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Inter Lagos vs Abia Warriors Preview & H2H

Sun 15 Nov 2026 · UTC15:00

LLLDD20th

19thDDLLD

Win probability · draw 28%
35%37%
Table · 7 v 11 pts
20th19th
Goals per game · 12 v 12 games
0.671.00
Rest days · ABWA +1d
6d7d

NpflMatchday 13Enyimba International Stadium

Prediction · model vs market

35%Model · draw 28%37%

Projected goals
1.18 – 1.23total 2.41 · from goals per game
Most likely scores
1–1 13%0–1 11%1–0 10.6%
OutcomeModel
Inter Lagos win35%
Draw28%
Abia Warriors win37%
Over 1.5 goals69%
Over 2.5 goals43%
Over 3.5 goals22%
Both teams to score49%
Inter Lagos clean sheet29%
Abia Warriors clean sheet31%

Model: Poisson rates from goals scored and conceded per game (not expected goals). How we calculate this

Where to watch

kick-off
Other
NPFL Live

Table

Npfl 2026/2027
#TeamPW-D-LGoalsGDPtsLast 5
1Enugu Rangers106-3-115:9+621WDDWW
17Ranchers Bees113-3-512:14-212LDLDW
18Enyimba123-2-712:16-411LDLWL
19Abia Warriors122-5-512:19-711DDLLD
20Inter Lagos121-4-78:19-117LLLDD
If Inter Lagos win
INT 20th · ABWA 19th10 v 11 pts
If they draw
INT 20th · ABWA 18th8 v 12 pts
If Abia Warriors win
INT 20th · ABWA 15th7 v 14 pts

What a result changes: one-goal margins, other results unchanged. Last 5 reads old → new. Full table

Goal timing

goals per 15-minute window · last 12 v 20 matches
ILInter Lagosscored · concededAbia Warriors
  1. 131-15
  2. 2016-30
  3. 3531-45+
  4. 0346-60
  5. 0461-75
  6. 2476-90+

8:19 goals 18:31Bar and top figure: scored. Red figure: conceded. A goal from minute 76 on in 42% v 45% of their matches.

  1. 341-15
  2. 3316-30
  3. 31031-45+
  4. 3446-60
  5. 1461-75
  6. 5676-90+

What stands out

  • 8without a win

    Inter Lagos are winless in their last 8 matches.all competitions, before this match

  • 8no clean sheet

    Inter Lagos have conceded in each of their last 8 matches.all competitions, before this match

  • 6without a win

    Abia Warriors are winless in their last 6 matches.all competitions, before this match

Season comparison

before kick-off
ILInter Lagosall competitionsAbia Warriors
  1. Goal markets & scoring rates · 12 v 15 games
  2. 2.25Goals per game (both sides)2.6
  3. 75%Over 1.580%
  4. 33%Over 2.553%
  5. 17%Over 3.533%
  6. 50%Both teams scored40%
  7. 8%Clean sheets27%
  8. 42%Failed to score47%
  9. Inter Lagos at home v Abia Warriors away
  10. 6Played8
  11. 0Won1
  12. 3Drawn1
  13. 3Lost6
  14. 3-9Goals (for-against)6-19
  15. 0.5Points per game0.5
  16. 17%Over 2.563%
  17. 0%Clean sheets13%
  18. 1st half vs 2nd half scoring · 12 v 15 games
  19. 6-81st-half goals (for-against)6-14
  20. 2-112nd-half goals (for-against)7-12
  21. 25%Goals after half-time54%
  22. 75%Goal before half-time67%
  23. 3-5-4Half-time W-D-L1-7-7
  24. Corners (last 10 v 13 matches)
  25. 4.2Corners won / game4.5
  26. 6Corners conceded / game5.5
  27. 50%Over 9.5 corners62%
  28. 50%Won the corner count31%
  29. Cards (last 12 v 15 matches)
  30. 1.83Yellow cards / game0.87
  31. 3.58Cards in the match / game1.73
  32. 50%Over 3.5 cards20%
  33. 0Red cards (total)1

How we calculate this

Match info

Competition
Npfl
Season
2026/2027 · Matchday 13 of 38
Kick-off
Venue
Enyimba International Stadium, Aba
Capacity
10,000 · grass
ABWA coach
Imama Amapakabo (1.43 PPG)

About Match

Inter Lagos v Abia Warriors in the Npfl, Regular Season is scheduled on Sunday, 15 November 2026 at 15:00 UTC at Enyimba International Stadium.

Inter Lagos sit 20th on 7 points, while Abia Warriors are 19th on 11 points. Inter Lagos have gone 8 matches without a win before this one.

Abia Warriors enter on 7 days of rest since their previous completed match, compared with 6 days for Inter Lagos (+1d rest advantage). Confirmed broadcast coverage includes NPFL Live.

Inter Lagos — live results and scheduleAbia Warriors — live results and scheduleHow we calculate this

Form

last 10 matches of each side, all competitions
ILInter Lagos6d restABWA +1d rest7d restAbia Warriors
  1. 0-3L13 Sep
  2. 1-0W20 Sep
  3. 1-1D23 Sep
  4. 0-2L27 Sep
  5. 1-1D4 Oct
  6. 1-3L11 Oct
  7. 0-2L18 Oct
  8. 0-1L25 Oct
  9. 1-1D1 Nov
  10. 2-2D9 Nov

1-4-5goals 7:160.70pts/game

Bar: goals scored.
Score: own goals first.Pts/game: green ≥ 2.0 · blue ≥ 1.5 · amber ≥ 1.0 · red below

  1. 2-2D13 Sep
  2. 2-0W20 Sep
  3. 0-2L23 Sep
  4. 3-0W27 Sep
  5. 1-3L4 Oct
  6. 0-0D11 Oct
  7. 1-1D17 Oct
  8. 0-1L25 Oct
  9. 1-4L1 Nov
  10. 2-2D8 Nov

2-4-4goals 12:151.00pts/game

  1. AIkorodu City2–2
  2. HRanchers Bees1–1
  3. AKun Khalifat0–1
  4. HNasarawa United0–2
  5. AWarri Wolves1–3

latest 5

  1. HDoma United2–2
  2. AShooting Stars1–4
  3. HNiger Tornadoes0–1
  4. AKwara United1–1
  5. HRivers United0–0
Show older matches
  1. HKatsina United1–1
  2. APlateau United0–2
  3. HKano Pillars1–1
  4. AEnyimba1–0
  5. HSporting Lagos0–3

older

  1. AEnugu Rangers1–3
  2. HBendel Insurance3–0
  3. ABarau0–2
  4. ASporting Lagos2–0
  5. HIkorodu City2–2

Matchday 13

Npfl · the other 9 games
  1. Shooting Stars17:00Bendel Insurance
  2. Doma United15:00Barau
  3. Kano Pillars15:00Ranchers Bees
  4. Warri Wolves15:00Sporting Lagos
  5. Katsina United15:00Nasarawa United
  6. Enyimba15:00Ikorodu City
  7. Niger Tornadoes15:00Enugu Rangers
  8. Kwara United15:00Rivers United
  9. Plateau United15:00Kun Khalifat
Npfl fixtures and results →

Updated