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GioScore

Danubio vs Liverpool Preview & H2H

Sun 15 Nov 2026 · UTC19:30

WLWLD11th

9thWWWWD

Win probability · draw 28%
18%54%
Table · 18 v 20 pts
11th9th
H2H wins · 2 draws · 8 meetings
42
Goals per game · 7 v 13 games
0.711.69

Primera DivisionMatchday 14Estadio Jardines del HipódromoRef A. Feres

Prediction · model vs market

18%Model · draw 28%54%

Projected goals
0.68 – 1.38total 2.06 · from goals per game
Most likely scores
0–1 17.6%0–0 12.8%0–2 12.1%
OutcomeModel
Danubio win18%
Draw28%
Liverpool win54%
Over 1.5 goals61%
Over 2.5 goals34%
Over 3.5 goals15%
Both teams to score37%
Danubio clean sheet25%
Liverpool clean sheet51%
Model: Poisson rates from goals scored and conceded per game (not expected goals). How we calculate this

Season comparison

before kick-off
Danubioall competitionsLiverpool
  1. Goal markets & scoring rates · 15 games each
  2. 2.4Goals per game (both sides)2
  3. 73%Over 1.560%
  4. 40%Over 2.527%
  5. 13%Over 3.513%
  6. 47%Both teams scored40%
  7. 20%Clean sheets53%
  8. 33%Failed to score13%
  9. Danubio at home v Liverpool away
  10. 6Played6
  11. 2Won3
  12. 2Drawn2
  13. 2Lost1
  14. 6-9Goals (for-against)8-6
  15. 1.33Points per game1.83
  16. 50%Over 2.533%
  17. 17%Clean sheets33%
  18. 1st half vs 2nd half scoring · 15 games each
  19. 11-41st-half goals (for-against)8-3
  20. 7-142nd-half goals (for-against)12-7
  21. 39%Goals after half-time60%
  22. 60%Goal before half-time60%
  23. 6-7-2Half-time W-D-L7-6-2
  24. Corners & cards (last 15 matches each)
  25. 5.1Corners won / game4.7
  26. 4.5Corners conceded / game4.9
  27. 53%Over 9.5 corners40%
  28. 53%Won the corner count53%
  29. 2.33Yellow cards / game2.8
  30. 5.2Cards in the match / game6.53
  31. 60%Over 3.5 cards93%
  32. 1Red cards (total)1
How we calculate this

Goal timing

goals per 15-minute window · last 20 v 20 matches
Danubioscored · concededLiverpool
  1. 211-15
  2. 8516-30
  3. 6131-45+
  4. 1946-60
  5. 1061-75
  6. 5776-90+

23:23 goals 31:10Bar and top figure: scored. Red figure: conceded. A goal from minute 76 on in 50% v 55% of their matches.

  1. 311-15
  2. 3016-30
  3. 3231-45+
  4. 4346-60
  5. 5061-75
  6. 13476-90+

What stands out

  • 6scored in a row

    Danubio have scored in each of their last 6 matches.all competitions, before this match

  • 11unbeaten

    Liverpool are unbeaten in their last 11 matches.all competitions, before this match

  • 10scored in a row

    Liverpool have scored in each of their last 10 matches.all competitions, before this match

  • 42%after 75′

    Liverpool scored 13 of their last 31 goals from the 76th minute on.last 20 matches

  • 3/4home wins

    Danubio won 3 of the 4 meetings they hosted.meetings on record since 2007

Head-to-head

8 meetings on record since 2007

4-2-2Danubio W-D-L · goals 8:6

4 DFC2 draws2 LIV
With Danubio at home
3-1-0 (6:1)
Goals per meeting
1.75
Over 2.5 goals
25%
Both teams scored
25%
Won by the host
63%
Last 5 (Danubio)
2W 2D 1L · 1.6 goals/game
  1. Liverpool3–0DanubioPrimera Division
  2. Liverpool0–0DanubioPrimera Division
  3. Danubio1–1Liverpool
  4. Danubio1–0LiverpoolPrimera Division
  5. Danubio2–0LiverpoolPrimera Division
Show all 8 meetings
  1. Liverpool1–2DanubioPrimera Division
  2. Liverpool1–0DanubioPrimera Division
  3. Danubio2–0LiverpoolPrimera Division: Clausura

Table

Primera Division 2026
#TeamPW-D-LGoalsGDPts
1Racing159-4-223:14+931
7Nacional157-1-726:21+522
8Defensor Sporting155-6-413:11+221
9Liverpool155-5-520:18+220
10Wanderers156-2-716:21-520
11Danubio154-6-517:21-418
12Cerro Largo155-2-816:19-317
13Boston River155-2-814:20-617
16Cerro152-4-98:24-1610
Full table

Form

last 10 matches of each side, all competitions
Danubio6d restDFC +1d rest5d restLiverpool
  1. 1-1D24 Sep
  2. 0-1L27 Sep
  3. 2-1W4 Oct
  4. 0-1L9 Oct
  5. 6-0W15 Oct
  6. 1-0W18 Oct
  7. 1-2L24 Oct
  8. 3-0W29 Oct
  9. 1-2L1 Nov
  10. 1-1D9 Nov

4-2-4goals 16:91.40pts/game

Bar: goals scored.
Score: own goals first.Pts/game: green ≥ 2.0 · blue ≥ 1.5 · amber ≥ 1.0 · red below

  1. 3-0W23 Sep
  2. 2-1W27 Sep
  3. 3-2W3 Oct
  4. 1-1D9 Oct
  5. 1-0W18 Oct
  6. 1-0W21 Oct
  7. 1-0W25 Oct
  8. 2-0W1 Nov
  9. 2-0W5 Nov
  10. 1-1D11 Nov

8-2-0goals 17:52.60pts/game

  1. ALito1–1
  2. HNacional1–2
  3. AWanderers Durazno3–0
  4. ADeportivo Maldonado1–2
  5. HCentral Español1–0

latest 5

  1. HJuventud1–1
  2. AGladiador2–0
  3. HJuventud2–0
  4. ANacional1–0
  5. HCerro Largo1–0
Show older matches
  1. ACentral Español6–0
  2. AMontevideo City Torque0–1
  3. HCerro Largo2–1
  4. ADefensor Sporting0–1
  5. HPeñarol1–1

older

  1. HPeñarol1–0
  2. ADeportivo Maldonado1–1
  3. HAtlético Progreso3–2
  4. ACentral Español2–1
  5. HColón3–0

Match info

Competition
Primera Division
Season
2026 · Matchday 14 of 36
Stage
Clausura
Kick-off
Venue
Estadio Jardines del Hipódromo, Montevideo
Capacity
18,000 · grass
Referee
A. Feres
DFC coach
Julio Rodolfo Neme Moreno
LIV coach
Jorge Fossati Lurachi (1.89 PPG)
Hashtag
#DFCLIV

About Match

Danubio v Liverpool in the Primera Division (Uruguay), Clausura is scheduled on Sunday, 15 November 2026 at 19:30 UTC at Estadio Jardines del Hipódromo.

Danubio sit 8th on 4 points, while Liverpool are 1st on 30 points. Liverpool have gone 11 matches unbeaten before this one. Across 8 previous meetings on record, Danubio won 4 and Liverpool won 2, with 2 draws (1.75 goals per game).

Referee A. Feres averages 6.28 cards per match (550 yellow, 40 red; 0.32 penalties per match) over 94 matches on record. Danubio enter on 6 days of rest since their previous completed match, compared with 5 days for Liverpool (+1d rest advantage). Liverpool have 1 confirmed squad absence listed ahead of kickoff, including Jean Rosso. Confirmed broadcast coverage includes Antel TV Internacional, Disney+ Premium Brazil, Disney+ Premium Argentina and 6 other broadcasters.

Danubio — live results and scheduleLiverpool — live results and scheduleHow we calculate this

Where to watch

kick-off
Spain
Antel TV Internacional
Brazil
Disney+ Premium Brazil
Argentina
Disney+ Premium Argentina
Mexico
Disney+ Premium Mexico
Colombia
Disney+ Premium Sur
+ 2 more countries
Chile
Disney+ Premium Chile
Other
Disney+ Premium Norte · Antel TV · DIRECTV Sports Uruguay

Team news

0 v 1 confirmed out

Danubionone listed

Liverpool1 listed out

Reasons and dates are the provider's estimates, not confirmations. All injuries

Referee

A. Feres
Cards / match
6.28+0.42 vs teams avg
Yellows / match
5.85
Reds / match
0.43
Penalties / match
0.3227% of matches
Fouls / match
24.3

2.81Home 2.81 vs Away 3.04 yellows/match · 21–19 red · 1 coach card3.04

36%Results in 100 recent matches · draw 25%39%

home winsaway wins
With Danubio
3-3-4 in 10 · 2.4 yellows/game
With Liverpool
6-3-2 in 11 · 2.9 yellows/game
Analysed latest 100 of 102 career matches (94 with card data).

Matchday 14

Primera Division · the other 7 games
  1. Cerro Largo2–2Atlético Progreso
  2. Montevideo City Torque2–2Racing
  3. Central Español1–0Boston River
  4. Deportivo Maldonado0–1Cerro
  5. Nacional23:00Albion
  6. Defensor Sporting23:00Peñarol
  7. Wanderers23:00Juventud
Primera Division fixtures and results →

Updated