi | 15 | 1.47 | 40% | 20% | 7% | 20% | 40% | 60% |
| Team | Where | Pld | W | D | L | Goals | PPG | Over 2.5 | Clean sheets |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zambia | Home | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 3-10 | 0.5 | 25% | 25% |
| Malawi | Away | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 5-4 | 1.5 | 13% | 63% |
| Team | Games | 1H goals | 2H goals | 2H share | 1H Over 0.5 | HT W-D-L |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zambia | 14 | 2-10 | 8-15 | 80% | 50% | 0-7-7 |
| Malawi | 14 | 4-2 | 6-8 | 60% | 43% | 4-8-2 |
- Meetings on record
- 5
- Period covered
- 2012-07-06 – 2024-03-26
- Zambia wins
- 3
- Draws
- 0
- Malawi wins
- 2
- Avg goals per meeting
- 1.6
- Over 2.5 goals
- 20%
- Both teams scored
- 20%
- Home side won
- 80%share of all meetings won by whichever team hosted
- Last 5 meetings
- 3W 0D 2L (Zambia view)
- Avg goals, last 5 vs all-time
- 1.6 vs 1.6
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-03-26 | Zambia | 2-1 | Malawi |
| 2020-10-07 | Zambia | 1-0 | Malawi |
| 2015-05-29 | Zambia | 0-1 | Malawi |
| 2015-05-10 | Zambia | 2-0 | Malawi |
| 2012-07-06 | Malawi | 1-0 | Zambia |
Statistical Comparison
Zambia vs Malawi — Statistical Win Probability, Goal Markets & xG Projection
Poisson goal model computed from recent form (3 vs 4 matches) & H2H history
1X2 Statistical Win ProbabilityZambia 34% · X · Draw 30% · Malawi 36%
1 · Home Win
34%
X · Draw
30%
2 · Away Win
36%
Projected Goals (xG Model)
0.99 vs 1.03
Projected Total: 2.02
Over 1.5 Goals
60%
Over 2.5 Goals
33%
Over 3.5 Goals
15%
Both Teams to Score (BTTS)
40%
Clean Sheet Prob. (H / A)
36% / 37%
Zambia / Malawi
Most Likely Scorelines (Poisson):
0 - 1(13.7%)1 - 1(13.5%)0 - 0(13.3%)
Recent matches
Dec 29, 2025
0-3
Home
Dec 26, 2025
0-0
Home
Dec 22, 2025
1-1
Away
Dec 16, 2025
2-0
Home
Nov 18, 2025
2-3
Away
Nov 18, 2025
1-0
Away
Nov 15, 2025
0-0
Away
Oct 13, 2025
0-1
Away
Oct 9, 2025
3-0
Home
Sep 8, 2025
2-2
Home
Previous Meetings
Last 5 matches
Goals
5-3
Total matches
5Zambia vs Malawi — Head to Head
Last 5 matches
3
Zambia wins
0
Draws
2
Malawi wins
Goals Scored
5 - 3