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Fuerte San Francisco vs Alianza Preview & H2H

Wed 11 Nov 2026 · UTC21:30

LLLDD12th

6thDWLLW

Win probability · draw 26%
31%43%
Table · 14 v 26 pts
12th6th
H2H wins · 2 draws · 17 meetings
312
Goals per game · 20 v 19 games
1.001.37

Primera DivisionMatchday 20Estadio Correcaminos

Prediction · model vs market

31%Model · draw 26%43%

Projected goals
1.22 – 1.47total 2.69 · from goals per game
Most likely scores
1–1 12.2%0–1 10%1–2 9%
OutcomeModel
Fuerte San Francisco win31%
Draw26%
Alianza win43%
Over 1.5 goals75%
Over 2.5 goals50%
Over 3.5 goals28%
Both teams to score54%
Fuerte San Francisco clean sheet23%
Alianza clean sheet30%

Model: Poisson rates from goals scored and conceded per game (not expected goals). How we calculate this

Where to watch

kick-off 21:30 UTC
USA
Centroamerica TV
Other
TCS

Team news

provider list

Fuerte San Francisco1 listed out

Alianza2 listed out

  • Bryan TamacasCruciate Ligament Injury · listed until 31 Dec 2026 · 23 missed

  • RR

    Roberto RivasLigament Tear · 19 missed

Reasons and dates are the provider's estimates, not confirmations. All injuries

What stands out

  • 5without a win

    Fuerte San Francisco are winless in their last 5 matches.all competitions, before this match

  • 8no clean sheet

    Fuerte San Francisco have conceded in each of their last 8 matches.all competitions, before this match

  • 35%after 75′

    Alianza scored 9 of their last 26 goals from the 76th minute on.last 20 matches

Head-to-head

17 meetings on record since 2023

3-2-12Fuerte San Francisco W-D-L · goals 11:29

3 FUE2 draws12 ALI
With Fuerte San Francisco at home
2-1-5 (4:9)
Goals per meeting
2.35
Over 2.5 goals
35%
Both teams scored
35%
Won by the host
53%
Last 5 (Fuerte San Francisco)
0W 1D 4L · 3 goals/game
  1. Alianza2–2Fuerte San FranciscoPrimera Division
  2. Fuerte San Francisco0–1AlianzaPrimera Division
  3. Alianza3–2Fuerte San FranciscoPrimera Division
  4. Fuerte San Francisco1–3AlianzaPrimera Division
  5. Alianza1–0Fuerte San FranciscoPrimera Division
Show all 17 meetings
  1. Alianza2–0Fuerte San FranciscoPrimera Division
  2. Fuerte San Francisco0–1AlianzaPrimera Division
  3. Fuerte San Francisco1–0AlianzaPrimera Division
  4. Alianza2–0Fuerte San FranciscoPrimera Division
  5. Alianza2–0Fuerte San FranciscoPrimera Division
  6. Fuerte San Francisco0–2AlianzaPrimera Division
  7. Alianza3–1Fuerte San FranciscoPrimera Division
  8. Fuerte San Francisco1–0AlianzaPrimera Division
  9. Fuerte San Francisco1–1AlianzaPrimera Division
  10. Alianza4–0Fuerte San FranciscoPrimera Division
  11. Alianza1–2Fuerte San FranciscoPrimera Division
  12. Fuerte San Francisco0–1AlianzaPrimera Division

Match info

Competition
Primera Division
Season
2026/2027 · Matchday 20 of 22
Stage
Apertura
Kick-off
Venue
Estadio Correcaminos, Estadio Correcaminos
Capacity
12,000 · grass
ALI coach
Roberto Pompei

Form

last 10 matches of each side, all competitions
Fuerte San Franciscoold → newAlianza
  1. 2-2D24 Sep
  2. 0-0D27 Sep
  3. 0-3L1 Oct
  4. 1-1D4 Oct
  5. 2-1W10 Oct
  6. 2-3L18 Oct
  7. 1-2L25 Oct
  8. 3-4L1 Nov
  9. 1-1D5 Nov
  10. 2-2D9 Nov

1-5-4goals 14:190.80pts/game

Bar: goals scored.
Score: own goals first.Pts/game: green ≥ 2.0 · blue ≥ 1.5 · amber ≥ 1.0 · red below

  1. 1-1D27 Sep
  2. 2-1W1 Oct
  3. 2-2D4 Oct
  4. 1-2L9 Oct
  5. 2-2D11 Oct
  6. 0-0D17 Oct
  7. 1-0W24 Oct
  8. 0-1L1 Nov
  9. 0-2L5 Nov
  10. 3-2W8 Nov

3-4-3goals 12:131.30pts/game

  1. AFAS2–2
  2. AMunicipal Limeño1–1
  3. HÁguila3–4
  4. HAtletico Balboa1–2
  5. AIsidro Metapán2–3

latest 5

  1. HÁguila3–2
  2. AFirpo0–2
  3. AAtletico Balboa0–1
  4. HIsidro Metapán1–0
  5. ACacahuatique0–0
Show older matches
  1. HCacahuatique2–1
  2. AInter1–1
  3. HFirpo0–3
  4. ACD Platense0–0
  5. AAlianza2–2

older

  1. HInter2–2
  2. AFAS1–2
  3. HFirpo2–2
  4. HCD Platense2–1
  5. HINCA-Aruba1–1

Table

Primera Division 2026/2027
#TeamPW-D-LGoalsGDPtsLast 5
1Firpo2011-7-235:15+2040DDWWD
2FAS199-6-431:21+1033LDLDD
3Isidro Metapán199-5-525:20+532WDLDD
4Águila198-6-536:27+930WDWWL
5Inter196-9-425:18+727DLWDL
6Alianza196-8-526:26026DWLLW
7CD Platense196-6-723:25-224WWDDL
8Municipal Limeño206-5-931:32-123WDDDL
9Atletico Balboa196-5-824:29-523LDWWW
10Cacahuatique204-8-822:30-820DDWWD
11INCA-Aruba194-5-1014:33-1917LLLLD
12Fuerte San Francisco202-8-1020:36-1614LLLDD
If Fuerte San Francisco win
FUE 11th · ALI 6th17 v 26 pts
If they draw
FUE 12th · ALI 6th15 v 27 pts
If Alianza win
FUE 12th · ALI 5th14 v 29 pts

What a result changes: one-goal margins, other results unchanged. Last 5 reads old → new. Full table

About Match

Fuerte San Francisco v Alianza in the Primera Division (El Salvador), Apertura is scheduled on Wednesday, 11 November 2026 at 21:30 UTC at Estadio Correcaminos.

Fuerte San Francisco sit 12th on 14 points, while Alianza are 6th on 26 points. Alianza won 12 of the 17 previous meetings on record.

Fuerte San Francisco have 1 confirmed squad absence (Alianza: 2). Confirmed broadcast coverage includes Centroamerica TV, Centro America TV and TCS.

Fuerte San Francisco — live results and scheduleAlianza — live results and scheduleHow we calculate this

Season comparison

before kick-off
Fuerte San Franciscoall competitionsAlianza
  1. Goal markets & scoring rates · 15 games each
  2. 3Goals per game (both sides)2.93
  3. 80%Over 1.580%
  4. 60%Over 2.560%
  5. 33%Over 3.547%
  6. 67%Both teams scored67%
  7. 7%Clean sheets20%
  8. 33%Failed to score20%
  9. Fuerte San Francisco at home v Alianza away
  10. 6Played6
  11. 1Won0
  12. 0Drawn3
  13. 5Lost3
  14. 6-13Goals (for-against)5-9
  15. 0.5Points per game0.5
  16. 67%Over 2.550%
  17. 0%Clean sheets17%
  18. 1st half vs 2nd half scoring · 15 games each
  19. 7-91st-half goals (for-against)13-9
  20. 9-202nd-half goals (for-against)10-12
  21. 56%Goals after half-time43%
  22. 67%Goal before half-time80%
  23. 2-9-4Half-time W-D-L5-8-2
  24. Corners & cards (last 15 matches)
  25. 3.1Corners won / game4.5
  26. 5.5Corners conceded / game5.8
  27. 47%Over 9.5 corners73%
  28. 20%Won the corner count27%
  29. 2.73Yellow cards / game3.33
  30. 5.33Cards in the match / game6.33
  31. 80%Over 3.5 cards87%
  32. 4Red cards (total)8

How we calculate this

Matchday 20

Primera Division · the other 5 games
  1. Cacahuatique1–1Firpo
  2. Isidro Metapán01:00CD Platense
  3. FAS01:00Inter
  4. Águila21:30Municipal Limeño
  5. Atletico Balboa21:30INCA-Aruba
Primera Division fixtures and results →

Goal timing

goals per 15-minute window · last 20 v 20 matches
Fuerte San Franciscoscored · concededAlianza
  1. 641-15
  2. 3416-30
  3. 2431-45+
  4. 3546-60
  5. 2861-75
  6. 41176-90+

20:36 goals 26:28Bar and top figure: scored. Red figure: conceded. A goal from minute 76 on in 50% v 65% of their matches.

  1. 421-15
  2. 3416-30
  3. 7731-45+
  4. 2346-60
  5. 1361-75
  6. 9976-90+

Data from Sportmonks · updated