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Safa vs Al Nejmeh Preview & H2H

Tue 24 Nov 2026 · UTC19:45

WWWWW1st

5thWWDDW

Win probability · draw 23%
55%22%
Table · 15 v 8 pts
1st5th
H2H wins · 2 draws · 15 meetings
58
Goals per game · 5 v 4 games
2.601.75

Premier LeagueMatchday 3Al Safa SC Stadium

Prediction · model vs market

55%Model · draw 23%22%

Projected goals
1.77 – 1.03total 2.80 · from goals per game
Most likely scores
1–1 11.1%1–0 10.8%2–1 9.8%
OutcomeModel
Safa win55%
Draw23%
Al Nejmeh win22%
Over 1.5 goals77%
Over 2.5 goals53%
Over 3.5 goals30%
Both teams to score53%
Safa clean sheet36%
Al Nejmeh clean sheet17%

Model: Poisson rates from goals scored and conceded per game (not expected goals). How we calculate this

What stands out

  • 5wins in a row

    Safa have won their last 5 matches.all competitions, before this match

  • 6scored in a row

    Safa have scored in each of their last 6 matches.all competitions, before this match

  • 7unbeaten

    Al Nejmeh are unbeaten in their last 7 matches.all competitions, before this match

  • 4/6home wins

    Safa won 4 of the 6 meetings they hosted.meetings on record since 2013

Head-to-head

15 meetings on record since 2013

5-2-8Safa W-D-L · goals 16:27

5 SAFA2 draws8 ALNE
With Safa at home
4-1-1 (9:7)
Goals per meeting
2.87
Over 2.5 goals
60%
Both teams scored
47%
Won by the host
73%
Last 5 (Safa)
2W 1D 2L · 3 goals/game
  1. Al Nejmeh3–1SafaFA Cup
  2. Safa1–0Al NejmehPremier League
  3. Al Nejmeh1–0SafaPremier League
  4. Safa3–3Al NejmehPremier League
  5. Safa2–1Al NejmehPremier League
Show all 15 meetings
  1. Al Nejmeh1–1SafaPremier League
  2. Al Nejmeh0–2SafaPremier League
  3. Safa0–2Al NejmehPremier League
  4. Al Nejmeh2–1SafaPremier League
  5. Safa1–0Al NejmehPremier League
  6. Al Nejmeh3–0SafaPremier League
  7. Al Nejmeh3–2SafaPremier League
  8. Al Nejmeh3–0SafaElite Cup
  9. Al Nejmeh4–0SafaFA Cup
  10. Safa2–1Al NejmehPremier League

Match info

Competition
Premier League
Season
2026/2027 · Matchday 3 of 11
Kick-off
Venue
Al Safa SC Stadium, Beirut
Capacity
50,000 · artificial turf
SAFA coach
Hussein Tahan
ALNE coach
Vardan Minasyan

Form

last 10 matches of each side, all competitions
Safa17d restSAFA +1d rest16d restAl Nejmeh
  1. 1-1D28 Jun
  2. 4-0W3 Jul
  3. 6-0W8 Sep
  4. 0-2L13 Sep
  5. 1-3L20 Sep
  6. 2-1W8 Oct
  7. 3-0W12 Oct
  8. 2-1W24 Oct
  9. 2-0W30 Oct
  10. 4-0W7 Nov

7-1-2goals 25:82.20pts/game

Bar: goals scored.
Score: own goals first.Pts/game: green ≥ 2.0 · blue ≥ 1.5 · amber ≥ 1.0 · red below

  1. 2-1W24 Jul
  2. 2-1W28 Jul
  3. 1-2L2 Aug
  4. 1-0W8 Sep
  5. 4-0W12 Sep
  6. 3-1W20 Sep
  7. 2-0W8 Oct
  8. 3-3D12 Oct
  9. 0-0D1 Nov
  10. 2-0W8 Nov

7-2-1goals 20:82.30pts/game

  1. HTripoli4–0
  2. AAl-Tadamon Sour2–0
  3. AAl Akhaa Al Ahli2–1
  4. AShabab Al Sahel3–0
  5. HReyady Abaseya2–1

latest 5

  1. AAl Ahed2–0
  2. AJwaya0–0
  3. HAl-Tadamon Sour3–3
  4. AAl Akhaa Al Ahli2–0
  5. HSafa3–1
Show older matches
  1. AAl Nejmeh1–3
  2. ATripoli0–2
  3. HRacing6–0
  4. HAl Mabarrah4–0
  5. AJwaya1–1

older

  1. HRacing4–0
  2. HTripoli1–0
  3. HAl Ansar1–2
  4. HAl Ahed2–1
  5. HJwaya2–1

Table

Premier League 2026/2027
#TeamPW-D-LGoalsGDPtsLast 5
1Safa55-0-013:2+1115WWWWW
2Jwaya64-1-110:2+813WWWDL
3Al-Tadamon Sour63-1-213:11+210DWWLL
4Al Ahed62-3-14:409WDWDL
5Al Nejmeh42-2-07:3+48WDDW
6Al Ansar32-1-07:5+27WDW
7Tripoli62-1-38:9-17WWLLL
8Sagesse61-2-34:8-45LDLWD
9Shabab Al Sahel51-1-31:6-54LLLDW
10Al Akhaa Al Ahli61-1-44:11-74LLLDW
11Al Mabarrah61-1-42:9-74LLWDL
12Reyady Abaseya50-2-33:6-32LLLDD
If Safa win
SAFA 1st · ALNE 5th18 v 8 pts
If they draw
SAFA 1st · ALNE 4th16 v 9 pts
If Al Nejmeh win
SAFA 1st · ALNE 3rd15 v 11 pts

What a result changes: one-goal margins, other results unchanged. Last 5 reads old → new. Full table

About Match

Safa v Al Nejmeh in the Premier League (Lebanon), Regular Season is scheduled on Tuesday, 24 November 2026 at 19:45 UTC at Al Safa SC Stadium.

Safa sit 1st on 15 points, while Al Nejmeh are 5th on 8 points. Safa have won 5 matches in a row before this one. Across 15 previous meetings on record, Safa won 5 and Al Nejmeh won 8, with 2 draws (2.87 goals per game).

Safa enter on 17 days of rest since their previous completed match, compared with 16 days for Al Nejmeh (+1d rest advantage).

Safa — live results and scheduleAl Nejmeh — live results and scheduleHow we calculate this

Season comparison

before kick-off
Safaall competitionsAl Nejmeh
  1. Goal markets & scoring rates · 15 games each
  2. 3.53Goals per game (both sides)2.33
  3. 93%Over 1.573%
  4. 73%Over 2.540%
  5. 47%Over 3.520%
  6. 53%Both teams scored40%
  7. 40%Clean sheets60%
  8. 7%Failed to score13%
  9. Safa at home v Al Nejmeh away
  10. 4Played7
  11. 4Won4
  12. 0Drawn3
  13. 0Lost0
  14. 16-1Goals (for-against)8-1
  15. 3Points per game2.14
  16. 100%Over 2.50%
  17. 75%Clean sheets86%
  18. 1st half vs 2nd half scoring · 14 games each
  19. 16-71st-half goals (for-against)10-2
  20. 18-102nd-half goals (for-against)12-7
  21. 53%Goals after half-time55%
  22. 79%Goal before half-time57%
  23. 7-3-4Half-time W-D-L7-7-0
  24. Corners & cards (last 15 matches)
  25. 2.4Corners won / game6.2
  26. 4.1Corners conceded / game3.8
  27. 20%Over 9.5 corners53%
  28. 27%Won the corner count73%
  29. 0.93Yellow cards / game1.27
  30. 2.27Cards in the match / game3.2
  31. 27%Over 3.5 cards40%
  32. 0Red cards (total)3

How we calculate this

Matchday 3

Premier League · the other 5 games
  1. Al-Tadamon Sour4–1Al Akhaa Al Ahli
  2. Sagesse1–1Al Ahed
  3. Reyady Abaseya1–2Jwaya
  4. Al Mabarrah0–3Tripoli
  5. Shabab Al Sahel12:15Al Ansar
Premier League fixtures and results →

Goal timing

goals per 15-minute window · last 20 v 20 matches
Safascored · concededAl Nejmeh
  1. 631-15
  2. 3016-30
  3. 11531-45+
  4. 6146-60
  5. 9261-75
  6. 7976-90+

42:20 goals 37:12Bar and top figure: scored. Red figure: conceded. A goal from minute 76 on in 65% v 55% of their matches.

  1. 701-15
  2. 2016-30
  3. 8231-45+
  4. 4346-60
  5. 5461-75
  6. 11376-90+

Data from Sportmonks · updated