Match summary
Réal Bamako beat ES Zarzis 3-1 in the CAF Confederations Cup, 2nd Preliminary Round.
ES Zarzis vs Réal Bamako
Result, Stats & H2H
2026/2027
ES Zarzis
Goal90+3'
1
-FT
314:30 UTC
Oct 17, 2026
Stade Jlidi
Réal Bamako
Tangara24'
M'Bareck45'
M'Bareck45+3'
Match Timeline
Goal!
1-3
Goal
90'+3·ES Zarzis
⚽
62'Yellow Card
—
Réal Bamako
Goal!
0-3
Oumar M'Bareck
45'+3·Réal Bamako
⚽
45'+2Yellow Card
—
ES Zarzis
Goal!
0-2
Oumar M'Bareck
45'·Réal Bamako
⚽
44'Yellow Card
—
ES Zarzis
Goal!
0-1
F. Tangara
24'·Réal Bamako
⚽
Match Statistics
Statistics of the Game
Réal Bamako
54%Ball Possession46%
1Shots Total3
1Shots On Target3
3Corners6
2Yellow Cards1
1Goals3
5Substitutions4
ES Zarzis vs Réal Bamako H2H, Form & Key Stats
| Team | Games | Run | Unbeaten | Winless | Scored in | Conceded in | Last-5 pts | Last-5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ES Zarzis | 15 | W1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6/15 | 6-5 |
| Réal Bamako | 15 | D1 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 11/15 | 7-1 |
- W3-1 vs Diambars2026-09-04
- L0-1 @ Diambars2026-09-12
- L1-2 vs US Monastir2026-09-16
- L0-1 @ Club Africain2026-09-20
- W2-0 vs Hammam-Sousse2026-10-11
- D0-0 vs Afrique Football Élite2026-06-05
- W1-0 @ Djoliba2026-06-09
- W4-0 vs US Bougouba2026-06-13
- W2-1 @ Vitesse FC2026-09-06
- D0-0 vs Vitesse FC2026-09-11
| Team | Games | Avg goals | Over 1.5 | Over 2.5 | Over 3.5 | BTTS | Clean sheets | Failed to score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ES Zarzis | 15 | 1.93 | 53% | 27% | 13% | 27% | 47% | 27% |
| Réal Bamako | 15 | 1.8 | 53% | 33% | 7% | 47% | 40% | 27% |
| Team | Where | Pld | W | D | L | Goals | PPG | Over 2.5 | Clean sheets |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ES Zarzis | Home | 9 | 7 | 0 | 2 | 15-5 | 2.33 | 33% | 56% |
| Réal Bamako | Away | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 8-7 | 1.63 | 38% | 25% |
| Team | Games | 1H goals | 2H goals | 2H share | 1H Over 0.5 | HT W-D-L |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ES Zarzis | 15 | 8-6 | 11-4 | 58% | 73% | 5-7-3 |
| Réal Bamako | 15 | 6-4 | 11-6 | 65% | 40% | 4-9-2 |
Statistical Comparison
ES Zarzis vs Réal Bamako — Statistical Win Probability, Goal Markets & xG Projection
Poisson goal model computed from recent form (4 vs 4 matches) & H2H history
1X2 Statistical Win ProbabilityES Zarzis 30% · X · Draw 24% · Réal Bamako 46%
1 · Home Win
30%
X · Draw
24%
2 · Away Win
46%
Projected Goals (xG Model)
1.31 vs 1.66
Projected Total: 2.97
Over 1.5 Goals
80%
Over 2.5 Goals
57%
Over 3.5 Goals
35%
Both Teams to Score (BTTS)
59%
Clean Sheet Prob. (H / A)
19% / 27%
ES Zarzis / Réal Bamako
Most Likely Scorelines (Poisson):
1 - 1(11.2%)1 - 2(9.3%)0 - 1(8.5%)