Match summary
Aşgabat beat Merw 2-1 in the Ýokary Liga.
Before kickoff, Aşgabat sat 7th on 15 points, while Merw were 5th on 21 points. Across 12 previous meetings on record, Aşgabat won 5 and Merw won 5, with 2 draws (2.83 goals per game).
Aşgabat vs Merw
Result, Stats & H2H
Aşgabat vs Merw H2H, Form & Key Stats
| Team | Games | Run | Unbeaten | Winless | Scored in | Conceded in | Last-5 pts | Last-5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aşgabat | 15 | W1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 4/15 | 10-12 |
| Merw | 15 | L3 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 4/15 | 2-13 |
- L2-3 @ Merw2026-08-30
- D1-1 vs Köpetdag Aşgabat2026-09-05
- L3-4 vs Ahal2026-09-19
- L2-4 vs Altyn Asyr2026-10-11
- W2-0 vs Nebitçi2026-10-24
- D0-0 vs Köpetdag Aşgabat2026-09-12
- W2-0 @ Şagadam2026-09-19
- L0-5 vs Arkadag2026-09-24
- L0-3 @ Nebitçi2026-10-17
- L0-5 @ Altyn Asyr2026-10-21
| Team | Games | Avg goals | Over 1.5 | Over 2.5 | Over 3.5 | BTTS | Clean sheets | Failed to score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aşgabat | 15 | 3.93 | 87% | 60% | 47% | 67% | 20% | 13% |
| Merw | 15 | 3.4 | 87% | 60% | 47% | 27% | 20% | 60% |
| Team | Where | Pld | W | D | L | Goals | PPG | Over 2.5 | Clean sheets |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aşgabat | Home | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 15-18 | 1.25 | 50% | 25% |
| Merw | Away | 8 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 4-28 | 0.38 | 75% | 13% |
| Team | Games | 1H goals | 2H goals | 2H share | 1H Over 0.5 | HT W-D-L |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aşgabat | 6 | 3-3 | 8-10 | 73% | 33% | 0-6-0 |
| Merw | 7 | 0-0 | 5-15 | 100% | 0% | 0-7-0 |
- Meetings on record
- 12
- Period covered
- 2021-12-03 – 2026-08-30
- Aşgabat wins
- 5
- Draws
- 2
- Merw wins
- 5
- Avg goals per meeting
- 2.83
- Over 2.5 goals
- 58%
- Both teams scored
- 58%
- Home side won
- 75%share of all meetings won by whichever team hosted
- Last 5 meetings
- 3W 0D 2L (Aşgabat view)
- Avg goals, last 5 vs all-time
- 4 vs 2.83
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-30 | Merw | 3-2 | Aşgabat |
| 2026-05-30 | Aşgabat | 5-1 | Merw |
| 2026-04-22 | Merw | 2-1 | Aşgabat |
| 2025-10-30 | Aşgabat | 2-1 | Merw |
| 2025-08-15 | Merw | 1-2 | Aşgabat |
| Team | Pos | Pld | Pts | GD | Form | Form rank | Form vs pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aşgabat | 7 | 22 | 15 | -22 | LDLLW | 5 | +2 |
| Merw | 5 | 23 | 21 | -41 | DWLLL | 5 | 0 |
- Points gap
- 6 ptsAşgabat 15 · Merw 21
- Positions
- #7 vs #5
- Goals per game
- 1.32/2.32 vs 0.96/2.74scored/conceded per game · league average 1.63
Ýokary Liga Standings
Ýokary Liga · 2026
| # | Team | P | GD | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 25 | +89 | 75 | |
| 2 | 23 | +23 | 53 | |
| 3 | 22 | +16 | 42 | |
| 4 | 25 | -17 | 26 | |
| 5 | 24 | -22 | 22 | |
| 6 | 24 | -41 | 22 | |
| 7 | 24 | -21 | 19 | |
| 8 | 25 | -27 | 15 |
Statistical Comparison
Aşgabat vs Merw — Statistical Win Probability, Goal Markets & xG Projection
Poisson goal model computed from recent form (24 vs 24 matches) & H2H history
1X2 Statistical Win ProbabilityAşgabat 51% · X · Draw 22% · Merw 27%
1 · Home Win
51%
X · Draw
22%
2 · Away Win
27%
Projected Goals (xG Model)
1.98 vs 1.41
Projected Total: 3.39
Over 1.5 Goals
85%
Over 2.5 Goals
66%
Over 3.5 Goals
44%
Both Teams to Score (BTTS)
65%
Clean Sheet Prob. (H / A)
24% / 14%
Aşgabat / Merw
Most Likely Scorelines (Poisson):
1 - 1(9.5%)2 - 1(9.4%)1 - 0(6.7%)
Recent matches
Oct 24
2-0
Home
Oct 17
0-0
Away
Oct 11
2-4
Home
Sep 19
3-4
Home
Sep 5
1-1
Home
Oct 21
0-5
Away
Oct 17
0-3
Away
Sep 24
0-5
Home
Sep 19
2-0
Away
Sep 12
0-0
Home
Previous Meetings
Last 12 matches
Goals
17-17
Total matches
12Aşgabat vs Merw — Head to Head
Last 12 matches
5
Aşgabat wins
2
Draws
5
Merw wins
Goals Scored
17 - 17