Match summary
Le Messager Ngozi beat Muzinga 2-1 in the Ligue A.
Across 3 previous meetings on record, Le Messager Ngozi won 1 and Muzinga won 1, with 1 draw (1.67 goals per game).
Le Messager Ngozi vs Muzinga
Result, Stats & H2H
Match Statistics
Statistics of the Game
Muzinga
2Goals1
Le Messager Ngozi vs Muzinga H2H, Form & Key Stats
| Team | Games | Run | Unbeaten | Winless | Scored in | Conceded in | Last-5 pts | Last-5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Le Messager Ngozi | 15 | W3 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 10/15 | 8-4 |
| Muzinga | 15 | W2 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 10/15 | 8-6 |
- D2-2 vs Aigle Noir2026-03-20
- L0-1 vs Royal Vision2026-04-12
- W2-1 @ Vital'O2026-04-25
- W3-0 vs Inter Star2026-05-09
- W1-0 @ Bumamuru2026-08-16
- L0-3 vs Dynamik2026-03-20
- W3-1 @ Garage Express2026-04-11
- D0-0 vs Kayanza United2026-04-25
- W4-2 @ Green Farmers2026-05-08
- W1-0 vs Never Give Up2026-08-14
| Team | Games | Avg goals | Over 1.5 | Over 2.5 | Over 3.5 | BTTS | Clean sheets | Failed to score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Le Messager Ngozi | 15 | 1.93 | 47% | 40% | 27% | 27% | 40% | 53% |
| Muzinga | 15 | 2.67 | 67% | 53% | 33% | 60% | 27% | 27% |
| Team | Where | Pld | W | D | L | Goals | PPG | Over 2.5 | Clean sheets |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Le Messager Ngozi | Home | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 9-4 | 1.25 | 38% | 63% |
| Muzinga | Away | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 12-11 | 1.5 | 50% | 25% |
| Team | Games | 1H goals | 2H goals | 2H share | 1H Over 0.5 | HT W-D-L |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Le Messager Ngozi | 15 | 8-5 | 10-6 | 56% | 60% | 5-6-4 |
| Muzinga | 15 | 9-13 | 9-9 | 50% | 67% | 2-8-5 |
- Meetings on record
- 3
- Period covered
- 2021-02-13 – 2026-02-01
- Le Messager Ngozi wins
- 1
- Draws
- 1
- Muzinga wins
- 1
- Avg goals per meeting
- 1.67
- Over 2.5 goals
- 33%
- Both teams scored
- 33%
- Home side won
- 67%share of all meetings won by whichever team hosted
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-01 | Le Messager Ngozi | 0-0 | Muzinga |
| 2025-11-12 | Muzinga | 2-1 | Le Messager Ngozi |
| 2021-02-13 | Le Messager Ngozi | 2-0 | Muzinga |
| Team | Pos | Pld | Pts | GD | Form | Form rank | Form vs pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Le Messager Ngozi | 6 | 1 | 3 | 1 | W | 2 | +4 |
| Muzinga | 5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | W | 2 | +3 |
- Points gap
- 0 ptsLe Messager Ngozi 3 · Muzinga 3
- Positions
- #6 vs #5
- Goals per game
- 1/0 vs 1/0scored/conceded per game · league average 0.88
Ligue A Standings
Ligue A · 2026/2027
| # | Team | P | GD | PTS | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 10 | +20 | 24 | |||||
| 2 | 10 | +7 | 21 | |||||
| 3 | 8 | +1 | 16 | |||||
| 4 | 7 | +10 | 14 | |||||
| 5 | 9 | +3 | 14 | |||||
| ··· | ||||||||
| 16 | 8 | -8 | 4 | |||||
6 / 16Full standings →
Statistical Comparison
Le Messager Ngozi vs Muzinga — Statistical Win Probability, Goal Markets & xG Projection
Poisson goal model computed from recent form (8 vs 10 matches) & H2H history
1X2 Statistical Win ProbabilityLe Messager Ngozi 28% · X · Draw 33% · Muzinga 39%
1 · Home Win
28%
X · Draw
33%
2 · Away Win
39%
Projected Goals (xG Model)
0.77 vs 0.97
Projected Total: 1.74
Over 1.5 Goals
52%
Over 2.5 Goals
25%
Over 3.5 Goals
10%
Both Teams to Score (BTTS)
33%
Clean Sheet Prob. (H / A)
38% / 46%
Le Messager Ngozi / Muzinga
Most Likely Scorelines (Poisson):
0 - 0(17.6%)0 - 1(17.0%)1 - 0(13.6%)
Recent matches
Previous Meetings
Last 3 matches
Goals
3-2
Total matches
3Le Messager Ngozi vs Muzinga — Head to Head
Last 3 matches
1
Le Messager Ngozi wins
1
Draws
1
Muzinga wins
Goals Scored
3 - 2
Matchday 2 — Ligue A
- Young Star vs Kayanza United — 19 Aug 20260-0
- Musongati vs Rukinzo — 19 Aug 20260-0
- Inter Star vs Never Give Up — 21 Aug 20261-2
- Panthère Noire vs Bumamuru — 22 Aug 20261-1
- Vital'O vs Ngozi City — 23 Aug 20262-1
- Flambeau du Centre vs Aigle Noir — 23 Aug 20261-1
- Olympic Star vs Royal Vision — 23 Aug 20260-0