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Bugesera vs Etincelles
Result, Stats & H2H

Bugesera

Akpesiri7'
Kwizera52'
2
-FT
0
Oct 10, 2026
Stade Kicukiro

Match Timeline

79'Substitution
Fabrice Kwitonda· In
Naibe Akpesiri
Naibe Akpesiri· Out
Bugesera
73'Substitution
Iradukunda Djarudi· In
Bugesera
71'Substitution
Gerard Gasore· In
Etincelles
62'Substitution
Djabilu Ishimwe· In
Etincelles
62'Substitution
Aimable Kwizera· In
Etincelles
62'Substitution
Hassan Rugirayabo· In
Etincelles
54'Substitution
Gilles Ulrich Nzeupe· In
Bugesera
54'Substitution
Prosper Rugangazi· In
Bugesera
Goal!
2-0
Eric Kirungo Kwizera
52'·Bugesera
⚽
29'Yellow Card
Gilbert Mutijima
Etincelles
17'Yellow Card
Joel Bahunga Mwisha
Bugesera
Goal!
1-0
Naibe Akpesiri
Naibe Akpesiri
7'·Bugesera
⚽

Match Statistics

Statistics of the Game

Bugesera
Bugesera
Etincelles
Etincelles
50%Ball Possession50%
8Shots Total5
3Shots On Target0
3Corners7
21Fouls16
1Yellow Cards1
2Offsides4
5Shots Off Target5
117Attacks150
55Dangerous Attacks67
2Goals0
21Free Kicks23
4Substitutions3
2Injuries0

Bugesera vs Etincelles H2H, Form & Key Stats

Current streaks (all competitions)
TeamGamesRunUnbeatenWinlessScored inConceded inLast-5 ptsLast-5 goals
Bugesera15L101014/155-7
Etincelles15W2702013/158-1
Bugesera — last 5 games
  1. L1-2 @ Gicumbi2026-05-09
  2. D2-2 @ Mukura2026-05-16
  3. L0-2 @ Rayon Sports2026-05-26
  4. W2-0 @ Rutsiro2026-05-30
  5. L0-1 @ Kiyovu Sports2026-09-15
Etincelles — last 5 games
  1. W4-0 @ Gorilla2026-05-26
  2. W2-1 vs Al Hilal Omdurman2026-05-30
  3. D0-0 vs Sunrise2026-09-05
  4. W1-0 @ Gorilla2026-09-12
  5. W1-0 vs Musanze2026-09-15
Goal markets & scoring rates
TeamGamesAvg goalsOver 1.5Over 2.5Over 3.5BTTSClean sheetsFailed to score
Bugesera152.1367%40%13%20%40%47%
Etincelles152.260%47%27%47%47%33%
Venue split (Home vs Away)
TeamWherePldWDLGoalsPPGOver 2.5Clean sheets
BugeseraHome63127-71.6750%50%
EtincellesAway833212-121.563%38%
1st half vs 2nd half scoring
TeamGames1H goals2H goals2H share1H Over 0.5HT W-D-L
Bugesera156-88-1057%67%4-6-5
Etincelles159-69-950%53%4-9-2
Head-to-head, computed
Meetings on record
10
Period covered
2018-02-28 – 2026-04-04
Bugesera wins
3
Draws
4
Etincelles wins
3
Avg goals per meeting
2.4
Over 2.5 goals
50%
Both teams scored
50%
Home side won
40%share of all meetings won by whichever team hosted
Last 5 meetings
3W 2D 0L (Bugesera view)
Avg goals, last 5 vs all-time
2.6 vs 2.4
Most recent meetings (5 of 10)
DateHomeScoreAway
2026-04-04Bugesera3-0Etincelles
2026-01-11Etincelles1-2Bugesera
2025-05-24Etincelles0-1Bugesera
2024-09-21Bugesera1-1Etincelles
2024-03-31Bugesera2-2Etincelles
Standings before kickoff (rebuilt from 20 earlier results)
TeamPosPldPtsGDFormForm rankForm vs pos
Bugesera1710-1L170
Etincelles2372DWW20
Table context
Points gap
7 ptsBugesera 0 · Etincelles 7
Positions
#17 vs #2
Goals per game
0/1 vs 0.67/0scored/conceded per game · league average 0.78

How we calculate this

National Soccer League Standings

National Soccer League · 2026/2027

Full standings
#TeamPGDPTS
17+212
···
95+17
107-37
116-67
122+46
134+26
143+16
157-56
···
185-54

Statistical Comparison

Statistical Comparison

National Soccer League
Bugesera
4 matches
Etincelles
6 matches
#13Position#11
6Points7
2Wins2
0Draws1
2Losses3
4Goals2
1.00Goals per game0.33
2Goals conceded8
0.50Goals per game conceded1.33

Bugesera vs Etincelles — Statistical Win Probability, Goal Markets & xG Projection

Poisson goal model computed from recent form (4 vs 6 matches) & H2H history

1X2 Statistical Win ProbabilityBugesera 59% · X · Draw 29% · Etincelles 12%
1 · Home Win
59%
X · Draw
29%
2 · Away Win
12%
Projected Goals (xG Model)
1.31 vs 0.42
Projected Total: 1.73
Over 1.5 Goals
52%
Over 2.5 Goals
25%
Over 3.5 Goals
10%
Both Teams to Score (BTTS)
25%
Clean Sheet Prob. (H / A)
66% / 27%
Bugesera / Etincelles
Most Likely Scorelines (Poisson):
1 - 0(23.2%)0 - 0(17.6%)2 - 0(15.2%)
Last Matches
Previous Meetings
Head to Head