Match summary
Le Messager Ngozi beat Green Farmers 4-0 in the Ligue A.
Before kickoff, Le Messager Ngozi sat 13th on 20 points, while Green Farmers were 16th on 7 points. Green Farmers had lost 5 matches in a row before this one.
Le Messager Ngozi vs Green Farmers
Result, Stats & H2H
2025/2026Match Timeline
Goal!
4-0
Goal
67'·Le Messager Ngozi
⚽
Goal!
3-0
Goal
31'·Le Messager Ngozi
⚽
Goal!
2-0
Goal
26'·Le Messager Ngozi
⚽
Goal!
1-0
Goal
23'·Le Messager Ngozi
⚽
Le Messager Ngozi vs Green Farmers H2H, Form & Key Stats
| Team | Games | Run | Unbeaten | Winless | Scored in | Conceded in | Last-5 pts | Last-5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Le Messager Ngozi | 15 | L1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5/15 | 3-4 |
| Green Farmers | 15 | L5 | 0 | 9 | 1 | 5 | 0/15 | 4-17 |
- L0-1 @ Flambeau du Centre2026-01-25
- D0-0 vs Muzinga2026-02-01
- W3-1 @ Dynamik2026-02-07
- D0-0 vs Garage Express2026-02-15
- L0-2 @ Kayanza United2026-02-22
- L0-3 @ Kayanza United2026-01-25
- L1-2 vs Aigle Noir2026-02-01
- L2-4 vs Rukinzo2026-02-06
- L0-3 @ Musongati2026-02-15
- L1-5 vs Olympic Star2026-02-21
| Team | Games | Avg goals | Over 1.5 | Over 2.5 | Over 3.5 | BTTS | Clean sheets | Failed to score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Le Messager Ngozi | 15 | 1.93 | 60% | 40% | 13% | 53% | 27% | 47% |
| Green Farmers | 15 | 2.93 | 73% | 73% | 33% | 53% | 20% | 40% |
| Team | Where | Pld | W | D | L | Goals | PPG | Over 2.5 | Clean sheets |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Le Messager Ngozi | Home | 7 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 3-5 | 0.71 | 14% | 57% |
| Green Farmers | Away | 7 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 4-17 | 0.14 | 86% | 0% |
| Team | Games | 1H goals | 2H goals | 2H share | 1H Over 0.5 | HT W-D-L |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Le Messager Ngozi | 14 | 7-8 | 6-8 | 46% | 64% | 5-5-4 |
| Green Farmers | 15 | 6-20 | 5-13 | 45% | 80% | 1-4-10 |
| Team | Pos | Pld | Pts | GD | Form | Form rank | Form vs pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Le Messager Ngozi | 13 | 22 | 20 | -9 | LDWDL | 10 | +3 |
| Green Farmers | 16 | 22 | 7 | -36 | LLLLL | 16 | 0 |
- Points gap
- 13 ptsLe Messager Ngozi 20 · Green Farmers 7
- Positions
- #13 vs #16
- Goals per game
- 0.77/1.18 vs 0.68/2.32scored/conceded per game · league average 1.2
Ligue A Standings
Ligue A · 2025/2026
| # | Team | P | GD | PTS | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 30 | +37 | 71 | |||||
| ··· | ||||||||
| 9 | 30 | +1 | 39 | |||||
| 10 | 30 | -5 | 36 | |||||
| 11 | 30 | -2 | 33 | |||||
| 12 | 30 | -6 | 33 | |||||
| 13 | 30 | -5 | 32 | |||||
| 14 | 30 | -23 | 29 | |||||
| 15 | 30 | -46 | 18 | |||||
| 16 | 30 | -59 | 7 | |||||
9 / 16Full standings →
Statistical Comparison
Le Messager Ngozi vs Green Farmers — Statistical Win Probability, Goal Markets & xG Projection
Poisson goal model computed from recent form (30 vs 30 matches) & H2H history
1X2 Statistical Win ProbabilityLe Messager Ngozi 63% · X · Draw 21% · Green Farmers 16%
1 · Home Win
63%
X · Draw
21%
2 · Away Win
16%
Projected Goals (xG Model)
2.01 vs 0.92
Projected Total: 2.93
Over 1.5 Goals
79%
Over 2.5 Goals
56%
Over 3.5 Goals
33%
Both Teams to Score (BTTS)
52%
Clean Sheet Prob. (H / A)
40% / 13%
Le Messager Ngozi / Green Farmers
Most Likely Scorelines (Poisson):
2 - 0(10.9%)1 - 0(10.8%)2 - 1(10.0%)
Recent matches
Feb 22
0-2
Away
Feb 15
0-0
Home
Feb 7
3-1
Away
Feb 1
0-0
Home
Jan 25
0-1
Away
Previous Meetings
Last match
Goals
2-1
Total matches
1Recent matches
Le Messager Ngozi vs Green Farmers — Head to Head
Last match
1
Le Messager Ngozi wins
0
Draws
0
Green Farmers wins
Goals Scored
2 - 1